[justa-hairyape]

Stuck on the island. Been wobbling back and forth from south coast to north coast. Now going through eye wall cycle replacement. Time to use dice and chicken entrails to predict this one.

[KC Burke]

As you say, Eye Wall Reconstruction Cycle. It can be seen at the end of this good radar loop. This is actual and not a model projection.

Starts with the tight eye moving west, shows the stall, shows the eye wall breaking down in its previously circular shape as the wall rebuilds, shows the hurricane center starting NNW, shows the new Eye Wall with a bigger diameter at the end.