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The most conservative, large Parish is St. Tammany, which is the only majority Republican parish in the state and is the fastest growing in the State, just across Lake Ponchartrain from New Orleans. East Baton Rouge is pretty conservative too. And Jefferson(New Orleans suburbs) has traditionally been conservative. Jenkins beat Landrieu in Jefferson 58-42 in 1996. Suzie Terrell needs to defeat Landrieu by a similar margin in Jefferson today. It has the same population as Orleans (New Orleans)but the white-black ratio in Jefferson is about 82-18. So it has the potential to balance out Landrieu's expected big edge in Orleans (which is about 60% black). I hope this answers some of your questions at least about the Southeast part of the state.