Threat Matrix 2022

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Globalism / Great Reset -

WEF is sponsoring virtual global talks in Davos this week. “Everyone hopes that in 2022 the COVID-19 pandemic, and the crises that accompanied it, will finally begin to recede,” said Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman of the World Economic Forum. “But major global challenges await us, from climate change to rebuilding trust and social cohesion. To address them, leaders will need to adopt new models, look long term, renew cooperation and act systemically. The Davos Agenda 2022 is the starting point for the dialogue needed for global cooperation in 2022.”

Thousands of protesters packed Amsterdam’s streets on Sunday in opposition to the government-imposed COVID-19 measures and vaccination campaign as virus infections hit a new record. Authorities were granted stop and search powers at several locations across the city and scores of riot police vans patrolled neighborhoods where the demonstrators marched with banners and yellow umbrellas. Regular anti-coronavirus protests are held across the country and Sunday’s large gathering was joined by farmers who drove to the capital and parked tractors along the central Museum Square.
OBSERVATION - Protests continue around the world, reporting of which are generally kept well under wraps by the MSM.

Survey released yesterday show that the democrats hold very tyrannical views towards the unvaccinated. “Would you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose a proposal to limit the spread of the coronavirus by having federal or state governments require that citizens remain confined to their homes at all times, except for emergencies, if they refuse to get a COVID-19 vaccine?” the survey asked.
While 61 percent, overall, reject that scenario, the survey found 59 percent of Democrats favor the government requiring unvaccinated individuals to stay at home “at all times” with exceptions only for emergencies. Of those, 35 percent of Democrats “strongly” favor that proposal. Another 55 percent of Democrats said they favor the government fining unvaccinated Americans, while 45 percent said they would favor a proposal to limit the spread of the coronavirus “by having federal or state governments require that citizens temporarily live in designated facilities or locations if they refuse to get a COVID-19 vaccine.”
Respondents were also asked if they support or oppose a proposal for federal or state governments “to fine or imprison individuals who publicly question the efficacy of the existing COVID-19 vaccines on social media, television, radio, or in online or digital publications.” While the vast majority of Americans, 67 percent, said they opposed such a proposal, Democrats remain split, with 48 percent supporting fining vaccine critics and 46 opposing.
OBSERVATION - This shows the growing divide between the right and left. Such tyrannical actions are being beta tested in other countries in the world.

Continued closure of churches in Canada based on wuhan excuses has resulted in the development of ‘underground “ churches, meeting in secret as their places of worship are closed.
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Wuhan virus -

Omicron related infections continue across the country, but fatalities continue to trend low, reflecting the low lethality of the variant.

Wuhan “breakthrough’ cases gather steam as high profile cases grow. Gen Milley is the latests triple jabbed individual to get the disease. It is becoming increasingly apparent that the jabs don’t work - even with boosters. Trend growing in Europe to find alternatives for a fourth jab (second booster) given the clear failure of the ‘vaccines’ to control the virus.

Deaths among people aged 18 to 49 increased more than 40 percent in the 12 months ending October 2021 compared to the same period in 2018–2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic, according to an analysis of death certificate data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). An alarming increase in several major neurodegenerative diseases have also been noted in vaccinated young people .
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Economy -

Demand for groceries combined with soaring freight costs, supply/transport shortages and Omicron-related labor shortages are creating a new round of backlogs at processed food and fresh produce companies, leading to empty supermarket shelves at major retailers across the United States. Situation worsening and not improving.

An official with Union Pacific (UP) revealed late last week that the organization believes that approximately 90 shipping containers are compromised by thieves every day as images have gone viral in recent days showing the aftermath of the thieves stealing thousands of packages.
OBSERVATION - A shocking outgrowth of the flash mob attacks on high-end shopping centers. UP has threatened to withdraw operations from LA in part because of the DA’s (and state) policies to essentially not prosecute any of the thieves . UP is a pretty tough cookie and their threat to leave LA should be taken seriously. Follow-on consequences would be an even worsening supply disaster.

