[capydick]

I don’t get the Hispanic Catholic block swinging to the left, even before illegal immigration was a big deal.

[goldstategop]

Its like the joke about Puerto Ricans. Jews, Muslims and liberal Christians vote D.

You will always find outliers on a linear progression line plot.

[Jeff Chandler]

I don’t get the Hispanic Catholic block swinging to the left, even before illegal immigration was a big deal.

The more recent the Hispanic immigrant, the more Left-leaning the politics. They associate the Republicans with the oligarchs in the kleptocracies they fled and the Democrats promise them a means to "get over" on them: racial preferences, Other People's Money, etc.

[AuntB]

“I don’t get the Hispanic Catholic block swinging to the left, even before illegal immigration was a big deal.”

Hispanic Catholics are not what you’d refer to as ‘typical’...they’re more into the worship of death...Santa de la Muerte.

[Nevadan]

Re: I don’t get the Hispanic Catholic block swinging to the left, even before illegal immigration was a big deal.

One huge factor is Mexican TV. It was totally pro-Clinton, anti-Trump. Most Hispanics watching shows in Spanish only would not be getting the other side. And if they went to church, unless their priest was taking a stand against Clinton and her abortion loving and Catholic hating views, they would not have had anything but a pro democrat message painting Trump as an American Hitler who hates Hispanics.

[x]

What's not to get? Mexicans, Puerto Ricans, and other Latinos tend to go Democrat, just as other immigrant groups did. If some other group replaces them as the biggest and most recent immigrant group, they'll turn away from the Democrats.

Reagan (1980, 1984) and Bush (2000 and even more, 2004) took a larger share of the Hispanic vote than Republicans usually get. Romney (2012) and, in three-way races, Bush (1992) and Dole (1996) got fewer Latino votes than Republicans usually get.

Now that I think about it, Hispanics swung with the rest of the country. Winning Republicans cracked the high 30s up to 40%. Losers got stuck in the 20s. This year Trump didn't break out of the 20s because of the many recent immigrants.