“The decrease in upper ocean heat content from March to April was 1C – largest since 1979″

Watts Up With That? ^ | May 7, 2010 | Dr. Roger Pielke Senior--posted by Anthony Watts

[rdl6989]

Wouldn’t a weakening El Nino be favorable for a more active hurricane season later this summer?

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

I guess that gets discussed but I have no idea...

[justa-hairyape]

Thanks. Been too busy to read WUWT.

Concerning Hurricanes this season, Joe Bastardi posted a video last week that talks about the current sea temp conditions. Apparently a La Nina combined with the warm Equatorial Atlantic and a cold central Western Atlantic, typically occurs along with some active Hurricane seasons. He thinks that eventually the Gulf of Mexico will be warmed up dramatically during the summer. La Nina may or may not occur, the main concern to me however is just how cold the North Pacific got this winter. At best by the end of summer it will only reach neutral temp status, then of course we roll into another solar minimum induced cold winter. Not gonna be much stored heat in the Pacific Ocean as the Northern Hemisphere rolls into winter.

Bastardi Blog Videos

Unfortunately Joe is using those NOAA plots that skip green on the color spectrum, so he just might be thinking it is gonna get a little bit warmer then it will.

[justa-hairyape]

As you can see below, summer is coming to the north and the Gulf of Mexico is warming up dramatically.