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To: metmom
What Borel's Law really means

Borel's Law tells us that anything with a probability less than 1 in 1050 is "mathematically impossible."

But it's also crucial to understand that for every probability there is a counter probability.

For example, if you have a 1% chance of being involved in a fatal automobile accident, that means you also have a 99% chance of not being involved. In other words, odds are you won't be killed in an automobile accident.

One expert explained it thusly:
When trying to determine whether the desired results will happen, always consider that the fractions used in probabilities carry two stories with them. One tells you the chance of something happening, and the other tells you the chance that that same event will not happen; i.e., if the odds are one in ten (10%) that a certain event will occur, then likewise the odds are nine to ten (90%) that it will not...
Who could reasonably believe that a coin will turn up heads 100 times in succession, when the odds for it happening are: 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000...and the probability that it won't is: 999,999,999,999,999,999,999,999,999,999 in 1,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000...
The probability that the event will not happen is what we must believe if we are concerned about being realistic.
(R. L. Wysong, The Creation-Evolution Controversy, pp. 80-81. As quoted on ApologeticsPress.org by Dr. Bert Thompson and Dr. Brad Harrub.)

 

So—to use another example—if your chances of winning a lottery is less than 1 in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 (1050), then it's "beyond ridiculous" for even mathematicians to consider "winning the lottery" a realistic possibility. You can consider it a "mathematical fact" that you will not win the lottery (of course, most lotteries have far more realistic odds, such as 1 in 1,000,000).

The point is, there eventually comes a point in the science of Mathematical Probability where the hope for something occurring is so ridiculously negligible—and the hope for the opposite occurring is so overwhelmingly obvious—that rational mathematicians consider it to be essentially impossible.

Not even one simple protein could have been formed by chance—much less 2,000,000

Now that we have the above facts to work with, let's take a look at the probability it would take for nature to randomly create just one protein by chance.

It's been said there are approximately two million different proteins in the human body. Clearly, nature would have had to randomly create ALL of them for Chemical Evolution to be true. But let's keep it simple and look at the odds that just ONE could have been formed by chance.

Since proteins are made up of amino acids (amino acids are chemical compounds), and given that there are 20 amino acids in the human body, and assuming a given protein contains only 100 amino acids(the longest presently known is 26,926!)—the mathematical probability that a human protein could accidentally arise from random combinations of those 20 possible amino acids into a specific human protein is 1 chance in 20100, or well beyond 1 in 10100.

Carl Sagan estimated this probability to be approximately 1 in 10130 (Carl Sagan, Encyclopaedia Britannica).

So, since Borel's Law indicates that it's ridiculous to consider probabilities with odds of less than 1 in 1050, that what does that tell us about whether or not a protein could "create itself" accidentally?

Well, 1 in 10130 is trillions of times less likely than 1 in 1050—meaning, if 1 in 1050 is scientifically absurd, then seriously considering that just one protein could come about by chance is "absurd" multiplied one hundred million trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion times.

Thus, even the formation of one, simple protein is so far beyond "mathematical impossibility" that anyone who seriously believes it happened is uniformed, deceived, or incapable of grasping the truth.

And remember, there are approximately 2,000,000 currently discovered proteins in the human body!

Isn't it amazing the extent to which people will go to deny the obviousness of God?

200 posted on 06/27/2017 10:54:22 PM PDT by Bob434
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To: Bob434
Isn't it amazing the extent to which people will go to deny the obviousness of God?

Yes it is but it's because they don't WANT to see it.

203 posted on 06/28/2017 12:21:00 AM PDT by metmom ( ...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith..)
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