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How many New Democratic voters will DACA create? Any informed estimates?
Sept 13 2017 | WilliamIII

Posted on 09/13/2017 8:29:58 PM PDT by WilliamIII

Enough new Dem votes to block Trumps reelection? Is that why Pelosi is grinning tonight?


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
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To: EQAndyBuzz

Texas is getting blue spots just like a lot of red states. Ours are a rural/urban split just like other states so most new citizens (if there is even a path to citizenship in the bill) will be in altready blue enclaves. Remember that a lot of them have been living like second generation industrial Americans so they’ve flocked to cities and have urban birth rates.


21 posted on 09/13/2017 9:07:35 PM PDT by pharmacopeia (All will be well and all will be well and every kind of thing shall be well. (Julian of Norwic)
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To: pharmacopeia

I heard the Freedom Caucus guys on Sean Hannity’s radio show the other day.

They said chain migration will turn those 800,000 into 3 - 4 million.


22 posted on 09/13/2017 9:10:38 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation ("You can't fix America without pissing off the people who broke it".....Bill Mitchell)
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To: pharmacopeia

Thanks. I do want to address that 30 million number though.

Yes, it’s a little less than 1 in 10 (of the 330 million) U.S. Citizens now.

Remember though, these people are not always counted. 330 million would rise considerably if they were all counted.

We may be talking about 360 million bodies in the U.S., with all illegals counted.

I have no idea how many are in my state California, but everywhere you look you see prime candidates. If I were to find out we had 10 to 15 million illegals in-state, it wouldn’t shock me at all.

Nobody knows.

We do have three half a trillion dollar cement high school edifices in downtown Los Angeles. It’s my take a very large portion of the student bodies are the children of illegal aliens.


23 posted on 09/13/2017 9:13:07 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (7.5 mos M/R joining dems to block Cons. agenda? No problem. Trump deal w/Dems, big problem! Ah NO!)
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To: WilliamIII

Isn’t it 800,000 then since the average age of these ‘children’ is in the thirties... we can assume many dreamers have kids of their own... and on and on and on...

The ‘deal’ should include a 15 year ban on voting... treat them as if they had to wait in line.


24 posted on 09/13/2017 9:18:57 PM PDT by GOPJ ("$3 Million Dollars 'PER DAY' is spent to incarcerate illegal aliens. That's $1.2 Billion a year.")
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To: DoughtyOne

Not nitpicking here I hope but... That 325 million number is supposed to include all illegal aliens as the census is just estimating people rather than citizens in specific. That’s why a lot of conservatives complain when districts are apportioned. Census data is usually not the source for numbers on illegal aliens for that reason. Upper end estimates for total number of illegal aliens present are currently 9-12 million. While that is a considerable number DACA is only a fraction of those.


25 posted on 09/13/2017 9:31:37 PM PDT by pharmacopeia (All will be well and all will be well and every kind of thing shall be well. (Julian of Norwic)
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To: pharmacopeia

Not trying to be argumentative. Let me run this by you.

Reagan’s program signed in 1986 (or there abouts), pretty much cleaned the slate of illegal aliens. 3.5 million signed up, even though Reagan was assured only 1.0 million would.

1990=0

By the 2000 census, there were nine million documented illegal aliens in the United States. This was confirmed with an after Census corrective statement to lock in the estimates.

What they want us to believe, is that 9 million came over in ten years back then, but only 3 million have come over since. Following me?

The rate that had been 900,000 per year for nine years on average, was then supposed to have dropped to less than 176,470 for the next 17 years, if we’re supposed to believe we only have 12 million now.

That’s just preposterous.

Time magazine clocked the yearly crossing at 3.5 million around 2004. Remember, Bush had pushed amnesty hard.

I never bought into that figure, but it was very believable that there were as many as 1.5 to 2.0 million coming over each year.

We had a person who was in a position to know. It was reported that illegal alien apprehensions along the border for one nine month period was 900,000 people. That’s a 1.2 million figure when annualized. The real kicker here was that the border agents claimed they traditionally only caught about 10 out of every 100 coming across the border. Even if you graced them for catching 20 out of 100, that means the 1.2 million figure grows five times. If it truly was 10/100, it grows ten times. Think about that for a minute. These are hard numbers too.

From 2000 to 2010, it’s my take we had AT THE VERY LEAST another ten million (rounding), and perhaps as many as 15-25 million.

Since that time we’ve had another 1-1.5 million coming over every year.

9 million in the 90s.
10 million in the first decade of the 21st Century.
10 million in the second decade up until now.

You tell me what you come up with, and these are very conservative estimates.

12 million here now?

That’s insulting.


26 posted on 09/13/2017 9:52:53 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (7.5 mos M/R joining dems to block Cons. agenda? No problem. Trump deal w/Dems, big problem! Ah NO!)
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To: WilliamIII

Well here is another thread with some thoughts on your question...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3585683/posts?page=6


27 posted on 09/13/2017 9:57:21 PM PDT by Freedom56v2 (Freeper formerly known as bushwon ;).Mississippi floo)
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To: House Atreides

+1


28 posted on 09/13/2017 10:19:46 PM PDT by 4Liberty (MSM: Democrat's PR firm)
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To: pharmacopeia
That number will be multiplied by at least a factor of 3 once the lawyers get involved, and they will form the start of a chain for their parents.

Anyone who thinks that Trump's meeting with Schumer and Pelosi is a good thing for conservatism or the future of America is a fool.

