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A Suicidal Country
Townhall.com ^ | 02-26-03 | Paul Craig Roberts

Posted on 02/26/2003 2:18:17 PM PST by Norm640

Do you remember those Information Technology (IT) jobs that were going to take the place in the "new economy" of those outsourced manufacturing jobs? Don't bother to retrain. The IT jobs are leaving, too.

Knowledge work can be done anywhere there are educated people. These days, that's just about everywhere: the Philippines, India, China, Russia, Eastern Europe, Costa Rica and South Africa. Outsourcing of "new economy" jobs is exploding.

A recent article in the Feb. 3 Business Week describes "dazzling new technology parks" on the outskirts of India's major cities, where U.S. companies such as Bank of America, Texas Instruments, pharmaceutical companies, Intel, Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Hewlett Packard, American Express, Dell Computer, Eastman Kodak, IBM, GE, Microsoft, Procter & Gamble, Fluor Corp., Electronic Data Services, Citibank, Boeing, mortgage lenders, Massachusetts General Hospital and even architectural firms hire Indians to do knowledge jobs that Americans did three years ago.

In Bangalore, Indian radiologists interpret CT scans for Massachusetts General Hospital and Indian engineers design third-generation mobile-phone chips for Texas Instruments. Other Indians process claims for major U.S. insurance companies and home loans for U.S. mortgage companies. Indian molecular biologists conduct research for pharmaceutical companies. Indians analyze financial data for Wall Street, conduct R&D for U.S. high-tech companies and design software for Microsoft.

The competition for U.S. knowledge workers is tough. India has 520,000 IT engineers and starting salaries are $5,000. Five years from now, Indian service exports will add $57 billion annually to the U.S. and European trade deficits, and 4 million IT jobs will have been moved to India.

The same thing is happening in China, a country with which the United States is expected to have a $125 billion trade deficit this year due largely to outsourcing. Microsoft alone is spending $1,150,000,000 for R&D and outsourcing in India and China over the next three years. In Microsoft's Beijing research facility, one-third of the Chinese programmers have Ph.D.s from U.S. universities at U.S. taxpayers' expense.

Filipinos prepare Proctor & Gamble's tax returns and crunch numbers for audits conducted by U.S. accounting firms. Architectural work ranging from home design to multibillion dollar petrochemical plants is outsourced to Hungary, India and the Philippines.

The United States gave away its agricultural knowledge, its education, its technology and its manufacturing jobs and is now giving away its IT jobs. The displaced manufacturing workers did not move to the promised greener pastures. What reason is there to believe that the displaced engineers, Wall Street analysts, accountants, scientists and other knowledge workers will do any better when their careers are outsourced?

Business Week asked Harvard University globalist advocate Robert Lawrence what happens if America loses its knowledge jobs on top of its manufacturing jobs. His answer was not reassuring. He has no evidence -- just faith -- that globalization will make us better off.

What is going on when American policymakers and elites gamble with the livelihoods of tens of millions of Americans on faith? Business Week is correct when it says "economists haven't begun to fathom the implications" for America of globalization. But it is already obvious who the winners and losers are.

The winners are the foreigners with IT educations who live in countries where both the standard and cost of living are very low. The losers are IT employees in the United States, where both the standard and cost of living is very high. Filipino engineers working for American firms at salaries of $3,000 annually, and Chinese and Indians working for $5,000 to $10,000 annually are unbeatable competition. For American university students struggling to prepare for high-tech careers, the good times are over before they begin.

While jobs leave America and incomes fall, the eligibility of illegal aliens for U.S. Social Security and Medicaid benefits is a powerful magnet pulling in poor foreigners by the droves. The 1996 Welfare Reform Act did not end benefits for PRUCOL aliens, those who entered illegally and "permanently reside under color of law." People collect benefits who have never paid in. And it is American citizens, downsized and outsourced, who are saddled with the burden.

As most everyone knows, Social Security is in dire straits. But its funding problem has not deterred the Bush administration from drafting a treaty with Mexico that will give the Mexican government $345 billion in Social Security payments for Mexicans who have worked legally and illegally in the United States.

Let's hope that the Bush administration is correct and that we are not starting a 30-year war in the Middle East by invading Iraq. Otherwise, the combination of war, job and income loss, unprecedented trade deficits, and the creation of Social Security entitlements for foreign nationals will break the United States long before another generation passes.

Before the United States can reconstruct the world, it must cease deconstructing itself. For that task, the country will need a champion.

©2003 Creators Syndicate, Inc.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; freetrade; it; jobs; lowwages; nafta; outsourcing; standardofliving
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In my opinion, NAFTA and free trades just benefits those than owns the means of production. No working person--which describes most of us--benefits from free trade, except for when we want to buy something. Unfortunately, we can't buy many things if we don't have money.

We need to repeal NAFTA and usher in some protectionism until the playing field is level.

1 posted on 02/26/2003 2:18:18 PM PST by Norm640
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To: Willie Green
ping
2 posted on 02/26/2003 2:22:07 PM PST by sarcasm (Tancredo 2004)
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To: Norm640
You are right on...
3 posted on 02/26/2003 2:22:39 PM PST by Cacophonous (I Corinthians 16:13-14)
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To: Norm640
Smoot-Hawley. That's all you need to know about tarrifs.
4 posted on 02/26/2003 2:23:27 PM PST by Arkie2
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To: Arkie2
Smoot-Hawley. That's all you need to know about tarrifs.

I doubt you know anything about Smoot-Hawley, let alone tariffs.

