Posted on 03/13/2018 8:19:22 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX
For whatever it’s worth, Saccone appears to have suddenly pulled even in the yard sign race.
We will see Trump's coattails in Nov.
Saccone’s main problems IMHO:
1) He looks bad. In most of the ads he looks like a sloppily-dressed walrus. Not good when your opponent is young and telegenic.
2) He is a member of the PA Legislature, which is more than enough to make you distrust him right off the bat.
3) Republican voters are worn-out, disgusted and demotivated after years of pouring support behind Tim Murphy who turned out to be a two-timing plastic banana phony.
4) Democrats on the other hand are fully charged-up as the relentless Trump Hatred and calls to RESIST have them crawling over broken glass to get to the polls.
No, people DID show up to vote; that is why there was a line, albeit a small one, which the poll worker said was unprecedented.
Maybe it’s just my part of the district, but I’m not seeing any of that. I live in a very rural part of the 18th and I see way more Saccone support than Lamb.
In reality, Pro-Trump, Pro-MAGA candidates have done very well in Congressional Races.
I still grin over the millions RATs burned through in Georgia last year only to lose LOL!!!
save
That means that whatever happens today will just be redone in November. Sure, the winner *may* have an advantage in November from running as an incumbent, but that person will have to start campaigning IMMEDIATELY after winning, so there won't be much of a record to run on.
Furthermore, turnout today may be impacted mostly by Democrat enthusiasm that might be more evenly matched by Republican enthusiasm in November than it is today.
So, the bottom line may be that the MSM gets a meme to play up for awhile, but that whatever happens today gets redone in November for real, when a "national" momentum will be in play.
-PJ
You mean like the 5/5 US House races, the CD8 Race where we beat Ds 2:1, TX, where the Trump-related guys (even George P. Bush) won overwhelmingly? Those coattails?
The only place Trump has no coattails is where people run away from him or where the races are so localized no one pays attention.
I will tell you one thing, we have been bombarded with robo calls from the RNC et al... I had a republican canvasser come by on Sunday asking if I was going to the polls to vote for Saccone and I even got a personal phone message from President Donald J. Trump!! How could I refuse to vote after that?
Needless to say I went over lunch and pulled the lever for Saccone. Lamb is running an under the radar race where he doesn’t commit to any positions and does not talk against any of Trump’s proposals directly. Saccone is advertising he’s a true conservative and will be Trump’s wingman in Congress. They said traffic in the polling booth has been steady all day even though I was the only one in there voting. Most people I believe go to vote either before work or after so no surprise that it was not busy when I went in.
My guess is Lamb wins.
GOP hasn’t given anyone a reason to vote for them.
/shrug
During a regular election, there would be a line out the door, and during the 2016 election, I went at 7:00 AM and was at least 20+ back.
We just have to 'wait and see'.
75,000 more Democrats on the books in the district.
Honestly at this point, there really isn’t much to comment on. This one is a turnout race, as nearly all special/mid term elections are.
Weather is fine.
Dems and Trump haters are motivated and will crawl over broken glass to vote...
I have felt Saccone and the GOPe pacs messaging has not been appropriate to motivate turnout outside the hard core R’s who were going to show up anyway.
Saccone should still win by a few points, but it should not be as close as it is going to be, and it is not beyond the realm of possibility that Lamb pulls an upset.
I believe and have from the start, that Saccone’s and the GOPe PACs messaging was tin eared in this race. Typical republican red meat, attempt to tie the D to Pelosi. This sort of messaging could literally be from any election for any R candidate for the last 15+ years.
Seems to me that The GOPE/SACCONE seem to want to just rely on the district makeup to pull them over the finish line.... not really put out a strong motivation to get the MAGA voters (Is and cross over D’s who showed up for Trump) to come out to vote.
If this is the messaging they plan to run in the fall midterms, R’s will lose a lot of close districts, and the house.
Time will tell... this one fully boils down to turnout. If I am right, Lamb may pull an upset. If it is closer than 8 points GOP needs to wake up to reality before fall and fix their messaging.
Is it snowing in PA today?
Low turnout helps Lamp, period.
Dems and Trump haters are VERY motivated and angry they will be showing up. IF R’s and MAGA I’s and D’s don’t, Lamb very well can win.
Sadly I think the messaging for this race has been poor to motivate turnout of those groups from the get go.
This will be far closer than it should be, and Lamb very well may win.
Yeah, doesn’t look good.
Wasn’t particularly impressed with Rick either. Just my opinion, I’ve never even seen Lamb.
Trump’s election was the GOP’s chance to shine, and instead it showed its voters that it’s a total fraud.
You are right on the money. The Republicans have won all five of the House Congressional seats last in 2017. They did lose the US Senate race in Alabama, mainly because they offered up a very flawed candidate in Judge, Roy Bean, who was weak on many fronts.
Now, I readily admit that Rick Saccone is not the most attractive man in the world, but, if you look at his rap sheet, 22 years in the Air Force, an Intelligence Officer, an expert on North Korea, a good, decent public servant, with his two sons serving in the Air Force today, he actually is a pretty decent candidate.
I am not looking for a pretty boy....I am looking for someone that will support POTUS, Donald J. Trump, 100% of the time. Rick Saccone is that man. Conon Lamb is not, and never would or will be, if elected, Mr. Lamb whether he utters it or not, is the political slave to whatever, Democrat Minority Leader, Nancy Pelosi orders him to do...he will do just as she always wishes. Anyone that believes the soft pablum dished out by Conon Lamb, is not living in this real world, and they are only fooling themselves. Maybe they all liked being out-of-work, living on food stamps and government handouts when Obama was POTUS!!! We shall see, this evening!!!
snowshowers nothing that is going to drastically affect turn out that I can see.
MSNBC’s Velshi Patronizes Steel Worker: ‘You Don’t Want Your Son Being a Steel Worker I Assume’
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