GOP Odds GOP Odds Gain GOP Winner Gain Gain -30 1.000 KY-3 GOP -29 0.850 FL-22 -29 1.000 IN-2 GOP -28 0.850 MS-3 -28 1.000 NH-2 GOP -27 0.850 TX-23 -27 1.000 NJ-7 GOP -26 0.800 FL-7 -26 1.000 NH-1 GOP -25 0.800 Fl-24 -25 1.000 FL-22 GOP -24 0.800 MN-6 -24 1.000 FL-7 GOP -23 0.800 NH-2 -23 1.000 Fl-24 GOP -22 0.800 PA-15 -22 1.000 PA-15 GOP -21 0.800 CO-4 -21 1.000 NJ-5 GOP -20 0.750 IN-8 -20 1.000 CT-5 GOP -19 0.750 NJ-7 -19 1.000 MS-3 GOP -18 0.750 TX-5 -18 1.000 IN-8 GOP -17 0.700 NV-3 -17 1.000 FL-5 GOP -16 0.700 WV-2 -16 1.000 WV-2 GOP -15 0.650 AZ-1 -15 1.000 TX-5 GOP -14 0.650 CT-5 -14 1.000 IA-1 RLB -13 0.650 IA-4 -13 1.000 CT-2 GOP -12 0.650 IL-19 -12 1.000 OK-4 GOP -10 0.650 NM-1 -11 1.000 CO-4 GOP -11 0.600 NH-1 -10 1.000 NV-3 GOP -9 0.600 NJ-5 -9 1.000 IA-2 GOP -8 0.600 PA-6 -8 1.000 IL-19 GOP -7 0.575 CT-2 -7 1.000 GA-12 GOP -6 0.575 IA-1 -6 1.000 NC-8 GOP -5 0.575 MI-11 -5 1.000 IA-4 GOP -4 0.575 OK-4 -4 1.000 PA-6 GOP -3 0.550 AL-3 -3 1.000 MI-11 GOP -2 0.550 IA-2 -2 1.000 SD GOP -1 0.550 KY-3 -1 1.000 NM-2 GOP 0 0.550 NC-8 0 1.000 MN-6 GOP 1 0.550 SD 1 1.000 AL-3 GOP 2 0.525 GA-12 2 1.000 MN-2 GOP 3 0.525 IN-2 3 1.000 GA-11 GOP 4 0.525 NM-2 4 1.000 AZ-1 GOP 5 0.510 CO-7 5 0.850 TX-23 ? 6 0.510 MN-2 6 0.650 NM-1 DL 7 0.510 NY-1 7 0.510 CO-7 RBL 7 0.510 PA-17 8 0.500 LA-5 Runoff 8 0.490 MD-8 9 0.000 ME-2 Dem 9 0.475 FL-5 10 0.000 UT-2 Dem 10 0.450 GA-11 11 0.000 GA-3 Dem 11 0.450 ME-2 12 0.000 TX-25 Dem 12 0.425 IN-7 13 0.000 WA-2 Dem 13 0.400 CA-18 14 0.000 TX-11 Dem 14 0.400 IA-3 15 0.000 ND Dem 15 0.400 KS-3 16 0.000 CA-18 Dem 16 0.400 TN-4 17 0.000 PA-17 Dem 17 0.400 UT-2 18 0.000 IA-3 Dem 18 0.300 GA-3 19 0.000 KS-3 Dem 19 0.300 KY-4 20 0.000 NY-1 Dem 20 0.300 MD-2 21 0.000 PA-11 Dem 0.300 ND 22 0.000 PA-13 Dem 22 0.300 PA-13 23 0.000 MD-8 Dem 23 0.250 LA-5 24 0.000 MD-2 Dem 24 0.250 NJ-12 25 0.000 TN-4 Dem 25 0.250 TX-25 26 0.000 IN-9 Dem 26 0.250 WA-2 27 0.000 NC-13 Dem 27 0.200 IN-9 28 0.000 NJ-12 Dem 28 0.200 NC-13 29 0.000 KY-4 Dem 29 0.200 PA-11 30 0.000 IN-7 Dem 30 0.200 TX-11
From the Albuquerque Journal:
District 1 House Race Too Close To CallBy Richard Benke, The Associated Press
U.S. Rep. Heather Wilson claimed victory in her re-election bid and Democratic challenger Richard Romero predicted victory, saying he would wait for the final vote tally early Wednesday. Romero was the unofficial leader in returns late Tuesday. With 98 percent of precincts counted, Romero had 51 percent to Wilson's 49 percent with absentee ballots still waiting to be included.Romero sought to apply the brakes to any notion that Wilson had won. "This race isn't over. We are not conceding," Romero said. "I really don't care what Pete Domenici says. We're going to win this one. . . . The votes aren't final, and we're going to win. We're just going to wait to the wee hours. We're going to win it."
The Bernalillo County clerk's office says it hoped to release results from 45,000 machine-counted absentee ballots by 2:30 or 3 a.m. Wednesday. Several thousand more Republican absentee ballots than Democrats' were sent in, according to county election data. County election officials also hoped to release by 4:30 a.m. results of some 5,000 hand-counted absentee ballots — those which the vote-counting machinery rejected because of damage or because of voters using the wrong type of pencil, marking outside the square, using Whiteout correction fluid and other miscues. In addition, the county clerk's office reported that voting cartridges for two Bernalillo County precincts were damaged and should be counted sometime Wednesday.
Wilson claimed victory after several thousand votes were incorrectly added to her tally, but her spokesman, Enrique Knell, said that had nothing to do with her victory speech. "Our internal projections have shown Congresswoman Wilson victorious tonight, and that is what we are celebrating," Knell said. The mixup in the vote reporting occurred when 98 percent of precincts were in. Initially, vote figures showed Wilson with an early lead, then Romero taking the lead with 58 percent of precincts reporting. Romero remained in the lead with 62 percent counted. But with 98 percent of precincts tallied, a jump of more than 6,000 votes showed up for Wilson. That was more votes than were possible from from the Santa Fe County precincts.
The advertising campaigns of both congressional candidates, infused with national party funds, amounted to all-out attacks designed to change the balance of power in the House. Democrats needed at least six more seats to regain a majority and avoid having both U.S. legislative houses and the presidency held by Republicans.