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To: Billthedrill
On the other hand, he may feel it's bought him some time by distraction.

The American military strategy since at least the Gulf War, if not longer, was to fight single, isolated engagements while keeping all other "issues" (flash point areas) calm. One battle at a time, with complete control maintained.

We have spent quite a bit of energy trying to make sure that the Israel/Palestinian situation didn't boil over, for just this strategy. Perhaps our enemies are engaging in a counter-strategy.

If they can overload us, get us fighting many battles (including the sniper cell at home?) at once, hoping to spin certain areas out of our control they will at least upset our strategy and force us to form a different strategy -- one which we seem to be uncomfortable with.

Perhaps that is the role of the dice that NK is taking with its "admission" and subsequent belligerent attitude. Maybe they're trying to get a few pots boiling at once, thinking that this will upset America's long-held strategy of "one at a time".

150 posted on 10/16/2002 7:40:05 PM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast
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To: Scott from the Left Coast
Maybe they're trying to get a few pots boiling at once, thinking that this will upset America's long-held strategy of "one at a time".

Oh, I very definitely think that's in their minds. The idea is that by the time we've dealt with Iraq their own position will have solidified to the point where we are unable to contemplate direct intervention on them. In that regard I would not be too surprised to see a nuclear demonstration as their next step, if they can possibly do it. It won't be in the South China Sea, IMHO - the Japanese really would go ballistic and that would precipitate matters the North Koreans are trying to freeze. Unless, of course it's really far south, say near the Spratlys, but I can't see the Chinese being too pleased with that (although they might put up with it inasmuch as the Filipinos are starting to settle in there).

What that will do is make direct military intervention on our part unacceptably risky from the point of view of our regional allies. These guys really could nuke Tokyo or Seoul. Furthermore, the (possibly 10?) plants they have were certainly constructed as hardened facilities with a regard to just the sort of intervention the Israelis used in Iraq and we used there and more recently in Afghanistan. A few cruise missiles aren't going to penetrate those puppies if the North Koreans are as paranoid as...well, as they really are, and constructed accordingly. Land intervention will light off a fight to the finish between them and us and South Korea with China lurking in the background as half a century ago. Sounds scary, but that may be as good a scenario as they're likely to get.

So it isn't that bad a risk from the North Koreans' point of view now that they're convinced we're serious about intervening in Iraq. In fact it's a darn smart move.

171 posted on 10/16/2002 8:02:09 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: Scott from the Left Coast
Re #150

That is another possibility. To achieve it, though, will reqiure more hightened level of tension. For example, their public announcement that they will deploy missiles with finished nukes unless America does ....

We will see if they will do it when America is about to invade Iraq.

264 posted on 10/16/2002 10:33:47 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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