Morgan Stanley expects Brent crude to reach $90 per barrel later this year. This is also the price forecast of Goldman. JP Morgan recently said that crude could reach and exceed $100 this year, noting the decline in OPEC spare production capacity.
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Invasion of Illegals -

The border continues to record highs in illegal migrants and flow of illegal drugs into the American soil.
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Biden watch -

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 39% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Biden’s job performance. Sixty percent (60%) disapprove.
The latest figures include 18% who Strongly Approve of the job Biden is doing and 49% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -31.
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POLITICAL FRONT -

Pelosi/Schumer pushing today for votes on the HR1 voting scam and BBB. Looks like both will fail to gain votes to get past filibuster, and Schumer preparing to attempt the nuclear response to eliminate the fillibuster.
Pelosi calling any NO votes bigoted and racists.
OBSERVATION - It doesn’t look like this power play is going to sway holdouts and congressional democrats are looking at breaking these massive bills into smaller, more palatable pieces

Gallup polls reveal that the midterms of 2022 will be even bloodier (metaphorically) for democrats as they are tracking a 14 point swing in voter identification now placing republicans at a 5 point advantage after being at a 9 point disadvantage in 2021.
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Domestic Terror -

The terrorist what held worshippers Colleyville, TX Beth Israel synagogue hostage has ben identified as Malik Faisal Akram . British authorities admit that he was on MI15’s watch list. Questions persist on how he got a visa to get to the US and how he obtained a firearm once here. Some are reporting he has radical islamist ties.

The FBI released a new statement Sunday night, attempting to walk back their previous comments that the hostage taking at a Texas synagogue, on the Jewish Sabbath, during services “...was not specifically related to the Jewish community.” In the new statement, the FBI said, “This is a terrorism-related matter, in which the Jewish community was targeted, and is being investigated by the Joint Terrorism Task Force.”

Police in Britain said they have detained two teenagers in relation to the hostages being taken at Congregation Beth Israel synagogue in Colleyville on Saturday. Greater Manchester Police tweeted the information on Sunday that two teenagers were detained in South Manchester by Counter Terrorism Policing North West. They remain in custody for questioning. No further details were released about the suspects.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

USN announced that the ballistic-missile submarine USS Nevada (SSBN 733) arrived at Apra Harbor, Guam Jan. 15.
OBSERVATION - Highly unusual for the Navy to announce the location of its boomers.
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China -

Buried by other news, China continues to fly jets into the Taiwan ADZ on a daily basis.
wuhan lockdowns are causing increasing concern in Chinese leadership as they move closer to areas where the olympics will be conducted.
Attendees / athletes to the Olympics are being warned that their phones will be monitored and to use ‘burner’ phones for limited communications .
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North Korea -

NK has been shooting off a lot of short to medium range missiles, 1-2 every day for the past week. No new systems being noted, but many suggest that they are confirming modifications of existing models.
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Russia -

INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment.
Russia is mobilizing to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

More focus on claims that Russia will use a ‘false flag’ operation to justify invasion of Ukraine. Historically, Russia did the same to justify its invasions of Georgia to protect Russians in that country.

Russia has started a slow departure of Russian diplomats in Ukraine. Additional Russian consulates have been told to be ready to leave, according to officials to NYT. On Jan. 5, 18 people—mostly the children and wives of Russian diplomats—boarded buses and embarked on a 15-hour drive home to Moscow. About 30 more followed in the next few days, from Kyiv and Lviv.

Russia currently has ~55-60 BTGs near Ukraine. The Eastern Military District appears to have 5-10 or more BTGs on the way + division/army/district level assets. The VDV can form 10-15 BTGs. Russia could probably increase its BTG figure near Ukraine to 80 or more in 1-2 weeks.

A BTG (battalion tactical groups ) is a motorized rifle or tank battalion of 2-4 companies with attached ATGM, artillery, reconnaissance, engineer, and rear support platoons making a fairly self-sufficient ground combat unit.

