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To: rohry
Try again?

Actually my first try did it already, but let's look at several others....

10/15--Tauzero accurately called this market rebound a week ago. I'm hoping it continues up through the election before it continues its decline to 6000 (or less)...

10/14--And, what stocks do you recommend in the midddle of the biggest Bear market since 1930?...

9/30--It's just that I believe that the market is ready for a decline...

9/29--The Dow should have reached 6500 last year. After that happened we could have built a new base. Now, I think that the Dow has to go MUCH lower to reach a bottom.

9/24--The "current reality" is that the stock market is going down... BIG TIME.

8/29--This market is vastly overvalued and will continue to come down even if some naive souls decide that it is somehow "patriotic" to ride it to the bottom.

7/22--Stocks are going down, big time...

7/21--I'm not shorting anything, but I'll notify you when we hit 7,000, 6,000, and 5,000...

7/11--If I said how low they really have to go I'd be flamed endlessly, so I'll stick with a number that is probably way too high but indicates to everyone that we are nowhere near a bottom.

7/11--I figure that we've got another 35% more to go (down) before we get close to fair market value. After that the real recovery can begin...

Besides your almost daily doom and gloom quotes, on 7/21 you specifically indicated below 5000 and on 7/11 you said 35% more decline (which you thought was way to high still). On July 11, the market closed at 8,812.10, let's see, a 35% decline would put us below 5728. Of course that was only your very conservative guess, which then you state if you said how low you really thought it would go you would really get flamed.

So are you denying you are not a doom and gloomer? Are you denying you don't think the DOW is headed below 5,000? Are you denying you don't think the DOW has to reach a PE of 13 to recover? Are you denying you haven't been posting this stuff for months and months? If I am wrong, what are you predicting then, or are you too afraid to tell us your doom and gloom forcast. I think calling you a sub-5000 Dow doom and gloomer is a downright fair characterization of your posts.

39 posted on 10/29/2002 10:12:49 PM PST by Always Right
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To: Always Right; rohry
So are you denying you are not a doom and gloomer? Are you denying you don't think the DOW is headed below 5,000?

Now why would a DOW meltdown be bad thing? *If* the Dow hits 5 grand, the birds will still sing, the sunrise will still be breathtaking, heck some property might even be returned to its Rightful Owners.

40 posted on 10/29/2002 11:11:35 PM PST by AdamSelene235
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To: Always Right
Nice try. Boy you are obsessed with being "Always Right" aren't you? You must have someone look at that...

My contention is that I've NEVER outright predicted a Dow of 5000, and certainly not for a long period of time. Several of my quotes that you referenced are taken out of context but review them and you see that none of them stated that a Dow of 5000 is emminent. That was my point, I've made several predictions on this board and made many speculations but your assertion remains unproven.

"So are you denying you are not a doom and gloomer? "

Just because I think the stock market is overvalued and due to retreat does not make me a doom and gloomer...

"Are you denying you don't think the DOW is headed below 5,000?...Are you denying you haven't been posting this stuff for months and months? If I am wrong, what are you predicting then, or are you too afraid to tell us your doom and gloom forcast."

I've predicted 6500 and (once} 6000. In reality, I don't know where it's headed. If I did I'd be rich. In case you haden't noticed, I post a nightly (equities averse) market wrap-up. You are free to post your own version of reality (anything from CNBC should fit the bill), but don't assert that I've stated something that I've never said.

I have been betting, since January 2000, that the market is going down...I have made money on that bet and that is all that matters to me. I'm not getting into some silly ego-driven prediction battle with you.
43 posted on 10/30/2002 4:47:21 AM PST by rohry
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