Replies

During the 2000 race, there were several studies about the accuray, or bias of polls...( BTW...Dales posted a lot of stuf on it..Freepmail him, he might be able to give you a link)....it came out of the merits of Zogby vs. the others, as I recall, and had a lot to do with the methodology of the polls....post election analysis seemed to indicate a built in bias towards contacting Dem voters....they build in a factor to adjust for it, but it wasn't enough....it wasy to recognize a bias in the polling sample, harder to correctly compensate for it....

The financialmarkets question would be an issue in a presidential race, i.e. if this was 2004, then the markets would hurt W.'s chances....but these are local races, and only about 50 House and senate seats are competitive..and the stock market woun't be a major issue...re all the corporate frauds..well, the Dems are getting tarred with that brush more than the GOP

I thinkt he markets will go much lower for several months..we'll have the Iraqi war II, the GOP will gain in the House, and retake the senate, then the econooy and the markets will start to rise, and W will win 56-44 in 2004, with more gains in Congress...