A page on Telegram run by Belarusian Railway Workers claims that Russian Military Forces have begun to transfer military equipment into Belarus via four crossings: Osinovka, Zakopytya, Shesterovka, and Ezerishche. Others note the movement of equipment from Russia into Belarus and of Belarusian military forces moving south through Minsk and Gomel presumably towards the Ukraine border. Reports of Russian activated multiple BTGs from the Eastern Military District arriving to Western Russia, and more importantly, to Belarus.

Now that Kazakhstan has stabilized, Russia can deploy VDV near Ukraine. With Eastern Military District and VDV units on the move, Russia could quickly increase its BTG count and capacity to conduct a ground invasion. Units from the VDV’s 76th Air Assault Division is on the move with BMD-4M, possibly to Belarus or to the Ukrainian border in Russia. To get to 100 BTGs, Russia will need to mobilize much of the VDV.

Russia has called reservists to gather in 12 regions of Siberia, the Urals and the Volga region, in the Central MD. Some reporting a base official figure that they have 9k reservists signed up. Southern MD has a month long staggered call up.
OBSERVATION - Sure looks like they’re checking follow-on forces.

OVERALL OBSERVATION - Russian forces arriving in Belarus should have implications for folks’ perception of the size/scope of the operation. It looks like Putin is going BIG on the scale of the operation - that being the capture of the entire country. Deployment of equipment from the Far Eastern Military District now arriving in Belarus provides a serious axis of advance from the north behind the Dniper River with the potential of trapping Ukraine forces in eastern Ukraine. Current general observations of 100K Russian forces are quickly growing to nearly 200K with in the next couple weeks.

Russian markets seriously falling, in potential response to impending Russian invasion of Ukraine. Sberbank, Yandex, Alrosa, Aeroflot among top losers
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Ukraine -

The United Kingdom has announced it will send MBT LAW (NLAW) next generation anti-tank weapons to Ukraine. UK C-17s have been ferrying in the anti-tank weapons since the announcement. British military advisors are also enroute to the region.

Blinken will meet with President Volodymyr Zelensky and Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba on Wednesday “to reinforce the United States’ commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity,” State Department spokesperson Ned Price said in a statement on Tuesday. Price noted that Blinken will also discuss “the Department’s efforts to plan for contingencies” with U.S. Embassy’s staff and their families.
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Belarus -

See Russia on equipment arriving from Russia Far East Military District.

Rumors that some Belarusian reservists have been called up: effective February 1st to the 25th.

President Lukashenka approved the plan of a joint operational exercise of the armed forces of Belarus and Russia. The exercise is scheduled for February. It will be held on the western and southern borders of Belarus(Poland and Ukraine)
OBSERVATION - Could be a peak at the potential start date for an invasion, by disguising it as an ‘exercise’.
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Poland -

Deployment of Russian forces to Belarus and movement of those and Belorussian forces to the border region has caused increased concern of any conflict spilling into Poland.
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Europe General -

After causing a stir with Sweden, the Russian Baltic Fleet’s Korolev, Minsk, and Kaliningrad Project 775 large landing ships have entered the North Sea.

OBSERVATION - The scale of the Russian deployment to areas around Ukraine - 100k moving to 200K with no serious NATO deployment towards Ukraine has NATO at a serious disadvantage if it engages Russia. It would take weeks for a combat force to deploy to Ukrainaian (and even Poland) regions to oppose Russian forces. . Seems NATO is going to rely on economic sanctions rather than military response.
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Middle East / N. Africa General -

3 killed and 6 injured in the reported drone attack in Abu Dhabi, UAE yesterday attributed to Houthi forces. Initial reports of “Three Tankers carrying fuel” exploding in Abu Dhabi Industrial Area.
United Arab Emirates Foreign Minister Abdullah Bin Zayed Al Nahayan has asked US Secretary of State Antony Blinken to re-designate the Iran-aligned Houthi movement in Yemen as a terrorist organization, Axios reported citing a senior Emirati official.
The request follows the recent missile and drone attack on the Emirati capital of Abu Dhabi, which killed three people and injured six others. The Houthis took credit for the attack.
NOTE - Houthis are supported by Iran.
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Israel -

