Posted on 01/31/2018 12:26:29 PM PST by 11th_VA
It’s just one poll from one polling outlet (albeit one given an A+ rating for accuracy and sound methodology by FiveThirtyEight). But for Democrats already concerned about the love shown the president in snap polls following last night’s State of the Union Address, the first 2018 national survey from Monmouth University lands like a punch in the mouth.
Compared to its December poll, the new results (taken from interviews between January 28 and January 30) show big gains for both Trump and his party among registered voters. His December job approval rating, at 32 percent, was his lowest since taking office according to Monmouth’s temperature readings. Now it has bounced up to 42 percent. Similarly, in December the GOP tax bill was notably unpopular, with 26 percent approving of it and 47 percent disapproving. Now opinions on the bill, after lots of hype about bonuses and cuts in tax withholding, are dead even at 44/44.
Worst of all for Dems, a 15-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot in December (51/36) is now down to two points (47/45). This equals the smallest Democratic advantage in any poll since the beginning of the current election cycle.
Yes, there’s been a general pro-Republican trend in the generic ballot in recent weeks. In the RealClearPolitics polling averages the Democratic advantage peaked at 13 percent just before Christmas, and has come down to 7.5 percent now. But that latter number is still consistent with major Democratic gains, and perhaps a House takeover, in November. A two-point margin is another thing altogether...
(Excerpt) Read more at nymag.com ...
blue wave my ass LOL
bbbb....bbbbb.....bbbb.......bbbbut it’s a BLUE WAVE! They’re gonna SWEEEP both Houses of Congress!!
likely a 10 pt spread...they all lead the questions, lie, lie, lie...
It’s real simple. If the economy and the market are doing well going into the midterms, Trump and the GOP will win.
Wait until the SOTU bounce kicks in!
Which really means Red Wave!!
Wait until October...when people start to pay attention to the election.
And this is why the glum faces last night at the State of the Union....they are not smart, but they religiously follow the polls.
Those higher 2018 paychecks are gonna leave a mark!
My new tax cut paycheck will amount to a raise of almost $3000 a year. That will buy a lot of crumbs.
The question to ask your liberal colleagues is whether their Congress critter voted for it.
This is before the memo.
Impeachment may well be on the other foot next year - and prison.
Pelosi is the gift that keeps on giving. Her cud-chewing image should be plastered all over GOP campaign commercials.
Dems gonna be dems but the large majority of independents do not like the way the President is being treated, imo.
I know I'm going out on a limb here....but maybe, just maybe, that December poll for full of $hit.
The blue ripple turned into a BIG RED WAVE. HAHA
Rick Saccone’s ads here in PA-18 are going wall-to-wall tying his Democrat opponent to Pelosi.
Occam’s Razor Answer: Voters were highly PO-ed after the GOP failed to repeal Obamacare.
Pollsters came along and asked “would you consider voting for someone else?” and most answered “yes”.
I loved Rush’s comment today that it looked like she didn’t get her dentures in right.
Good!
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