5 posted on 02/26/2003 2:29:40 PM PST by Willie Green (Go Pat Go!!!)
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To: Willie Green
What an intelligent response!
6 posted on 02/26/2003 2:33:10 PM PST by Arkie2
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To: Norm640
What would ushering in protectionism do? Other countries would trade with each other. They'd get richer and richer, while we sit back in our protectionist cocoon, falling farther and farther behind. If we were actually serious about competing on a global scale, we'd make our economy freer, let the markets do their work, and spend money on research and education rather than subsidies and trade battles.

The American economy needs to be leaner to compete. It won't get leaner in a protectionist country. We might as well throw money at grossly inefficient steel mills and airlines. Oh wait, we do.
7 posted on 02/26/2003 2:35:01 PM PST by Buckeye Bomber
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To: Norm640
The winners are the foreigners with IT educations who live in countries where both the standard and cost of living are very low.

Not so. They're paid local wages, which is why they're competitive in the first place.

A middle class software engineer in Houston lives about the same as a middle class software engineer in Bangalore, despite their huge (10X) salary differentials.

H1B visas are more troublesome, because the lower-paid engineer takes American jobs from his American peers.

8 posted on 02/26/2003 2:38:30 PM PST by angkor
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To: Arkie2
What an intelligent response!

Thank-you.
I specificly tailored it to a level that you could understand.

9 posted on 02/26/2003 2:41:47 PM PST by Willie Green (Go Pat Go!!!)
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To: Willie Green
Oh, sorry. I didn't notice the Go Pat Go tag line. I didn't realize I was dealing with a closed minded isolationist. My apologies for trying to engage in intelligent discourse as I realize it's not possible for you.
10 posted on 02/26/2003 2:45:11 PM PST by Arkie2
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To: Norm640
It's interesting that just within a few short years, we went from a handful of "tinfoilers" to a nation that now accepts and embraces this "New World Order" like a new winter jacket...

It makes perfect sense to finance companies that will move in and train Somalians to build Ford transmissions for pennies per hour...Look how we are giving them jobs and raising their standard of living...OF course Ford is dropping the price of their vehicles, right???

Seems to me most Freepers support globalisation...Also seems to me most Americans either build stuff to sell, sell stuff or sell services...I can no longer afford to own some of the things I used to...

Who we gonna sell this stuff to, the Somalies and Chinese???

11 posted on 02/26/2003 2:48:10 PM PST by Iscool
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Comment #12 Removed by Moderator

To: Willie Green
I picked up this gem in an article about free trade.

"A Harvard study which examined data from developing nations over the period 1970 to 1990 found that those with open trade policies registered economic growth at an average rate of 4.5 percent annually -- compared to only 1 percent among those with closed borders."

Here is the full article I found: http://www.ncpa.org/pd/trade/pdtrade/pdtrade10.html

Would you rather have the lower or the higher growth rate? And if we don't have free trade, and we want a high growth rate, guess who will be footing the bill for investment? That's right, good old Uncle Sam. Keynesianism needs to stay in its grave where it belongs. Free trade will not only make the economy grow faster, it will end the need for wars. The idea is that countries who are rich because of trade will have no reason to try and conquer other nations. Exchange will replace plunder. In fact, it already is. When even a democratic president, in the pocket of the unions, can push free trade legislation through, we're on the right track.

Here is a link to a free online book dedicated to the idea that free trade will end the possibility of major war:

http://psweb.sbs.ohio-state.edu/faculty/jmueller/books.htm

Click on "Retreat from Doomsday: The Obsolescence of Major War" to download a free PDF version of the book.


13 posted on 02/26/2003 2:52:13 PM PST by Buckeye Bomber
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To: Arkie2
My apologies for trying to engage in intelligent discourse

You shouldn't strain so hard, it'll give you hemorrhoids.

14 posted on 02/26/2003 2:53:33 PM PST by Willie Green (Go Pat Go!!!)
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To: Willie Green
http://www.eh.net/encyclopedia/obrien.hawley-smoot.tariff.php

All you need to know about Smoot-Hawley.
15 posted on 02/26/2003 2:54:09 PM PST by Buckeye Bomber
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To: Buckeye Bomber
The American economy needs to be leaner to compete. It won't get leaner in a protectionist country

Not true at all.....Americans can compete with each other...Like we did before globalisation...We can not compete with China or Indonesia...

How do you expect to keep YOUR standard of living when whatever you sell goes at the price that Costa Ricans will pay???

16 posted on 02/26/2003 2:54:58 PM PST by Iscool
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To: Norm640
The same thing is happening in China, a country with which the United States is expected to have a $125 billion trade deficit this year due largely to outsourcing. Microsoft alone is spending $1,150,000,000 for R&D and outsourcing in India and China over the next three years. In Microsoft's Beijing research facility, one-third of the Chinese programmers have Ph.D.s from U.S. universities at U.S. taxpayers' expense.

Well, one thing about it. We won't have a trade deficit much longer if they keep outsourcing jobs? We won't be able to buy anything from anybody.

17 posted on 02/26/2003 2:55:27 PM PST by al_possum39 (Is this the last burrito?)
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To: Willie Green
Already got em. Guys like you only give me indigestion.
18 posted on 02/26/2003 2:56:34 PM PST by Arkie2
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To: Iscool
Yes, we will sell it to the Chinese. The Somalis, I don't know about. But the American market is flat. Any major company worth their salt is expanding operations in China and India. Look where McDonald's, Wal-Mart, Ford, Proctor and Gamble, and other major corporations want to expand.
19 posted on 02/26/2003 2:57:23 PM PST by Buckeye Bomber
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To: al_possum39
It's funny that you speak as if American consumer spending is in a tailspin. Do you ever pay attention to financial news?
20 posted on 02/26/2003 2:58:18 PM PST by Buckeye Bomber
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