The Israeli security establishment is concerned by the Palestinian Authority’s inability to control the growing anarchy in the Jenin area. Hamas is breathing down the P.A.’s neck, and Israeli security officials warn that the IDF will eventually be forced to mount a major operation there.
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Iran -

In Austria the negotiations with Iran to revive the 2015 treaty that ended sanctions (if Iran halted work on nukes) are not going well. There have been eight rounds of talks since the new, hardline Iranian government took power in August 2021. Iranian president Raisi has insisted that Iran would not negotiate with the West until the 2018 sanctions were first lifted.

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******* CRITICAL MASS *******
Things are getting bad fast as the Ukraine situation melts down. US naval elements have departed bases for the open ocean in mass on both coasts. Significant change in readiness posture. Watching for snap deployments of Strategic and tactical air assets as well as US Army out of the US.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

A group of more than 100 billionaires and millionaires has issued a plea to political and business leaders convening virtually for the World Economic Forum: make us pay more tax.
The group calling itself the “Patriotic Millionaires” said that the ultra-wealthy were not currently being forced to pay their share of the global economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.
“As millionaires, we know that the current tax system is not fair. Most of us can say that, while the world has gone through an immense amount of suffering in the last two years, we have actually seen our wealth rise during the pandemic – yet few if any of us can honestly say that we pay our fair share in taxes,” the signatories said in an open letter, published on the occasion of the World Economic Forum’s “virtual Davos”, which began on January 17.
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Wuhan virus -

Israeli study shows that a second booster (4th shot) does very little to stop Omicron.
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Economy -

Oil prices are now at a 7 year high.
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Biden watch -

biden to hold first news conference in 80 days today.
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POLITICAL FRONT -

Pellosi/Schumer are stlll trying to ram HR1 (federalization of voting) and BBB through. It is expected that Schumer is going to force a vote on the fillibuster some time this evening.
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Domestic Terror -

The FBI and Homeland Security are warning that faith-based communities likely will remain targets of violence. In a letter obtained by CNN, FBI Deputy Director Paul Abbate and John Cohen, the top intelligence official at DHS, urged state and local officials to review their security protocols for mass gatherings and houses of worship.
“Faith-based communities have been, and will likely continue to be, targets of violence by both domestic violent extremists and those inspired by foreign terrorists,” the two officials said in the letter.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

******** WARNING - SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS *********

Observers are noting significant numbers of Naval warships departing both Pearl Harbor, San Diego and Norfork bases JAN 17 & 18.
OSINT sources include web cameras and individuals

Observed departing Pearl Harbor -
- USS Wayne E. Meyer (DDG 108) Arleigh Burke-class Flight IIA guided missile destroyer

Observed departing from San Diego -
- USS Tripoli (LHA 7)
- USS Curtis Wilbur (DDG 54) Arleigh Burke-class Flight I guided missile destroyer
- USS Shoup (DDG 86) Arleigh Burke-class Flight IIA guided missile destroyer
- USS Anchorage (LPD 23) San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock
- USS Annapolis (SSN 760) nuclear attack submarine

Observed departing Norfolk -
- USNS Medgar Evers (T-AKE-13) Lewis and Clark-class dry cargo ship
- USS Iwo Jima (LHD 7) Wasp-class amphibious assault ship
- USS Bataan (LHD 5) Wasp-class amphibious assault ship
- USS Gunston Hall (LSD 44) Whidbey Island-class dock landing ship
- USS Carter Hall (LSD 50) dock landing ship
- USS Forrest Sherman (DDG 98) Arleigh Burke-class Flight IIA guided missile destroyer
- USS Mitscher (DDG 57) Arleigh Burke-class Flight I guided missile destroyer
- USS Gonzalez (DDG 66) Arleigh Burke-class Flight I guided missile destroyer
- USNS Arctic (T-AOE-8) Supply-class fast combat support ship
- USNS Joshua Humphreys (T-AO-188) Henry J. Kaiser-class replenishment oiler

Don’t forget I reported that on Jan 14th the USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) Wasp-class amphibious assault ship and USS Arlington (LPD 24) San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock were observed leaving Norfolk, Virginia.

