Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Data Analysts Question How 25 Percent of Arizona Voters Flipped to Oppose Trump Candidates Despite GOP Voter Registration Advantage
The Arizona Sun Times ^ | December 7, 2022 | Rachel Alexander

Posted on 12/07/2022 3:00:33 PM PST by McGruff

Investigations are continuing into the election anomalies in Arizona, where Republicans performed fairly well except for in the top four Trump-endorsed races. Since there are 4 percent more Republicans than Democrats in the state (as well as in Maricopa County), and most of the Republicans were easily beating their Democratic opponents in mainstream polls, data analysts are looking closely at the numbers. Analytics 805 examined the numbers of who voted in most of the races, and discovered that Republican candidates outside of the four races performed incredibly well in contrast, as much as 200 percent better.

Analytics 805 founder Thomas Cole told The Arizona Sun Times, “We took the Arizona election numbers and made this chart, to visually show the improbability of Kari Lake losing, while the entire state of Arizona voted Republican for the State Senate and U.S. House races. We saw a two-to-one Republican versus Democrat vote in the State Senate races. So it makes no sense to think those Republicans suddenly flipped to Democrat Katie Hobbs for governor by a 25 percent margin.”

Cole said he became interested in the data after watching an episode of Joe Oltmann’s Conservative Daily Podcast, where Oltmann crunched the numbers.

(Excerpt) Read more at arizonasuntimes.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona
KEYWORDS: arizona; bs; electionfraud; karilake; trumpfatigue; voterfraud
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 81-100101-120121-140141-148 next last
To: Mr Rogers; DiogenesLamp
Is Kari Lake claiming she lost due to massive fraud?

No, of course she isn’t. If she was she might be asked to back it up in a venue where there were consequences - like court. She understandably, like Trump’s lawyers in 2020, doesn’t want to do that.

Here on FR, on the other hand, fraud conspiracies are a great alternative to facing the fact that MAGA candidates didn’t resonate with voters this election and that a course correction might be in order.

101 posted on 12/07/2022 5:16:56 PM PST by semimojo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 96 | View Replies]

Maricopa County BOS denied voters the chance to vote.


102 posted on 12/07/2022 5:19:46 PM PST by TakebackGOP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: DiogenesLamp

Nevada. They could spare the governor to a “republican” because he proved he would go along to get along when he was the police chief after the concert massacre. But they couldn’t spare the senate seat.


103 posted on 12/07/2022 5:23:09 PM PST by MileHi ((Liberalism is an ideology of parasites, hypocrites, grievance mongers, victims, and control freaks.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 67 | View Replies]

To: DiogenesLamp

As much as I dislike the AP, I find their reporting on this plausible:

“CLAIM: Arizona’s largest county in the 2020 election received and counted 74,000 mail-in ballots that had no record of ever being sent out to voters.

THE FACTS: False. The claim mischaracterizes reports that are intended to help political parties track early voters for their get-out-the-vote efforts, not tally mail-in ballots through Election Day. The reports don’t represent all mail-in ballots sent out and received, so the numbers aren’t expected to match up, according to Maricopa County officials and outside experts.

“We have 74,243 mail-in ballots where there is no clear record of them being sent,” Logan said at a meeting livestreamed at Arizona’s Capitol on Thursday. “That could be something where documentation wasn’t done right. There’s a clerical issue. There’s not proper things there, but I think when we’ve got 74,000, it merits knocking on a door and validating some of this information.”

Logan based his false claim on two types of early voting reports issued by Maricopa County: EV32 files and EV33 files. He claimed that EV32 files are “supposed to give a record of when a mail-in ballot is sent” and EV33 files are “supposed to give a record of when the mail-in ballot is received.”

That’s not accurate, according to Maricopa County officials, who tweeted on Friday that “the EV32 Returns & EV33 files are not the proper files to refer to for a complete accumulating of all early ballots sent and received.”

Instead, the EV32 and EV33 files are reports created for political parties to aid them in their get-out-the-vote efforts during early voting, according to Tammy Patrick, a senior adviser at the Democracy Fund and a former Maricopa County elections official. Arizona law requires county recorders to provide this data to political parties and candidates, Patrick said.

Arizona reports both mail-in ballots and early in-person votes at voting centers as early votes, so both are included in the data in files EV32 and EV33, Patrick said.”

https://apnews.com/article/government-and-politics-arizona-ap-fact-check-election-2020-campaign-2016-f0c36df59ee1069d65aa6a70a22d88cc

A couple of days after the election, I heard Hannity claiming Arizona didn’t know if they had 400,000 votes left to count or 650,000. He cited that as reason to be suspicious.

The only thing suspicious is in Hannity’s head. He was confusing Maricopa County’s 400,000 left to count with Arizona’s 650,000 left to count, and 2 minutes of Internet search by a staffer would have cleared up his confusion.


And look at this:

“Instead, the EV32 and EV33 files are reports created for political parties to aid them in their get-out-the-vote efforts during early voting, according to Tammy Patrick, a senior adviser at the Democracy Fund and a former Maricopa County elections official. Arizona law requires county recorders to provide this data to political parties and candidates, Patrick said.”

Democrats are very good at USING those files to get out the votes THEY want. Republicans SUCK at using those reports - provided to both parties BY LAW - to get out OUR vote!


104 posted on 12/07/2022 5:23:46 PM PST by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 97 | View Replies]

To: TakebackGOP

“Maricopa County BOS denied voters the chance to vote.”

Maricopa County voters had 4 WEEKS to vote in person! Explain again how Maricopa BOS is responsible if paranoid people waited until the last day of those 4 weeks to cast a vote.


