RE: On the other hand if Beijing hasn’t made their move by now they probably won’t.
Why would they risk a war and destroy all the investments the Taiwanese have made in China? That would be like cutting off your nose to spite your face.
I don’t know.
Since they have long wanted Taiwan (Formosa) as part of Mainland China and could have attacked all these years, I have to assume they have not for the reasons you just mentioned.
Still, Taipei is conducting these military drills for some reason.