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Doctor: Smallpox Not a Bio-terror Threat
WXIA-TV (Atlanta) ^ | 09/26/02 | Keith Whitney

Posted on 09/27/2002 11:39:48 AM PDT by Heartlander2

One of the doctors who helped eradicate smallpox said Thursday he did not believe it was a viable weapon of bio-terrorism.

Dr. Daniel Blumenthal, a professor and department chair at the Morehouse School of Medicine, was literally one of the last doctors to see a case of smallpox.

When in India, in the early 1970s, during a smallpox outbreak, thought the disease was too difficult to control. "I said this is hopeless we can't eradicate this disease there's too much of it,” he recalled.

A few years later, however, the disease was eradicated except for the known samples that remain in the U.S. and Russian labs. "I was a small player in a very large operation but it was very gratifying at the time," he said.

Blumenthal added he does not think it is a likely weapon of bio-terrorism. "I don't think that smallpox virus is something that al-Qaeda can keep in a cave in Afghanistan without it getting loose. There would be cases of smallpox,” he said.

He added that smallpox is also a slower-moving contagion than the flu or measles. He also does not support inoculating the nation against a threat that may not even exist.

"There's no reason to believe that any of our enemies has smallpox virus. Nobody has any evidence that any of our enemies has smallpox virus as contrasted with 1972 when we knew our enemy did have smallpox virus," he said.

Blumenthal believes that doctors today must also be detectives because they are on the front-line of any kind of bio-terror attack. "If there is an attack, another attack with anthrax, tularemia, plague or one of the other agents that might be used, it's likely to be an emergency room technician who sees the first case or a primary care physician in his office who sees the first case."


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bioterror; smallpox; terrorism
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1 posted on 09/27/2002 11:39:48 AM PDT by Heartlander2
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To: Heartlander2; aristeides; The Great Satan; Mitchell; Shermy; dogbyte12; Nita Nupress
This guy gets it.
2 posted on 09/27/2002 11:42:20 AM PDT by Fred Mertz
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To: Fred Mertz
This guy gets it.

For smallpox as it existed in his time, perhaps. Remember that it took decades of effort to slowly box in smallpox with widespread vaccinations - and not only have many of those vaccinations worn off, but there are millions upon millions of children and young adults who have never been vaccinated - so any re-eradication process could take months or years.

However, if some idiot genetically engineers new traits into smallpox, then it could be a really nasty bioweapon.

3 posted on 09/27/2002 11:46:50 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Fred Mertz
"There's no reason to believe that any of our enemies has smallpox virus."

How does he know?

But he's right about the spreading. Naturally humans lived with it for millienia without flu-like spreading. However, unnatural means of spread might be a problem.

4 posted on 09/27/2002 11:57:07 AM PDT by Shermy
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To: Shermy
I thought smallpox was a large factor in the near-extinction of the Native Americans? I admit I haven't kept up with the latest research, but I do remember learning that.
5 posted on 09/27/2002 12:03:23 PM PDT by m1911
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To: m1911
Yes, and other diseases. The idea is that they had been so isolated from Asia/Africa/Europe, whom shared diseases and various resitances, that when confronted with the diseases, they spread like wild fire. Good book on the subject "Guns, Germs and Steel."
6 posted on 09/27/2002 12:07:05 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: Fred Mertz
"There's no reason to believe that any of our enemies has smallpox virus. Nobody has any evidence that any of our enemies has smallpox virus as contrasted with 1972 when we knew our enemy did have smallpox virus,"

He's wrong. There are plenty of reasons to think smallpox has been weaponized. Also, the ring vaccination system this doctor and others pioneered to stop smallpox outbreaks would not necessarily work with a highly virulent, weaponized strain. Here's a good link to an alternative opinion.


http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig2/miller6.html

7 posted on 09/27/2002 12:08:54 PM PDT by Jesse
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To: Fred Mertz
This guy gets it.

No, actually he doesn't.

Ken Alibek, who directed bioweapons research for the Soviets, claims that at one point they were manufacturing over 10 tons of weaponized smallpox per year.

