Posted on 11/07/2016 2:26:11 PM PST by MNJohnnie
My gut tells me that I suck at predicting the future.
My gut tells me the overwhelming Enthusiasm factor will give Trump more than enough to overcome the fraud factor. The visual ProTrump enthusiasm one can see at the rallies and even on the Internet sites — Twitter - Facebook are reassuring... along with the real polls I have seen where no fudging was done — no oversampling - no focusing on minority or known Democrat areas and calling them broad scale sampling and no outright fabrication was done. These few polls done with large samplings of balanced Republicans, Democrats and Independents show Trump winning by large margins ... thus my gut feelings..
And how do I know this? The history of the man himself. The business career is simply outstanding. Trump's ability to plan, execute and adapt his strategy has been uncanny the whole election cycle. He has also been chosen excellent people like Banner, Conway, Jeff Sessions, Carson, and of course Pence -- to mention just a few. His family's role in the campaign has also been a key plus.
And look how wisely he has marshalled his resources and spent the minimum amount of money he had at each leg of the journey. He moved expertly through campaign managers and hired the right person at the right time to support him. And he has generated 10 times the excitement in voters that Mittens did.
So I have great faith in Trump's wisdom and his utter pride and disdain for failure. He will prevail.
The other thing is that the planets are beautifully lined up for him. After 8 years the incumbent party almost always loses, Hillary's endless scandals, her low energy and stupid comments, the great joblessness in the country, the massive failure of ObamaCare, the spike in national debt, ISIS terror, Black Lives Matter's attacks on civil-rights, and the killing of police.
Add it all up and we just know people are going to turn out in YUGE numbers for him tomorrow at the polls.
Now if I should be wrong and Trump loses fairly, then we would have to frankly admit that he could not pull off a win against the worst Demo opponent of all time. And that might signal that Trump would fall short on achieving his goals.
But that's not going to happen.
Most people don’t know that in such case the House votes by states - one state delegation, one vote.And it is not too well known that Republicans have the majority in a clear majority of state delegations - including some (e.g., PA) with modest Democrat popular vote majorities overall.
And only the top 3 EV winners can be considered by the House. So, desirable as a landslide is, a tie would be a win, in the House. In the Senate (for VP), it would depend on how many of its 20 senate seats up for reelection the Republican Party successfully defends.
There is hope for a far better outcome, but . . .
My gut tells me how desperately I hate reading the posts of the defeatests on FR! Good grief, why don’t you concerned types go and get a room tomorrow night and share in your freaking misery!
Tsunami, Monster, Mega, Orange Crush win for Trump. It will be great seeing the reporters anguish tomorrow... especially since they KNOW about the fraud and were counting on it to win.
Trump by 5%, but Hillary will not concede.
Gut says Trump, but he needs a safe margin to overcome Dem hanky panky
This time it is Trump
2008 - The election was over on September 15th when Lehman went under. McLame even “suspended” his campaign:
2012 - A confluence of 2 events 30 days apart ended Romney’s run in 2012. The first event was Bernanke announcing “QE Infinity” on September 13 and Candy Crowley putting Mitten’s manhood in a jar at the October 16 debate. Those 2 events ended Romney’s chances regardless of what the polls said.
If these 2 affable losers could run close races, Trump should prevail.
Trump is easily winning Iowa!! Iowa!! By several points. Not exactly a real conservative state. A state that Obama carried easily. A state that voted Dukakis. I just can’t fathom that the rest of the country is that excited about the Hilldabeast. Trump wins!!!
HOOK OR CROOK..!! Hillary can NOT afford to lose this election.... Expect it to be as bad as you can possible imagine....
My hope is to yell ‘Ding Dong the Witch is Dead’ at volume 11, microseconds after New York is called for Trump
Mr. Trump takes it.
Just like the primaries....Trump wins, not a landslide, but clearly and decisively. No drama at the convention, no Utah McMuffin drama, no tie, no hanging chads, enough of a victory to dispatch the 107% democrat vote in certain precincts.
Johnny Walker Black Label!