29 posted on 09/13/2017 10:33:25 PM PDT by FredZarguna (And what Rough Beast, its hour come 'round at last, slouches toward Fifth Avenue to be born?)
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To: Major Matt Mason; EQAndyBuzz
The thinking by Trump apologists that this "frees up the conservatives and boxes in the GOPe" is a genuine marvel of delusional thinking.

Here's how it's going to actually go in the Caucus:


GOPe/RINO's: "We want X, Y, and Z".
Conservatives: "Nope. Not going to do that. No Amnesty."
GOPe/RINO's: "OK, fine. Trump is already dealing with the Commies. We'll cut a deal with them, too. We've offered you the best deal you're going to get."

That's what's going to happen. Trump has now allowed the Dems to cut the GOP in half, and the half he's empowered is the LEFT half. So much for "9-Dimensional Chess."

30 posted on 09/13/2017 10:40:17 PM PDT by FredZarguna (And what Rough Beast, its hour come 'round at last, slouches toward Fifth Avenue to be born?)
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To: GOPJ; Helicondelta
The belief that there will be serious attempts to limit the number to 800,000 are delusional. The 800K number itself is far more than the number that would actually qualify if all of the criminals were seriously examined for disqualification, and if all the timelines were correctly drawn. The DHS ICE chief who left office in 2007 has spoken on this. He estimates fraud to be as high as 60% of all "Dreamers."

The number will get much higher once the lawyers and immigration advocates get involved. We can't even get the Federal Courts to agree on the fact that keeping non-citizens out of the US is a plenary power of the US President's, despite clear Constitutional language, plain statutory authority, and the entire Federal Case Law before 2000 to that effect. Does anyone seriously believe the Circuit Courts are going to ply the straight and narrow with people already qualified (in their minds) as US Persons? Dream on.

EXACTLY the same thing happened to Reagan's Amnesty. It was the biggest mistake of his Presidency and we've learned NOTHING.

Second, the claim that there will/can be limitations on them voting, going to the back of the line, only getting permits to work ... whatever ... is 100% C R A P.

You think there's unrest in the country now? Wait until the activists start talking about how Republican White Supremacists are making a whole new generation of "Americans" into "3/5 of a person." "No 2nd Class Citizens!" "Legalize the Dreamers!" They will be talking Citizenship NOW! And they will get it.

31 posted on 09/13/2017 10:57:08 PM PDT by FredZarguna (And what Rough Beast, its hour come 'round at last, slouches toward Fifth Avenue to be born?)
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To: GOPJ

I think DACA says they must be under 30.


32 posted on 09/14/2017 12:43:14 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: pharmacopeia

That is only those currently registered (with about half of that fraudulent).

But this new bill significantly expands DACA and lowers the bar so various felony convictions don’t have to get in the way. It also offers a green card (and thus guaranteed) path to citizenship.

It truly is sickening.


33 posted on 09/14/2017 12:54:17 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: pharmacopeia

“Texas is getting blue spots just like a lot of red states. Ours are a rural/urban split just like other states so most new citizens (if there is even a path to citizenship in the bill) will be in altready blue enclaves. Remember that a lot of them have been living like second generation industrial Americans so they’ve flocked to cities and have urban birth rates.”

Yah, for sure. There’s the core cities of our major metropolitan area; Dallas, Houston, Austin, San Antonio. Fortunately, the surrounding communities are still red. Don’t know how long it will last though....


34 posted on 09/14/2017 3:33:03 AM PDT by snoringbear (E.oGovernment is the Pimp,)
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To: FredZarguna

“The thinking by Trump apologists that this “frees up the conservatives and boxes in the GOPe” is a genuine marvel of delusional thinking.”

It’s only delusional if the Conservatives do not take up arms and primary the establishment. You win at the ballot box. We have been so focused on “just get a Republican in there” that the big picture went missing.

We cannot have a Conservative country if we do not have a conservative majority. Trump is making deals because that’s what he does.


35 posted on 09/14/2017 5:15:39 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (“The fundamental question of our time is whether the West has the will to survive.” - DJT)
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To: WilliamIII

anyone could claim DACA, they could just say they left and are coming back


36 posted on 09/14/2017 5:52:48 AM PDT by dila813 (Voting for Trump to Punish Trumpets!)
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To: Sacajaweau

Do you have a link?


37 posted on 09/14/2017 6:05:53 AM PDT by GOPJ ("$3 Million Dollars 'PER DAY' is spent to incarcerate illegal aliens. That's $1.2 Billion a year.")
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To: FredZarguna
The DHS ICE chief who left office in 2007 has spoken on this. He estimates fraud to be as high as 60% of all "Dreamers."

EXACTLY the same thing happened to Reagan's Amnesty.

It was the biggest mistake of his Presidency and we've learned NOTHING...You think there's unrest in the country now? Wait until the activists start talking about how Republican White Supremacists are making a whole new generation of "Americans" into "3/5 of a person." "No 2nd Class Citizens!" "Legalize the Dreamers!" They will be talking Citizenship NOW! And they will get it.

OMG - YOU must also have a large family and ALL of them except YOU are democrats... (My way of saying to TOTALLY "GET IT"...)

Thanks for sharing.

38 posted on 09/14/2017 6:11:07 AM PDT by GOPJ ("$3 Million Dollars 'PER DAY' is spent to incarcerate illegal aliens. That's $1.2 Billion a year.")
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To: flamberge
Worse. Because it won't even be what you think of as the D party.

It will be the non-white, get whitey's sh*t, everything white is bad, tear it all down party.

We'll be looking at the Democrat party of the early 2000s as the "good old days".

39 posted on 09/14/2017 9:22:09 AM PDT by riri
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