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To: Nero Germanicus
Here’s a link to Moore-Jones polling data. There was one poll in September that had Roy Moore up by 22. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/senate/al/alabama_senate_special_election_moore_vs_jones-6271.html#polls There are always those push polls from the campaigns that are really about motivating voters to support a candidate, but the scientific polls were much different. That one +22 poll was an early outlier.

I don't consider "realclearpolitics" to be an accurate non-partisan source. My general rule is that anything coming from them should be automatically discounted.

I have messages on another website in which we discussed the polling data several months ago, and I can probably find out what the source was if I go over there and look at my past messages, but I am loath to participate further on that website, and I don't want to go to the bother of searching through hundreds of messages to find it.

I believe i've seen similar poll numbers here on Free Republic several months ago, but again, it would require searching through a hell of a lot of crap to find them.

If I run across them, i'll grab a link, but i'm not going to make any special effort. 22% is good enough to serve the same point that the 28% serves, and that is to demonstrate that Moore was way ahead before the accusations were thrown into the media propaganda machine.

153 posted on 01/05/2018 1:30:39 PM PST by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: DiogenesLamp

Are you saying that realclearpolitics.com didn’t correctly report those polls’ data because if you click on any of the individual polls listed it takes you to the original source material. I’m sure that there were even more polls than the 11 different polling organizations that are listed and there could have been some other polls that had Roy Moore up by 28 but that certainly was never a trend.
I agree that the accusations turned the election around. However the conservative Alabamians who turned out in droves for Donald Trump stayed home for Roy Moore.
52 percent of voters said the sexual misconduct allegations against Moore were true, according to exit polls — and 89 percent of them voted for Jones. By contrast, 43 percent said they were false, with Moore winning 94 percent of those voters.
And 60 percent said the allegations were at least a minor factor in their vote. Jones won more than two-thirds of them. Among the 35 percent who said the allegations against Moore were not a factor at all, Moore won 76 percent of their votes.


156 posted on 01/05/2018 5:11:09 PM PST by Nero Germanicus
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