Posted on 04/25/2024 8:18:31 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
“I will never believe Trump lost the state in 2020.”
I have relatives in Pennsylvania... I wouldn’t be that surprised.
“.. Let’s Talk Elections said Biden is going to win based on his PA primary votes.”
Three problems here: one: The RNC is using the Fractal program to find and identify fraudulent registrations in real time; Two: Blacks and Hispanics are running away from Crime Boss Joey and Three: The RNC is hiring 100,000 trained and ready to fight poll watchers - with many being assigned to Philadelphia and Pittsburg.
Sadly the PA GOp were active participants in the 2020 fraud, so I honestly believe trump will win PA by a significant margin, but given the PA GOP is I bed with thr Dems when it comes to Trump they may steal it again..
However I honestly expect the 2016 map plus a few more states at thr minimum for Trump. PA is the only one I would think might stay Biden because the corruption in this state to stop trump is across the board .
To be clear, I don’t necessarily disagree with the assessments. The Tuesday PA primary only represented about 2 million ballots (/voters). There were approximately 7 million ballots (probably only 5 million voters), roughly 3.5 times the number of the Tuesday primary.
The primary election results showed that the democrats had approximately 10% more votes than republicans up and down the ballot. It’s had to see how any of the republicans win any of the PA elections n November. The 2024 general election will likely be trinary (DJT, RFK & FJB), but there’s no crystal ball that gives us a clue how this is going to shake out.
Objectively, with the condition of the economy, violent crime, border/immigration crisis and the multiple international conflicts, in a “normal” (/fair), FJB would absolutely toast - no question. But having to consider the last several elections, we probably shouldn’t be surprised to get 115 million votes to DJT’s 100 million votes . . .
Don’t write much into the turnout delta.
Dems had 3 contested elections including 5 people running for AG, GOP literally only had 1 contested race on the ballot
10% better turnout given that reality is nothing to be concerned about at all.
Would expect greater turnout by party who have more candidates running contested their campaigns are all going to work to GOTV. GOP literally only had 1 contested statewide race and it only had 2 candidates.
10% turnout difference is actually low given that difference.
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