As noted in an earlier report, Lincoln Carrier Strike Group (CSG) departed San Diego, Calif., on Jan. 10 for deployment in the Western Pacific.
Currently, the Navy is reporting the Lincoln and the Carl Vinson CSGs along with the Essex ARG and America ESG the far Western Pacific between Japan and Philippines.
The Reagan is in reports to be in port at Yokosuka, Japan for maintenance.

OBSERVATION - Seeking confirmation from naval sources, I checked the USNI News Fleet and Marine Tracker: Jan. 18, 2022. Not a single naval group stationed in the US is listed on the map - no status for these groups/ships. USNI has gone silent.

The Ohio-class guided-missile submarine USS Georgia (SSGN 729), operating in the U.S. Sixth Fleet area of operations, conducted a brief stop for personnel near Limassol, Cyprus, on Jan. 15, 2022.
OBSERVATION - Again, announcing locations of boomers is unusual, especially during conditions of potential war.
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Russia -

INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.
Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko told reporters on Wednesday that Russia and NATO failed to find common ground. He summed up Wednesday’s meeting: “By NATO’s decision, all practical cooperation between Russia and the alliance in areas of common interest have been suspended. Today we do not have any unifying positive agenda, none at all.” He said that the West has presented Russia with an “unacceptable threat” that Russia will have to counter.

Russia has continued to deploy aircraft closer to the Ukraine border. It has sent 24-36 Su-34 jets to join helicopters that have been positioned near the border.
“As of mid-January, there are 36 Iskander launchers near Ukraine, according to the assessment. Iskander missiles are capable of striking targets 500-700 km (approximately 310-430 miles) away and could now target areas including the capital, Kyiv. Each Iskander-M brigade typically has 12 9P78-1 launchers which means 36 launchers=3 brigades. I think they likely have 4(+) brigade’s worth including launchers at Kapustin Yar and and from the 41st CAA. We’ve also seen more Iskander-M on the move. Every launcher can carry 2 ballistic missiles so that’s at least 72 ballistic missiles in range of Ukraine, likely with more missile reloads.
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Ukraine -

British C17 aircraft have been forced to fly around German airspace after their refusal to allow arms and munitions bound for Ukraine over country. U.K. Foreign Office officials have been told to be ready to move into “crisis mode” on short notice.
OBSERVATION - Lack of US leadership on this issue is worsening cracks in NATO alliance.

U.S. officials tell CNN that evidence shows Russia is planning to try and take Ukraine’s capital and overthrow the Ukrainian government.

ten Intelligence collecting aircraft from multiple NATO members flew over the Baltics and Ukraine in the past day.
USN P-8A (PK18x)
US Army RC-12Xs (YANK01 & YANK03)
USAF RC-135W (JAKE11)
USAF E-8C (REDEYE6)
RAF P-8A (GURNY01)
RAF RC-135W (RRR7205)
Swedish S100D (SVF604)
Swedish S102B (SVF623)
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Belarus -

More Russian military movements arrive for an “exercise” with Belarus forces in February.
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Europe General -

Swedish Armed Forces says all 6 Russian landing craft have left the Baltic Sea.
OBSERVATION - There is some RUMINT that these ships are headed for Venezuela or Cuba.
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Iran -

