[Diddle E. Squat]

HURRICANE LILI SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 45 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT WED OCT 02 2002

REPORTS FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF LILI HAS DROPPED TO 941 MB WITH FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 131 KT. LILI IS THUS UPGRADED TO A 115 KT CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE. THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY UPDATES THE INITIAL INTENSITY AND INTENSITY FORECAST. THE TRACK...WIND RADII...AND WARNINGS ARE THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. FORECASTER BEVEN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 02/1800Z 25.3N 89.4W 115 KTS

12HR VT 03/0000Z 26.0N 90.5W 125 KTS<

24HR VT 03/1200Z 28.1N 92.1W 125 KTS

36HR VT 04/0000Z 30.4N 92.5W 85 KTS...INLAND

48HR VT 04/1200Z 33.5N 91.0W 40 KTS...INLAND

72HR VT 05/1200Z 40.5N 82.0W 30 KTS..

[bonfire]

Anyone have a link to a satellite picture?

[dennis1x]

that 125kt prediction is troubling....still crossing fingers for the October weakening mechanism seen throughout history......125kt just terrible.