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Where are the Atlantic hurricanes? Experts are baffled
Virginian Pilot ^ | September 6, 2001 | Associated Press

Posted on 09/06/2001 4:28:29 AM PDT by Movemout

Where are the hurricanes?

The 2001 Atlantic hurricane season -- which runs from June through November -- has yet to have a hurricane. ``We're all dressed up and have no place to go,'' said Hugh Willoughby, director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's hurricane research division. ``None of the things we looked at before the season told us that it should be this suppressed.''

The last time a hurricane season got this far without a hurricane was 1984, when Diana formed on Sept. 10. In a typical year, at least two would have developed by now, including one with winds of more than 110 mph. So what happened?

``We have no idea, and you can quote me on that. At the moment, we have no explanation,'' said Lixion Avila, a top forecaster at the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

The foremost hurricane forecaster, Colorado State University scientist William Gray, predicted seven hurricanes. NOAA scientists forecast up to eight.

But tropical storms Allison, Barry, Chantal and Dean all failed to reach hurricane strength, or sustained wind of at least 74 mph. Erin had top steady wind of just 45 mph Wednesday, and was faltering.

Still, this is the hurricane season's peak activity period, which runs from late August through early September.

``The experience has been that with a late start, one that comes after Sept. 1, you can still have an average season,'' Willoughby said.


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The experts can't explain what is happening currently but we are expected to believe that they can see years down the road all of the catastrophes which will be wrought by global warming. Puhleeaase!
1 posted on 09/06/2001 4:28:29 AM PDT by Movemout
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To: Movemout
No hurricanes by September 7? It must be caused by global warming!
2 posted on 09/06/2001 4:36:17 AM PDT by jimtorr
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To: Movemout
I used to get all the weather info I needed from two old, now resting, farmers. They didn't have charts and graphs and certainly, no Doppler radar. They just looked skyward and observed the clouds, they'd keep tabs on the wooley worms and note the behavior of other insects, birds, animals and the fish in the ponds. It was quite uncanny, they were a heck of a lot more accurate than the "meteorologists" on TV.

(hey, maybe that's the problem, they should be studying meteors instead?)

3 posted on 09/06/2001 4:40:55 AM PDT by Hatteras
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To: jimtorr
I just realized something. If Africa gets slave reparations, then those of us who lived through major hurricanes that started in Africa should get hurricane reparations. Hurricanes Hugo and Andrew came from storm cells out of Africa. I'll take gold or diamonds please.
4 posted on 09/06/2001 4:42:38 AM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult
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To: Movemout
These guys aren't neccessarily the kool-aid drinkers that advocate the theories of man-made global warming. Quite the opposite, generally.
5 posted on 09/06/2001 4:43:48 AM PDT by piasa
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To: Movemout
"...The experts can't explain what is happening currently but we are expected to believe that they can see years down the road all of the catastrophes which will be wrought by global warming. Puhleeaase!..."

If I were a leftist prophet of doom I would type out every prediction I could think of... more hurricanes, fewer hurricanes, earlier hurricanes, later hurricanes, etc., etc.

I'd enclose them, separately, in envelopes, signing each across the sealed flap, send them certified mail to myself and put them in a safety deposit box as soon as they arrived. (A small mark or blemish on each envelope would allow me to cross reference to a master list recording which predictions are in which envelopes.)

Then I'd make a point of showing my colleagues how brilliant I was by pulling as many 'accurate' predictions from that box as the laws of chance allowed in any given year.

It would take a few seasons, but the word would spread.

Soon the media would embrace me as a weather-prophet, maybe even a weather-demigod...

I'd write a book...

Then, when its sales tapered off, I'd write a second book telling all how I bamboozled them, but how crucial it was -for the children- to fight the good global warming fight.

6 posted on 09/06/2001 4:54:33 AM PDT by DWSUWF
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To: DWSUWF
You go to more extreme measures than necessary. Paul Erlich does it much simpler. He makes catastrophic predictions. Then when they prove wrong, he diverts attention by making different catastrophic predictions. In the media's eyes, he's still a genius, and much sought after on the lecture circuit.

Evidence is only necessary when you challenge the leftist position. None is needed when you support it.

7 posted on 09/06/2001 5:04:55 AM PDT by Snuffington
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To: jimtorr
The fact that it ISN'T global warming is why the experts aren't speculating. This has been a fairly cool and wet summer throughout the US.

I'm wondering if the hotter El Nino cycle is totally ended and we're entering a cooler cycle. (I know nothing of weather, other than what I get from the tube, so if this is altogether off the mark, feel free to blast away.)

The scientists 20 years ago calling for a new ice age were also baffled by cyclical data.

I'm wondering at the impact of a cooler, wetter cycle in one country affecting weather elsewhere...such as in the region where hurricanes develop.

8 posted on 09/06/2001 5:09:21 AM PDT by xzins
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To: Movemout
I was looking forward to the storms. I'm dying to see a newsperson broadcasting from the oceanfront, screaming, "It's wet and windy out here" /sarcasm
9 posted on 09/06/2001 5:17:05 AM PDT by csvset
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To: csvset
The florida weatherpeeps are SO VERY DEPRESSED over the lack of hurricanes. The get a special twitter scaring the blue haired retirees out of their rockers.
10 posted on 09/06/2001 5:28:05 AM PDT by corkoman
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To: Movemout
Experts baffled? The headline should be reading "The sky is not falling, Chicken Little baffled". Experts, hah! My personal favorite is when the global warming "experts" tell us that the earth getting hotter is causing winters to be more severe and last longer with cold fronts pushing farther south for longer periods of time every year.
11 posted on 09/06/2001 5:28:55 AM PDT by wasp69 (locked&loaded.now)
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To: jimtorr
No hurricanes by September 7? It must be caused by global warming!

Look for the good in everything and don't try to change it.

12 posted on 09/06/2001 5:31:06 AM PDT by chainsaw
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To: Hillarys Gate Cult
Post #4 ||| I'll take gold or diamonds please.

I'll take a Lexus and 40 acres, like the Lady on Chicago TV.

13 posted on 09/06/2001 5:35:23 AM PDT by chainsaw
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To: Movemout
Ask Gary Condit.
14 posted on 09/06/2001 5:39:48 AM PDT by GnL
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To: Movemout
Maybe the next round of job layoffs will hit the Weather Channel--they've got nothing to report.
15 posted on 09/06/2001 5:40:15 AM PDT by The Great RJ
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To: Movemout
No hurricanes?

I think God didn't want to disturb the shark's eating...

Tuor

PS Yes, this was a joke.

16 posted on 09/06/2001 5:46:12 AM PDT by Tuor
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To: jimtorr
Actually, if global warming prophets are to beieved, there would be more hurricanes. Hmmm....
17 posted on 09/06/2001 5:59:25 AM PDT by zeugma
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To: Movemout
Uh, maybe it is because God didn't send any yet. Seriously.
18 posted on 09/06/2001 6:06:14 AM PDT by gridlock
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To: Movemout
I remember reading an article on FR a couple months ago about some sort of new spray that could possibly break up hurricanes before they formed.
19 posted on 09/06/2001 6:12:47 AM PDT by TBall
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To: Movemout
Maybe we need some better experts.
20 posted on 09/06/2001 6:15:57 AM PDT by ken in texas
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