Iran and the United States are displaying little flexibility on core issues in indirect nuclear talks, raising questions about whether a compromise can be found soon to renew the 2015 deal, diplomats say.
After eight rounds of talks, the thorniest points remain the speed and scope of lifting sanctions on Tehran — including Iran’s demand for a US guarantee of no further punitive steps — and how and when to restore curbs on Iran’s atomic work.
OBSERVATION - I don’t expect much movement. Iran is getting what it wants - defacto elimination of sanctions because of no agreement.
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****** WARNING ******
USN deployments still unexplained. biden essentially gave Russia he green light in his press conference to attack.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

The direct imposition of permanent annual taxes on the earnings of the world’s richest individuals could redistribute wealth and lift millions out of poverty, a report presented to the World Economic Forum (WEF) on Wednesday outlined.
Under the globalist proposal, supranational taxation would start at a rate of two percent on wealth over $5 million and progress to five percent on wealth over $1 billion, generating $2.52 trillion. This would be in addition to – and on top of – whatever taxes are imposed at source by individual national authorities.
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Wuhan virus -

Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced an end to COVID restrictions in England, including face masks in public places and vaccine passports. Johnson said on Wednesday that the government would end its advisory telling people to work from home.
According to the BBC:
* Mandatory Covid passports for entering nightclubs and large events would end, though organisations could choose to use the NHS Covid pass if they wished
* People would no longer be advised to work from home and should discuss their return to offices with employers
* Face masks will no longer be mandated, though people are still advised to wear coverings in enclosed or crowded spaces and when meeting strangers
* From Thursday, secondary school pupils will no longer have to wear face masks in classrooms and government guidance on their use in communal areas would be removed “shortly.”
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Economy -

Futures in New York rose as much as 1.9% to climb above $87 a barrel. The global oil market has tightened in recent weeks due to outages in OPEC+ producers including Libya, with buyers in Asia paying sharply higher premiums for spot cargoes.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is boosting its forecasts for global benchmark Brent, predicting $100 oil in the third quarter
IN RELATED - A spike in gas prices will likely begin in March, according to Patrick De Haan, the head of petroleum at GasBuddy. De Haan says all Americans may soon be facing California-esque gas prices.
Biden’s rising inflation could push gas prices for regular unleaded fuel to above $4 a gallon. “We’ll start to see gasoline demand surge, along with refiners doing maintenance ahead of the summer driving season, creating a squeeze” De Haan told Fox Business.
Earlier this month, GasBuddy projected the national average price for a gallon of gasoline could climb to a high of $4.13 in June. California cities could have average costs of over $5. Currently the nationwide average is $3.314 per gallon according to the American Automobile Association.
OBSERVATION - Fuel prices increases will quickly spread to other sectors of the economy as those costs for increased shipping get passed on to consumers.

Canadian trucking vaccine mandates have hit and canadian grocery stores are reporting increased shortages. Jan 22 the US will impost similar, totally screwing up cross border trade as only about 80% of canadian truckers are vaccinated and a much lower percentage of US are.

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly climbed to the highest level since mid-October as an unprecedented surge in COVID-19 cases driven by the highly contagious omicron variant threatened to undermine the economy’s recovery. Figures released Thursday by the Labor Department show that applications for the week that ended on Jan. 15 jumped to 286,000 from a revised 231,000 a week earlier, sharply missing the 220,000 forecast by Refinitiv analysts.

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Biden watch -

Biden on Wednesday predicted a Russian invasion of Ukraine, citing existential concerns by the country’s president, Vladimir Putin, even as he warned of significant economic consequences should such an incursion occur.
But he suggested a “minor incursion” would elicit a lesser response than a full-scale invasion of the country. “I’m not so sure he is certain what he is going to do. My guess is he will move in. He has to do something,” Biden said CNN’s Matthew Chance (who’s in Kyiv) just reported that Ukrainian officials “watched those remarks with horror”
biden’s remarks required Psaki to issue a clarification statement - “If any Russian military forces move across the Ukrainian border, that’s a renewed invasion”
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POLITICAL FRONT -

The senate defeated the attempt at changing the filibuster rule 52-48
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