105 posted on 12/07/2022 5:27:30 PM PST by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 102 | View Replies]

To: Mr Rogers

“Maricopa County voters had 4 WEEKS to vote in person! Explain again how Maricopa BOS is responsible if paranoid people waited until the last day of those 4 weeks to cast a vote.”

Because they knew that they were going to vote on Election Day moron. That’s how Lake defeated her primary opponent, because they couldn’t come up with enough ballots to defeat Lake, even though they tried for a few days. Maricopa BOS is responsible for the machines, scanners, and printers not working on Election Day.


106 posted on 12/07/2022 5:32:51 PM PST by TakebackGOP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 105 | View Replies]

To: McGruff

Well who’s running the computerized election systems? Dems because they know tech. Repubs can barely get on a computer, nevermind manipulating data.

Most of Maricopa machines had settings issues.


107 posted on 12/07/2022 5:33:57 PM PST by Pollard ( >>> The Great Reset is already underway! <<<)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TakebackGOP
"Because they knew that they were going to vote on Election Day moron."

If you wait until election day, there is no backup if there is a problem. So who is the moron?

As I wrote, paranoid people insisted on only voting on election day because "Fraud"! But if you wait until the last day out of 4 weeks, things CAN go wrong and there will be no time to fix the problem.

FWIW, all my friends voted for the Trump slate of candidates - or so they told me. They also voted early. In person. With photo ID. As my wife and I did.

108 posted on 12/07/2022 5:36:51 PM PST by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 106 | View Replies]

To: Pollard

“Dems because they know tech. Repubs can barely get on a computer...”

So now Republicans are STUPID and Democrats the smart ones?


109 posted on 12/07/2022 5:37:41 PM PST by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 107 | View Replies]

To: McGruff

Oh, is this the story Elias, et al, had ready to roll?


110 posted on 12/07/2022 5:38:29 PM PST by Jane Long (What we were told was a “conspiracy theory” in 2020 is now fact. 🙏🏻 Ps 33:12 of day. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: McGruff

Oops….never mind!!! I thought this was their lying, cover story.


111 posted on 12/07/2022 5:40:05 PM PST by Jane Long (What we were told was a “conspiracy theory” in 2020 is now fact. 🙏🏻 Ps 33:12 of day. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mr Rogers

” If you wait until election day, there is no backup if there is a problem. So who is the moron?

As I wrote, paranoid people insisted on only voting on election day because “Fraud”! But if you wait until the last day out of 4 weeks, things CAN go wrong and there will be no time to fix the problem.

FWIW, all my friends voted for the Trump slate of candidates - or so they told me. They also voted early. In person. With photo ID. As my wife and I did. “

Paranoid people, who saw what happened in 2020, when the election was stolen. They have a right to be paranoid with the BOS. Conservatives vote on Election Day. You do a do-over election if the machines don’t work. It was clearly intentional by the BOS, which you are defending. If you vote early, they know how many ballots they need to cheat.


112 posted on 12/07/2022 5:43:34 PM PST by TakebackGOP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 108 | View Replies]

To: McGruff

The problem with these studies is they assume there was no fraud.


113 posted on 12/07/2022 5:46:05 PM PST by Organic Panic (Democrats. Memories as short as Joe Biden's eyes)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: McGruff

Gosh, goodness gracious, that’s quite a lot of vote flipping.
And we’re supposed to believe it?


114 posted on 12/07/2022 5:51:50 PM PST by frank ballenger (You have summoned up a thundercloud. You're gonna hear from me. Anthem by Leonard Cohen)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: McGruff
..the same careful statistical analysis that proves that Lula won in Brazil--NOT

Kari won by alot...

115 posted on 12/07/2022 5:52:32 PM PST by WalterSkinner (In Memory of My Father, WWII Vet 2007 , and Mom, the Best Mother Ever 2019)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TakebackGOP

“You do a do-over election if the machines don’t work.”

REALLY? I’m in my 60s. I’ve NEVER seen a “do-over election”!

Those of us who didn’t follow your advice cast votes. Those who did - “conservatives” - sometimes did not. Yes, I heard Garrett Lewis on talk radio (KNST) telling everyone to wait until election day to vote. I ignored him and voted a week early. Guess who was right.


116 posted on 12/07/2022 5:59:11 PM PST by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 112 | View Replies]

To: Mr Rogers
“And she lost the election in the McCain stronghold of Maricopa County.”

Wow! You voters in Maricopa and so effing stupid. Just as stupid as Pa voters who elected Fetterman. Wallow in your stupidity!

117 posted on 12/07/2022 6:05:08 PM PST by Chgogal (Welcome to Fuhrer Biden's Weaponized Fascist Banana Republic! It's the road to hell..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 54 | View Replies]

To: Mr Rogers

“REALLY? I’m in my 60s. I’ve NEVER seen a “do-over election”!

Those of us who didn’t follow your advice cast votes. Those who did - “conservatives” - sometimes did not. Yes, I heard Garrett Lewis on talk radio (KNST) telling everyone to wait until election day to vote. I ignored him and voted a week early. Guess who was right.”

You are clearly a McCain Republican and are defending the BOS who sabotaged the machines on Election Day, which is when conservatives vote. You’re defending the corrupt BOS. It wouldn’t matter if people voted early, because they would know how many ballots to come up with, and they would have cheated.


118 posted on 12/07/2022 6:05:21 PM PST by TakebackGOP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 116 | View Replies]

To: Vermont Lt

One of them bought Twitter.

Another ran for President and has been MAGA endorsing candidates.


119 posted on 12/07/2022 6:09:19 PM PST by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Mr Rogers

Then you haven’t been paying attention.


120 posted on 12/07/2022 6:10:21 PM PST by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 116 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 81-100101-120121-140141-148 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson