[kabar]

In most of the South, the Dems lead in registration. But the Dem candidates for Gov, Senator, and other statewide offices are only drawing 30% to 35% of the white vote.

In the 2012 NC election exit polls, Obama received 31% of the white vote. Whites made up 70% of the electorate. It looks like the percentage of whites voting has increased to 71% in the early voting.

Obama received 96% of the black vote in 2012. Blacks made up 23% of the electorate. So far the black early vote has decreased 9% from 2012.

Does anyone expect Hillary to do better than Obama in 2012 in NC? Romney won the state by 92,000 votes.

[VanDeKoik]

Bush did worse than Reagan, and that was after a near clean sweep by them in 1984.

That win in 84 was just a big enough cushion for 88, that Bush had room to play with.

Obama did far worse in 12 than 08, Hillary has no cushion for error.