This is a very interesting one coming from Ward Connerley (I think that's spelling is more or less right) saying that California should not collect racial statistics or make purchasing decisions based on race. This is a loaded grenade and is likely to make turnout on both sides high.
The LA Weekly's current issue has one of their trademark political essays, lengthly to the point of tedium, claiming that since the electorate is leftist, especially in LA and SF, Davis was right in his strategy to bury Riordan and help Simon, who of course will be crushed in the general. The much more conservative Jill Stewart of the New Times thinks so as well.
I think disgust with the present administration is going to carry the day. Davis will have a tough time at best spinning his record. Even the LA Weekly admits that they will hold their nose when voting for Davis.
My best guess is that the LA Weekly crowd isn't going to turn out in any great numbers for Davis, a man they despise. Since Republicans are more likely voters in any event, I think that tilts the advantage towards Simon.
I don't think we should be complacent; all of us should get behind Simon. But we should be of good cheer while doing it. I think this story is good as a tonic of optimism in an often pessimistic world; if we are too optimistic, we will not bother voting; if we are too pessimistic, we won't bother voting because we don't think our guy has a chance. So we should continue to this election optimistic, but recognizing that every vote counts.
D
I think thay USED to be true. However as many as 4 million rightwingers stayed home in the last presidential election and it hurt us BADLY(That was brought up at the last local GOP meeting I was at too).
I don't think we should be complacent; all of us should get behind Simon. But we should be of good cheer while doing it. I think this story is good as a tonic of optimism in an often pessimistic world; if we are too optimistic, we will not bother voting; if we are too pessimistic, we won't bother voting because we don't think our guy has a chance. So we should continue to this election optimistic, but recognizing that every vote counts
I tend to sound more pessimistic than I am. It comes from my football background. I'm a coach and former player. Everyone wanted to beat our team. It's a "Us against the world" mentality. "Everyone"(The elite) wants to beat the NRA. We don't have the media and all the talent to win. That means we need hard work to win. Giving up is not part of who I am, so that means there is one option. Outwork the enemy and win, and beat them so bad that they will never come back, and put in your 2nd stringers to gain them experience.
Engler did that to Fieger in 98. Coattails took out most of the dems in the swing districts. We control redistricting, so we win, got a good farm club, and are in fairly good shape down the ticket.
Everyone is out to beat Simon. Simon is the underdog. I don't care if he's up by 25 points. He's the underdog. Now there are two options. Chicken out, or outwork the enemy.
There's the choice.