Posted on 03/22/2020 12:12:29 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
........... But in the fact-challenged world of the coronavirus COVID-19, there are still actual facts out there, and Fox News analyst hit a homer with a single post on Twitter.
“As the number of cases has expanded, the mortality rate has declined. It will likely decline even further if and when those without symptoms can be diagnosed and counted,” Hume tweeted.
He included a tweet from another Twitter user that laid out the death rate in the U.S. from COVID-19.
4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases) 3.69% March 9 (26 of 704) 3.01% March 10 (30 of 994) 2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295) 2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695) 2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247) 1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954) 1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680)
China has a population of 1,437,722,468 as of Tuesday, based on Worldometer elaboration of the latest United Nations data.
COVID-19 was born there, with the first case being diagnosed on Dec. 1.
On Tuesday, there were 81,054 confirmed cases of the virus, according to Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering. Of those, 68,798 recovered, while 3,230 people died, at least according to statistics released by China (figures that could well be cooked by officials there). The remainder were still active cases.
But if the numbers are accurate, that means the infection rate in China was just .006%. How, then, are the “experts” forecasting that well more than 50% of the 320 million people in America — where people already wash their hands incessantly and use Purell nonstop — will be infected?
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
That’s great news, but it doesn’t mean it can’t start rapidly inclining at any point in time in the future.
Relying on China for accurate information?
Now we will shift from hysteria and panic about the “death rate” to hysteria and panic about the “rate of spread”.
Time to shift gears all you Chicken Freepers.
This is no surprise. The President and his team said this would happen the last few days. There are many more being tested now then there has been before. Many many more. What we’re seeing right now is a total rise in positive results. BUT it usually takes 4 to 6 weeks from onset until death to occur so all these newly discovered cases don’t have an outcome yet.
“Time to shift gears...”
Except when it comes to buying more toilet paper. Need MORE!
Someone coined a new term: Dempanic
Wow, NY now has more deaths then Washington. I wonder why this flu has not hit the homeless populations in California?
“Except when it comes to buying more toilet paper.”
I stocked up on essentials when we were under a REAL crisis...the Obama presidency.
“That’s great news, but it doesn’t mean it can’t start rapidly inclining at any point in time in the future.”
Or that we might be hit with a meteorite.
Also add this term —
— FreepPanic
Wait till they start breaking down the socioeconomic data about who's getting it.
NOTE THIS CAVEAT: China (figures that could well be cooked by officials there).
So, the numerator is suspect in their figures. But then, so will the denominator.
china was welding people inside their homes. that’s why they bent the curve so fast. good luck doing that here.
looks like its going to spike today though cuase of NYC but that tells me one thing we should have NYC metro area as seperate from rest of USA for tracking this
Yes. And we don’t live in crammed together apartments or population dense cities.
Except in places where predictably it’s hitting hardest, eg New York.
This is criminal abuse of statistics, and Hume is a tool for trying to state this. CCP Virus is aggressively contagious. The contagion was controlled in China by enforcing isolation at gun point and welding people in their homes.
Probably will decline as 1) they test more broadly and find more mild cases, and 2) they learn better how to treat it.
But a straight cases/deaths measure further isn’t very useful. Most importantly, it generally takes people who are going to die from it 3-4 weeks to advance to death. At a time of sharply increasing total numbers, there will be a lag for the death volume to catch up to the cases volume.
China is lying. There is essentially ZERO chance that they have ZERO new cases.
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