******** WARNING - SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS *********
Still no statement regarding the deployment of naval vessels from the US. USNI News still shows nothing in US. Only units depicted are those in the vicinity of the Japan Sea.
See link below to USNI map as of Jan 18, 2022

https://news.usni.org/2022/01/18/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-jan-18-2022#jp-carousel-91311
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China -

China is issuing a warning to athletes who will be competing in the games: Keep your mouth shut or else.
“Any expression that is in line with the Olympic spirit, I’m sure will be protected. Any behavior or speeches that are against the Olympic spirit, and especially against Chinese laws and regulations are also subjected to certain punishment,” Yang Shu, the deputy director general of the international relations department of the Beijing organizing committee, said on Wednesday.
“There’s really not much protection that we believe is going to be afforded to athletes,” Rob Koehler, the director general of the Global Athlete group, said during the seminar, according to Reuters. “So we’re advising athletes not to speak up. We want them to compete and use their voice when they get home.”

China lowered mortgage lending benchmark rates on Thursday as monetary authorities step up efforts to prop up the slowing economy, after data earlier in the week pointed to a darkening outlook for the country’s troubled property sector.
OBSERVATION - The Everclear meltdown combined with economic losses due to China’s Covid Zero policy locking down towns, factories and shipping ports have damaged China’s GDP growth projections. They are having to loosen the purse strings contrary to what the rest of the world which is tightening finances.
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North Korea -

North Korea hinted on Thursday that it could resume nuclear and long-range weapons tests. North Korea said that it would bolster its defenses against the United States and consider restarting “all temporally [sic] suspended activities,” state media KCNA’s English language portal reported on Thursday.
Kim Jong Un convened a meeting of the politburo of the ruling Workers’ Party on Wednesday, KCNA said.
The meeting was convened to discuss policy issues including countermeasures over “hostile” US policy.
Besides discussing the restarting “temporally suspended activities,” the politburo also called for “immediately bolstering more powerful physical means.”
“We should make more thorough preparation for a long-term confrontation with the U.S. imperialists,” the politburo said.
“The hostile policy and military threat by the US have reached a danger line that cannot be overlooked anymore.”
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Russia -

INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.
Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

Six Russian naval landing ships that created a security stir in Sweden have sailed south past Britain from the Baltic Sea. According to Russian Defense Ministry, the forces of the Russian Pacific, Northern and Baltic fleets will conduct exercises in the Mediterranean Sea. The six large landing ships of the Russian Navy is heading to the Mediterranean Sea for exercises, - the Russian Defense Ministry.
The Russian Defense Ministry also said the Russian Navy will conduct drills of all fleets in January-February. 140 vessels, 60 aircraft, 10000 servicemen including maneuvers in the White Sea and the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans
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Ukraine -

U.S. Secretary of State Blinken summed up Russia’s negotiating position as, “hand over Ukraine to our sphere of influence, or we will end Ukraine as it is. Those are the stakes.”

WEATHER UPDATE - Forecasts suggest sub-zero temperatures across the entirety of Belarus spreading southward into Ukraine through the 28th of the month, with a particularly cold shot of air near the 23rd.
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Belarus -

Russian troops have officially arrived in the Belarusian town of Yelsk, 18km from Ukraine according to a local news report.
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Maintain a ‘heads up” posture as the Russian / Ukraine situation can break loose at any moment.

Color Key
BLACK - An area worth noting, but not immediately impacting on US safety
BLUE - Incidents increasing and needing further monitoring, low threat to the US
YELLOW - This is the moderate concern level. Definitely becoming a threat but in the longer term.
ORANGE - A definite threat in both short term and long term. Some active events occurring
RED - Active and ongoing. Examples of this would be 2020 rioting, etc.

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Globalism / Great Reset - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - WEF having a virtual Davos conference this week. Big emphasis on taxing the global “rich” to help pay for wuhan assistance to poor nations.

