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Souring Relations Between Qatar and Saudi Arabia Threaten U.S. Forces
STRATFOR ^ | 29 July 2002 | Staff

Posted on 07/29/2002 3:12:46 PM PDT by Axion

Souring Relations Between Qatar and Saudi Arabia Threaten U.S. Forces
29 July 2002

Summary

It appears Saudi Arabia and Qatar are headed for a quarrel that could affect U.S. forces deployed in Qatar. Doha's willingness to support the U.S. military's buildup for a war with Iraq is making rulers in Riyadh irate, a feeling the Al Jazeera cable network has only compounded by airing criticisms of the Saudi regime.

Analysis

Saudi daily al Watan called Qatar's foreign minister, Sheikh Hamad bin Jassem al Thani, a "dwarf" July 29 after he met with his Israeli counterpart Shimon Peres in Paris. The insult is just the latest in a string of sour notes sounded between Riyadh and Doha.

Layers of resentment are contributing to the tensions between Qatar and Saudi Arabia. At the surface, Riyadh is genuinely angry about the negative press coverage by Doha-based Al Jazeera, a satellite TV network that broadcasts relatively uncensored material throughout the Arab world. Beneath this outrage over Qatari press freedoms is the fear that Qatari support for a U.S. military campaign against Iraq could result in Washington's advancing its war plans.

Tensions between the two Gulf neighbors could create an unstable environment for U.S. troops deployed in the region in the short- to mid-term. In a worst-case scenario, Saudi Arabia might pressure Qatar to oust the U.S. forces, or it might stir dissidents inside its tiny neighbor to try to destabilize the Doha regime or even launch assaults against American military personnel.

Qatar is a key U.S. military asset, and it likely will play a strategic role if America wages war on Iraq. American military forces began earlier this year building up the al Udeid air base to augment the two main bases it already has in Qatar. They reportedly have moved in munitions, communications and other equipment out of neighboring Saudi Arabia. U.S. troops also have upgraded or built runways and hangars at the base, and both U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld have visited the tiny Gulf state in recent months, The Associated Press reported June 30.

The other two key U.S. bases in Qatar are Camp Al Sayliyah and Camp Snoopy. Camp Al Sayliyah on the outskirts of Doha is stocked with tanks, armored vehicles, ammunition and other U.S. Army equipment. The Army also runs Camp Snoopy, which serves as a logistics hub. It is adjacent to the main airport in Doha.

Riyadh has flatly refused to allow Washington to conduct a military campaign against Iraq from U.S. bases in Saudi Arabia. U.S. military planners may be hoping to turn the al Udeid air base into an operations center to replace the Combined Air Operations Center at the Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia. There are about 3,300 American troops now deployed in Qatar.

Saudi Arabia likely feels threatened by the U.S. buildup at al Udeid, which Central Command chief Gen. Tommy Franks has hinted is intended to replicate the Prince Sultan base's capabilities for communications and command and control. Worse, Riyadh does not want the United States ensconced in Baghdad and therefore is irate with the Qataris for undermining its efforts to stave off the U.S. campaign by offering an alternate base for air operations.

Al Jazeera's broadcasts of criticism of the ruling House of Saud only exacerbate Riyadh's strategic concerns. The government in Riyadh -- like most Arab governments -- is not used to being questioned publicly in the Arab media. Most of the region's governments have complained to Doha about Al Jazeera's coverage, which is relatively uncensored when compared to the largely state-owned media in the Arab world.

The troubles between the two have heated up since June 25, when Al Jazeera aired a live debate wherein guests, including a London-based Saudi dissident and an Egyptian journalist, discussed and criticized Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah's peace initiative for the Middle East. In response, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal failed to stop in Qatar during a regional tour a few weeks later.

Coming from Riyadh, the condemnation of Thani's meeting with Peres is ironic: It was Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah who pushed forward a proposal promising Israel peace with the entire Arab world. But the criticisms have little to do with Israel. Instead, Saudi Arabia is warning Qatar of its growing displeasure. It is unclear what Riyadh can or will do to rein in Qatar, but as the recent warnings crystallize into a coherent policy, Doha can expect trouble from its neighbor.



TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 07/29/2002 3:12:46 PM PDT by Axion
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To: getgoing
Ping
2 posted on 07/29/2002 3:16:32 PM PDT by knighthawk
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To: Axion
The discomforture of the Saudis is the best news of the day. I hunger for some act to strip us of our illusions that the Saudis are our friends. If we deploy troops in Qatar, we will have to protect our troops, and that will cause us to look disapprovingly at any efforts to destabilize the Qatar government while they are playing host to us. The House of Saud will one day soon fall like a house of cards. Hurrah!
3 posted on 07/29/2002 3:26:32 PM PDT by thegreatbeast
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To: Axion
bttt
4 posted on 07/29/2002 3:39:05 PM PDT by surely_you_jest
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To: thegreatbeast
If I were KING, my first order is to stop selling ANY military hardware to Saudi land. We could face the uncacceptible fact that it could and WILL be used against us!!!
5 posted on 07/29/2002 6:10:52 PM PDT by Winston Smith
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To: Axion; surely_you_jest; knighthawk; thegreatbeast
Hmmmmmmm.

Isn't Qatar the only truly modern, capital, rule-of-law, secular, democratic-monarchy in all of Araby?

Hmmmmmmm. Here is to the Manifest Destiny of a 'Greater Qatar' !!

Preferably one spanning from the western border of India to the western border of Morocco.

Better even than an Ottoman II Empire of the Turks!

6 posted on 07/29/2002 6:11:09 PM PDT by dodger
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To: Winston Smith
I am afraid it is a little too late.

Check out this report on their military:

http://www.csis.org/mideast/reports/mbmeXIIISGulf122898.pdf

They got it all, M-1's, AH-64 (not many), F-15's (not as advanced as the US version), E-3 AWACS. The report even mentions they want F-22's and Aegis-cruisers armed with Tomahawks!

You better become king quickly...
7 posted on 07/29/2002 6:30:12 PM PDT by knighthawk
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To: knighthawk
They got it all, M-1's, AH-64 (not many), F-15's (not as advanced as the US version), E-3 AWACS. The report even mentions they want F-22's and Aegis-cruisers armed with Tomahawks!

It does not matter how advanced the equipment are. The Arabs suck at fighting wars, period.

Or else, why did they keep getting their asses kicked by Israel in so many Arab-Israel wars?

That reminded me of the article on Free Republic about why Arab culture prevented the Arabs from winning a war.

8 posted on 08/05/2002 6:12:47 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
Yes, they loose every war. But they think they still won it, because if they losse a war it's allah's will and by losing they live in the way allah ment for them! And by doing so is like winning.
9 posted on 08/05/2002 6:26:13 PM PDT by knighthawk
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To: knighthawk
Yes, they loose every war. But they think they still won it, because if they losse a war it's allah's will and by losing they live in the way allah ment for them! And by doing so is like winning.

Let's say we bomb the black rock in Mecca, will they still think it's Allah's will?

10 posted on 08/05/2002 6:31:25 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: knighthawk
Yes, they loose every war. But they think they still won it, because if they losse a war it's allah's will and by losing they live in the way allah ment for them! And by doing so is like winning.

Let's say we bomb the black rock in Mecca, will they still think it's Allah's will?

11 posted on 08/05/2002 6:31:32 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Axion
Saudi daily al Watan called Qatar's foreign minister, Sheikh Hamad bin Jassem al Thani, a "dwarf" July 29 after he met with his Israeli counterpart Shimon Peres in Paris. The insult is just the latest in a string of sour notes sounded between Riyadh and Doha.

Looks like little Qatar is actually dwarfing Saudi Arabia when it comes to reality.

Better to be a water boy for the winning team than a quarterback for the losers.

Big political and economic changes are in store for the region!

12 posted on 08/11/2002 10:54:36 AM PDT by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
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