[palmer]

There are two major models. The GFS is showing more stalling, but it's less accurate in general and usually less accurate for hurricane tracks. So cherry picking the GFS which shows the storm stalled for a longer period (never leaving Texas), is probably not warranted. Better to look at the Euro.

Still tons of rain in the Euro as you make the point. But not 53, not 49, etc etc. Need to be realistic about the seriousness without going off the deep end.

[Black Agnes]

Actually it’s the EURO showing the massive rainfall:

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/901156356652236800

[henkster]

Having been to that area several times, anything over 20 inches is going to be awful. Add it to a category 3 storm surge, and 100 mph winds, and there are coastal communities that will be obliterated, and may not be rebuilt.