Hurricane Nate

NHC/NOAA ^ | 10/5/2017 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Storm Nate is emerging from Honduras into the Western Caribbean. Forecast models are in agreement that Nate will continue into the Gulf of Mexico. Oil companies have begun evacuations of offshore platforms.

Nate is forecast to reach the northern Gulf Coast this weekend as a hurricane, and the threat of direct impacts from wind, storm surge, and heavy rainfall is increasing from Louisiana through the western Florida Panhandle. Hurricane and tropical storm watches, as well as a storm surge watch, have been issued for a portion of the northern Gulf Coast, and residents in these areas should monitor the progress of Nate, heeding any advice given by local officials.

Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile, LA
Bouy Data Gulf of Mexico

[commish]

Batten down the hatches brother, going to be a blustery weekend around ole Mobile Bay.

[NautiNurse]

I just got my first ‘Extreme Threat Alert’. “Hurricane warning this area

That'll get the old ticker beating faster...

My eyes get big as saucers when that most ominous alert sounds. IIRC, it is the same one for tornado warnings.

[NautiNurse]

Let’s hope you are wrong. However, the NHC is hedging its forecast strength accordingly.

[commish]

I am hoping so too, but while I only play a meteorologist on my computer, my years of storm-watching and living in the SE is leaning me that way. Usually there are plenty of features on the weather maps that can be seen as inhibiting factors (Shear, cooler air, other storms) that are just not there.

The biggest factor right now is the forward speed, but that did not hinder Opal from going from a TS to a CAT 3 in a matter of hours, and conditions are very similar now.

[Tilted Irish Kilt]

Prepper (Update) : Hurricane Nate (Gulf area) - Louisiana, Alabama, and Florida Panhandle

A Hurricane Watch is now in effect east of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line.

A Storm Surge Watch is now in effect east of the Alabama/Florida border to Indian Pass, Florida.

The most recent update (10/6/2017)is at Post #53

[NautiNurse]

The GOM SST = 82-83ºF. The shallow coastal SST at Mobile and Pensacola are cooler (77-78ºF). As we’ve seen in the past, however, a storm downgrade just prior to landfall in the bowl of GOM does not substantially reduce surge from a previously stronger storm.

[Theoria]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Port_Eads,_Louisiana

[Lazamataz]

Look, I’m done with all this hurricane BS.

[trisham]

Thanks, TIK.

[Tilted Irish Kilt]

Lazamataz :" Look, I’m done with all this hurricane BS."

Well then, move up to Yankee land where there will soon be drifting snow
and the women are all heavily dressed in multilayers and are armed with shovels.
That's quite a change from shorts, tank tops, sunscreen, and tee shorts !

[twin2]

Just came from the grocery store, busy but has all items. I'm about five blocks from Mobile Bay, on the eastern shore. Geez, I was smiling last month as I watched south Florida, my former home, deal with Irma. It will be interesting here as hardly any of the homes have hurricane shutters, including mine. I'm also surrounded by trees. Lots of trees.

Also, they have not announced the cancellation of high school football games for tonight so I have to go broadcast that in the mist of preparations. I love Alabama, no panic and taking care of business first.

[FreedomPoster]

I’ve got an old friend who’s way high up in Southern Company transmission and distribution. I called him yesterday to thank him and all involved for their excellent recovery after Irma, and to chat about that a little - and catch up in general.

He was grateful to hear the thanks, and said they’re keeping a close eye on Nate. So those guys ought to be ready to spring into effective action again, as needed.

[NautiNurse]

I was smiling last month as I watched south Florida, my former home, deal with Irma.

Well, that was your first mistake. Karma.

[twin2]

Well, smiling in as I’m glad that’s not me. I did host some Florida evacuees for a few days:)

[Blueflag]

Current track puts it over our house as a depression, about 7 PM Sunday night. Lotsa rain ... little to worry about.

[houeto]

We've seen too many times that these storms drift east of the forecast track.

This one appears to me to already be showing signs of that. If I lived east of the FL/AL line I would batten down the hatches. I live three miles west of the AL/MS line on Hwy. 90. I believe we will get the 'dry' side of the storm.

[blam]

"This one appears to me to already be showing signs of that. If I lived east of the FL/AL line I would batten down the hatches. I live three miles west of the AL/MS line on Hwy. 90. I believe we will get the 'dry' side of the storm. "

I live four miles north of Bellingrath Gardens and have spent all morning preparing for winds from the south.....now you tell me that....

[backwoods-engineer]

I'm about 170 miles up I-65 from you. By the time it comes to Central Alabama, it shouldn't be much of a thing. But our county Emergency Operations Center is activating, just the same.

God Bless y'all down in the low country.

[houeto]

I live across the bay from you on the MS coast. The problem with our trees, as you know, is that they still have all their leaves. Something for high winds to grab hold of.

[houeto]

Believe me blam, we are preparing for ALL possibilities.