That’s if you assume its a D +8 electorate.
Freepers like yourself are snowed by the polls and take them at face value.
The poll did assume a D+8 electorate.
The actual registration is closer to 4 to 3 D so that is not crazy for PA (unlike the looney tune national polls).
I like Trump’s chances (even with a couple of points cheating in Philly) but this could be close.