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Sumatra, Japan, Chile: Are Earthquakes Getting Worse? (Supermoon?)
Live Science ^ | March 11, 2011 | Stephanie Pappas

Posted on 03/11/2011 6:49:41 PM PST by decimon

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To: the invisib1e hand
Yeah but I dont remember too many tsunamis when i was growing up.

If you're older than 50, then, when you were young, there were only 3 networks , and they only had news broadcasts in the evening. There was little coverage of international events that didn't affect us.

Nowadays, there are those same 3 networks, but several others that accommodate "Breaking News" on a 24/7 basis. They'll flog a story for hours, even if there is no real NEW information to be had.

There have always been tsunamis, we just never heard about them until recently.

21 posted on 03/11/2011 8:01:45 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: Cvengr
HERETIC!

GAMARA!

22 posted on 03/11/2011 8:11:48 PM PST by ApplegateRanch (Made in America, by proud American citizens, in 1946.)
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To: SuziQ
I don't buy the "more coverage" theory. A tsunami is big freaking news. Can't remember ever hearing of anything that killed as many as 200,000 people (besides the Viet Nam War).

But life was simpler then.

23 posted on 03/11/2011 8:12:44 PM PST by the invisib1e hand (Every knife in my back pushes me forward.)
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To: the invisib1e hand

I don’t know about you, but frankly, I just didn’t pay attention to the news when I was younger than 15, with the exception of the assassination of JFK, when I was 10. It wasn’t until the murders of RFK, and MLK, the year I turned 15, that I actually paid attention to the news.


24 posted on 03/11/2011 8:24:53 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: SuziQ
There have always been tsunamis, we just never heard about them until recently.

I agree. When I was in high school back in the mid 1960s, I had a teacher of Japanese descent who grew up in Hawaii. He told us about a tsunami that wiped out his town as a child and killed most of his family. He used the words "tsunami" and "tidal wave" interchangeably as we students had never heard the word "tsunami" before.

At the time, I pictured a tidal wave 300 feet high.

25 posted on 03/11/2011 9:31:52 PM PST by Inyo-Mono (Had God not driven man from the Garden of Eden the Sierra Club surely would have.)
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To: decimon
But researchers say these catastrophes shouldn't be taken as evidence of a larger trend. According to the United States Geological Survey, the number of earthquakes with magnitudes greater than 7 has remained constant in the last century.

I'm not sure who is BS'in who. Below is a chart I put together from the USGS data. It's based on the automated seismic recording system and is the most accurate data available to my limited knowledge.

I put this together in December of last year and the mag 5 and higher where running 33% higher than normal the. I'm positive the average is MUCH higher now. For the first 30 years of available USGS data, we've averaged roughly 4 daily magnitude 5+ earthquakes worldwide. Below is a link to the mag 5 and higher earthquakes for the past week:

Latest Earthquakes M5.0+ in the World - Past 7 days

Certainly the aftershocks from the earthquake in Japan have distorted the recent data. However, if you go further back, you will see that the average number of 5+ quakes for the past couple of months is almost twice the average above.

One doesn't have to be an expert to recognize an increase in the number of earthquakes we've been experiencing!

26 posted on 03/11/2011 9:34:59 PM PST by Errant
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To: the invisib1e hand

They were called “tidal waves”. I didn’t hear the word “tsunamis” until I saw it on the transom of a yacht and was told it was named after a tidal wave.


27 posted on 03/12/2011 4:14:03 AM PST by Ditter
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To: Ditter
Talk about a front-row seat.

but how often did a quarter million people die? In my childhood, the big historical disasters were the SF earthquake and the eruption of Mt. Vesuvius.

28 posted on 03/12/2011 4:45:09 AM PST by the invisib1e hand (Every knife in my back pushes me forward.)
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To: the invisib1e hand

In my childhood, the big event was the 1900 Galveston Storm, which killed approx. 10,000 people and is still the largest lost of life to a natural disaster in our countries history. Not saying I was a child in 1900 but my grandfather survived the storm and told his children and grandchildren about it many times. It registered in my young mind as something I did experience because my grandfather was a good story teller.


29 posted on 03/12/2011 4:51:48 AM PST by Ditter
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To: khnyny

One possible analysis....

The supermoon is optimum, i.e. max gravity.

The earthquakes now show that as the gravitational pull grows failure occurs at a point of lesser stress than when the force is at a maximum, supermoon

It was to be expected as an unpredictable possibility. It was not predictable because the failure stress is unknown and can’t be calculated.

Next time, a prediction can be made on the basis of time before supermoon


30 posted on 03/12/2011 5:36:14 AM PST by bert (K.E. N.P. N.C. D.E. +12 ....( History is a process, not an event ))
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To: decimon; gleeaikin; blam; ApplegateRanch; 75thOVI; aimhigh; Alice in Wonderland; AndrewC; ...

Thanks decimon.
 
Catastrophism
 
· join · view topics · view or post blog · bookmark · post new topic · subscribe ·
 

31 posted on 03/12/2011 6:25:01 AM PST by SunkenCiv (The 2nd Amendment follows right behind the 1st because some people are hard of hearing.)
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To: the invisib1e hand

When I was in Jr High, the population of the Earth hit 3 billion (or perhaps that happened just a hair earlier), and the US population crossed the 200 million mark.

World population is now something like 7 billion, and US population is somewhere north of 300 million.

Because of arable land, commerce, and water supply, a great many people live fairly near sealevel, in the way of stuff like this. What once would have killed a number of people now kills a greater number, because more people are around.

News coverage is ubiquitous, so we see and hear more.

And these events are still rare.

The Japanese population is crowded (one might say herded) into low-lying development, living in antfarms, and the interior of the country is mountainous.


32 posted on 03/12/2011 7:03:43 AM PST by SunkenCiv (The 2nd Amendment follows right behind the 1st because some people are hard of hearing.)
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To: SunkenCiv
The population effect is real. It seems like disasters affect more people because there are more people. The news coverage effect is, imho, misconstrued at best and overblown at worst.

Life is leveraged up in every possible way and so the stakes are higher.

33 posted on 03/12/2011 7:53:25 AM PST by the invisib1e hand (Every knife in my back pushes me forward.)
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To: the invisib1e hand

The quake didn’t cause whole chunks of the landfill to slide down the continental shelf, I think the Japanese have planned better in that regard.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/2687688/posts


34 posted on 03/12/2011 10:20:26 AM PST by SunkenCiv (The 2nd Amendment follows right behind the 1st because some people are hard of hearing.)
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