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To: per loin
Thanks for the link.

They have an excellent chart showing the date of onset. The bulge from the apartment complex is obvious, as is a general downward trend in new cases since then.

If they are being honest with the numbers, then Hong Kong looks like they are gradually getting control of this thing. Each day is still showing a net increase in hospitalized patients, but the rate of increase is slowing significantly.

If this favorable trend keeps up, and the medical system can handle a continued but slowing increase, then Hong Kong will come out of this OK. They have not yet hit the peak number of hospitalizations, but it looks like they may be getting close.

This is VERY good news.

The news from the rest of China is pathetic, meaning SARS cannot be put back in the box overall. That means we may get to see what SARS can do if/when it gets loose in the slums of Calcutta and Mexico City. But we are getting better tools to work with too.
17 posted on 04/17/2003 9:53:33 AM PDT by EternalHope (France is our enemy.)
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To: EternalHope
Comparison of Onsets to Hospitalizations
Date Onset Hosp Difference % Overage
Apr 01 38 75 37 97.4%
Apr 02 20 23 3 15.0%
Apr 03 25 26 1 4.0%
Apr 04 24 27 3 12.5%
Apr 05 35 39 4 11.4%
Apr 06 27 42 15 55.6%
Apr 07 27 41 14 51.9%
Apr 08 16 45 29 181.3%
Apr 09 7 42 35 500.0%
Apr 10 5 28 23 460.0%
Apr 11 12 61 49 408.3%
Apr 12 5 49 44 880.0%
Apr 13 5 42 37 740.0%





Totals 246 540 294 119.5%

18 posted on 04/17/2003 11:40:52 AM PDT by per loin
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