Thank you for your insights!
One tidbit though: it appears Rs are up 30 points with men!
Kavanaugh Effect.
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"It's a pretty good crowd for a Saturday .... And the manager gives me a smile ..... 'Cause he knows that it's me they've been comin' to see To forget about life for a while…
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Larry, you are a golden gem for this nation.
Very interesting. Thanks.
Thanks for the great work..
What’s your take on GA governor? It’s being painted as very close. I hope not.
Thanks for your posts and FReepmails.
Repeating the many (and well-earned) compliments and Thank-You’s above. They are much appreciated.
The Chattanooga area media will bleed into the NW counties of Georgia. They are overwhelmingly red voters. POTUS should invite Kemp to the rally.
Thanks for the excellent analysis, as always. Fyi, I posted this to another thread a bit ago:
“For the best sign of the impact of the nuttybomber, pay attention to the early vote count tomorrow for Volusia County, Fl. Today was the first day.
Ahem.
Lonnng lines, HUGE pubbie campaign presence, tons of volunteers (including moi) handing out pubbie voter guides. Probably 70% of crowd voted republican.
When we anger, it’s logical, not emotional, and we get a slow, relentless, unstoppable burn. We double down on our enthusiasm and ferociousness, just like our Leader.
We’ll kick their friken ass.”
P.s. Volusia (as you know, but others may not) is bellweather for Florida, and perhaps for the country. We’re the famous county who gave Bush the win—by 537 votes.
So again, see numbers for Volusia tomorrow for a decent overall indicator, an up-to-date snapshot of, well, everything.
Thanks for posting!
Thanks for this report, LS. Very encouraging.
Thank you so much.
Early votes are not actually counted until election day, correct? Your numbers are based on registration, right? Is it not possible that a lot of D voters will cross over and vote R—the #walkaway movement effect?
Thoughts on Florida? I’m close to the People’s Republic of Alachua/Gainesville (Univ of Florida), so it’s hard to tell and I’m concerned about the panhandle after the smack they took from Michael.
Praying you are on the mark- again!!
The Senate races are giving a good sense of the nation’s mood. I think that the media and the Democrats are going to be disappointed to say the least. As for the House, it’s almost anyone guess. The polls are almost useless, except that where there are decent polls, they tell a positive story for the GOP. But, it looks like only the media are funding public polls and they are only paying for results that they need to advance their agenda. Early voting seems to be a promising metric, but it’s hit and miss based on how the state’s report. This one deserves a serious analysis of 2016 to get ready for 2020.
There are too many razor thin margins for House races to suit me and we could be surprised in either direction. We will need to look at what Republican suburban women did this year. My gut tells me that they can be divided into two groups: Solid conservatives who voted for God, Country, and family and will make us proud. The other group are more concerned with their social standing, hate Trump, and have become self absorbed weak minded liberals.
Sorry to hear about WI and PA senate races. What’s your prognosis based on?
Thanks as always for cheering me up after a heavy dose of dismal media news, which includes latest polls from RCP.