"There's no reason to believe that any of our enemies has smallpox virus. Nobody has any evidence that any of our enemies has smallpox virus as contrasted with 1972 when we knew our enemy did have smallpox virus," he said.

The good doctor would do well to familiarize himself with the story of the demon in the freezer.

The Bush Administration is getting ready to produce tens of millions of doses of smallpox vaccine and make it widely available to the public.

Now why do you suppose they would want to do that?

8 posted on 09/27/2002 12:11:08 PM PDT by Interesting Times
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To: Shermy
I've seen that one on the shelves, but I haven't picked it up yet - I take it that's a recommendation?
9 posted on 09/27/2002 12:12:49 PM PDT by m1911
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To: Interesting Times
From "The Demon in the Freezer":

KEN ALIBEK, who was once Kanatjan Alibekov, a leading Soviet bioweaponeer and the inventor of the world's most powerful anthrax, shocked the American intelligence community when he defected, in 1992, and revealed how far the Soviet Union had gone with bioweapons. In a new book of his, entitled "Biohazard," Alibek says that there were twenty tons of liquid smallpox kept on hand at Soviet military bases; it was kept ready for loading on biowarheads on missiles targeted on American cities.

Sorry, make that 20 tons...

10 posted on 09/27/2002 12:13:28 PM PDT by Interesting Times
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To: Heartlander2; bonesmccoy; Dark Wing
Idiot. He's saying that nuclear weapons aren't a threat because weapons-grade fissionables don't occur in nature.

The terrorist smallpox threat comes from xSoviet bioengineered smallpox. They made hundreds of tons of the stuff and several tons are still around. There are only a few vials of natural smallpox left.

Natural smallpox. 40-60% morbidity. 7-15 day incubation period. 10-30% lethality.

xSoviet biowar smallpox. 60-90% morbidity. 1-5 day incubation period! 30-50% lethality.

Check the chapter titled "The Soviet Betrayal" in the book Sourge.

11 posted on 09/27/2002 12:16:41 PM PDT by Thud
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To: dirtboy
Remember that it took decades of effort to slowly box in smallpox with widespread vaccinations

Smallpox was not eradicated with widespread vaccinations. It was eradicated by a very small team that traveled from village to village, vaccinating only those who had been exposed. Once this policy was adopted it took about three years, worldwide.

the mass vaccination policy was a failure.

12 posted on 09/27/2002 12:20:10 PM PDT by js1138
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Comment #13 Removed by Moderator

To: skull stomper
Abilek was in charge of Soviet biological warfare smallpox development. Their truly dangerous shit was developed and produced at his orders!
14 posted on 09/27/2002 12:39:57 PM PDT by Thud
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To: Shermy
Couldn't bioengineering affect the rate of spread?
15 posted on 09/27/2002 12:41:01 PM PDT by aristeides
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To: Jesse
If this guy got the possibility of eradicating smallpox wrong, why should we believe him now?
16 posted on 09/27/2002 12:41:59 PM PDT by aristeides
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To: m1911
One scary book, Alibek's.
17 posted on 09/27/2002 12:42:50 PM PDT by aristeides
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To: m1911
The so-called near-extinction of Amerindians due to European disease is somewhat mythological. While there are known cases where tribes were either annihilated or decimated by smallpox (a prime factor in the defeat of the Aztecs was their inability to follow up their victory in the defeat of the Spaniards due to a smallpox epidemic sweeping their city), the disease factor was generally not even close to being a decisive factor amongst the greater part of the native population. And if disease was such a factor, then why didn't native diseases wipe out the Europeans?
18 posted on 09/27/2002 12:48:55 PM PDT by Frumious Bandersnatch
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To: Frumious Bandersnatch
The explanation I always heard was that since Europeans had lived with smallpox for much longer, survival of the fittest had raised the level of resistance.
19 posted on 09/27/2002 1:03:37 PM PDT by m1911
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To: Frumious Bandersnatch
Nevermind, I misread your post. Dunno, maybe there weren't any Amerind diseases that the Euros didn't already have? Beats me why it didn't happen, regardless of the smallpox question. Of course, given the survival rate of the first couple rounds of American settlers, maybe it did happen.
20 posted on 09/27/2002 1:05:17 PM PDT by m1911
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