A bad time to be heading to Charleston?
If this path (from CBS website) is correct, I'm dead in the water.
I live in north central Florida, right square in the center of this thing.
My farm is just to the left of the leftmost "3" on the graphic.
It's too soon to know it this is accurate, but it doesn't look good for the homestead.
On the bright side, we'll get plenty of rain to keep the grass growing in the pastures for the cows to eat.
I’m in Ft Lauderdale on the water. Have everything we need for prep but have a boat in the water that I might need to secure on Saturday or Sunday AM.
I’m up here in Aiken County, SC, right across the Savannah River from Augusta, GA. Looks like this will move south of us. Praying for all those affected.
Thank you thank you thank you so very much for doing this thread that me and all my friends Freeprs and not freepers all depend on through every hurricane thank you
Uh oh, now it’s official.
Not much left here to damage so we are just laughing as if deranged.
2994N
8541W
vob
Not much left here to damage so we are just laughing as if deranged.
2994N
8541W
vob
Thank you. Appreciate your diligence with these postings. Wife and I left central Florida in April; relocated to south Mississippi. Looks like a good move. Still have family and lots of friends in the path. Prayers for all.
Watching from South Carolina. Thanks NN for all you do for us here during hurricane season.
Summary Of 1100 PM AST...Information
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...About 90 MI...N of San Juan PR
Max Sustained Winds...85 MPH...
Moving...NW at 13 MPH...
Minimum Pressure...986 MB...
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 mi.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
Thanks for running this thread!
Thanks, NN, for reporting for duty!
Watch the media turn this into a global warming story even though the last week of August and first week of September are the most active weeks in hurricane season.
Thank-you for your help NN. God Bless.
If this has not yet been posted, there’s a great collection of info. here:
http://trackthetropics.com/dorian-2019/
Trying to do some street analysis here using Andrew data on excel. https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_pages/andrew1992/index.html (flight level data -> position vs time)
So Andrew hit Miami while it started 10 degree more north than Dorian, but Andrew was slower, thus its trajectory flatter.
Hurricanes tend to speed up going flat westard and then move up north and start slowing down because of corriolis. That results in a flattening of their trajectory back towards a more westward path which tends to reaccelerate then.
Dorian is at 11 mph northwestard, Andrew was at 8-9 its most westwardly and 6 Northwestwarly.
So Dorian displaces almost twice as fast as Andrew. THat means it will overshoot most likely the ANdrew path Northward and hit north of Andrew. It will start flattening out West north West maybe at the level of Miami when Andrew was going full West and even a bit South.
My bet is that it will accelerate Westward and hit Cap Canaveral instead of going to Jacksonville.
So I say 10% it hits just North of Miami , 90% between Cap Canaveral and Jacksonville, betting 50% Cap Canaveral to Daytona and 40% Daytona-Jacksonville.
Make your bets