Averaging multiple samples to arrive at single measurement (and error) is a good way to improve the accuracy of your measurements. The premise of averaging is that noise and measurement errors are random, and therefore, by the Central Limit Theorem, the error will have a normal (Gaussian) distribution. By averaging multiple points, you arrive at a Gaussian distribution. You can then calculate a mean that is statistically close to the actual value. Furthermore, the standard deviation that you derive from the measurements gives the width of the normal distribution around the mean, which describes the probability density for the location of the actual value.one more..
The average value becomes more and more precise as the number of measurements increases. Although the uncertainty of any single measurement is always ∆ݔ ,the uncertainty in the mean becomes smaller as more measurements are made.So now you know Nate Silver's secret in 2012. You take a bunch of measurements (polls), average them, and you get a more accurate result.
My gut tells me that it could be:
1. Trump in a landslide,
2. Trump in a squeaker;
3. Hillary in a squeaker.
I’m prayed up but still nervous as a cat in a rocking chair factory.
But that's based on my assumption that the American People aren't just totally stupid and I've been in my living memory.manipulated by the relentless propaganda.
In 1992, Clinton beat Bush for logical reasons. In 2008, 0bama won for logical reasons, and then "defended" in 2008 against a very weak candidate.
The mood of the country certainly doesn't favor the incumbent party, and Donald Trump, on balance, is a superior candidate to any other the GOP could have possibly fielded.
Keep in mind that almost any other GOP candidate, such as Jeb Bush, could be considered as a "viable" alternative to Hillary, due to the fact that we'd have 2 globalist candidates running, and therefore the Uni-party Establishment would "win" either way.
The only other candidate that could have run as an "outsider" would have been Ted Cruz, and, while Cruz would have had a solid base, there's no way he would have been able to make the necessary demographic inroads to defeat a candidate like Hillary who, as we have seen, is the total darling of the Establishment.
So I believe Donald Trump was absolutely our best chance, as well as the best candidate, and if the nation will simply boldly follow through on the change that all polls seem to indicate the People want, then Trump should be able to flip a state or two tomorrow and "shock the world".
If Trump loses, I will have lost all faith in the American People and their ability to cut through the incredibly pervasive State Propaganda machine that we've see in operation this cycle.
If Hillary wins, I become an incorrigible (and deplorable) Revolutionary forever. I will fight the Regime tooth and nail. I will have to respect for them. I will not forgive them. I will resist to the utmost. I will foment Revolution to the limit of my ability to do so, and at the exclusion of all else.
For a corrupt criminal such as Hillary to be elected seems like the kind of thing that would be utterly impossible in any functional, legitimate American Republic. Thus, if such a thing occurs, it will be antithetical to the foundations of the Republic, and there will be no more ability to rationalize "working within the system", because that will have been tried and will have failed completely.
If Hillary wins, the only possible course is Revolution, IMHO. We will have officially exhausted every other avenue of redress that I can thing of.
I pray to God that He has mercy on us all. Indeed, if He doesn't show the People mercy, I must confess that my faith will likely be shaken to its core. I just can't conceive of a just God giving his sanction to a monster like Hillary Clinton leading this country, which remains the greatest hope of mankind by far. If God withdraws his protection from this Republic, I won't understand it and I will be devastated.
And the only course I can consider at that point is, as I have said, Liberty or Death. It will have come to that.
Please, O God, please have mercy on us, Bless Donald Trump, and do not make us, your loving People, drink from this bitter cup of corruption and decay. Please hear my prayer, O Father, in the name of your Holy Son, our Savior the Lord Jesus Christ, Prince of Peace, Amen.
The Revolution is ON!
Vote Trump!
I remember hearing in 2012 that the polls were wrong, being intentionally skewed. I remember hearing how Obama had small turnout at rally’s, they were changing the venue at the last minute because they couldn’t fill them. On the other hand, Romneys were packed. I honestly thought Romney would win.
I think Hillary will win, and I am nauseated to say that. I think Comeys Sunday announcement was the nail in the coffin.
We have a generation voting who has turned its back on the Founding Fathers. They have been fully indoctrinated by the communists running the education system. They do not care about the future of this country. They only care about finding an outlet to charge their cell phone so they can update their facebook. The government is their provider and their god and they are good with that. Clinton will win.
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