Dozens of Canadian truck drivers have blocked the highway near the US–Manitoba international border to protest against Covid-19 vaccine mandates. Videos shared on social media showed truck drivers carrying Canadian flags and holding a demonstration on the Manitoba Highway 75, which connects the Emerson community in Manitoba with the US city of Pembina in North Dakota.
OBSERVATION - US ban of unjabbed US truckers into Canada is suppose to begin on the 22d. This border blockage will not help our supply chain issues.

On Wednesday (Jan.19th) the Czech government, via a Prime Minister Petr Fala press conference, announced plans to end COVID vaccine mandates. Ireland and France look set to follow England in easing restrictions.

The German government is seriously “concerned” over the sheer number of protests against COVID restrictions in recent weeks, which are the most widespread in the country’s history.
Influential German broadsheet Die Welt reveals that on the same day, protests took place in over 1,000 locations across the country.
“The government is concerned about the decentralized actions,” reports the newspaper, with one source labeling the “immensity” of the demonstrations “depressing.”
“Never before in the history of the Federal Republic have there been demonstrations that are more widespread than in the last few weeks,” states the report, with the government counting 1,046 separate protests involving around 188,000 participants.A new

California bill would allow children ages 12 and older to receive vaccines without the consent of their parents.
Currently, state law allows for minors to consent to medical care and treatment without the consent of a parent or guardian under certain circumstances. Those include “infectious, contagious, or communicable” diseases as determined by the State Public Health Officer.
Senate Bill 866, authored by State Sens. Scott Wiener and Richard Pan, would authorize vaccine providers to administer doses to children ages 12 and older without consent of parents and guardians if passed.
OBSERVATION - Another step in denying parental supervision of their children.

Starting this summer, creating an account on the IRS website will require a photo of your government identification as well as a video for facial recognition purposes to be submitted to a third-party company.
OBSERVATION - Biometrics increasingly becoming mandatory via back door means like this.
________________________________

Wuhan virus - YELLOW *last updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - OMICRON fear porn continues to dominate the MSM.

A newly released study from Brazil of over 150 thousand subjects found that regular prophylactic use of ivermectin “was associated with significantly reduced COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and mortality rates.”
The largest ivermectin study to date was conducted in Itajaí, Brazil, between July 2020 and December 2020. It recently passed rigorous peer-review and was published this week, Dr. Pierre Kory noted on Twitter.
Background: Ivermectin has demonstrated different mechanisms of action that potentially protect from both coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection and COVID-19-related comorbidities. Based on the studies suggesting efficacy in prophylaxis combined with the known safety profile of ivermectin, a citywide prevention program using ivermectin for COVID-19 was implemented in Itajaí, a southern city in Brazil in the state of Santa Catarina. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of regular ivermectin use on subsequent COVID-19 infection and mortality rates.
https://www.cureus.com/articles/82162-ivermectin-prophylaxis-used-for-covid-19-a-citywide-prospective-observational-study-of-223128-subjects-using-propensity-score-matching

The CDC has quietly published a study that finds natural immunity to be several times as effective as vaccination in preventing future covid infections and hospitalizations:
“Rates among vaccinated persons without a previous COVID-19 diagnosis were consistently higher than rates among unvaccinated persons with a history of COVID-19 (3.1-fold higher [95% CI = 2.6–3.7] in California and 1.9-fold higher [95% CI = 1.5–2.3] in New York) and rates among vaccinated persons with a history of COVID-19 (3.6-fold higher [95% CI = 2.9–4.3] in California and 2.8-fold higher [95% CI = 2.1–3.4] in New York).
During October 3–16, compared with hospitalization rates among unvaccinated persons without a previous COVID-19 diagnosis, hospitalization rates were 19.8-fold lower (95% CI = 18.2–21.4) among vaccinated persons without a previous COVID-19 diagnosis, 55.3-fold lower (95% CI = 27.3–83.3) among unvaccinated persons with a previous COVID-19 diagnosis, and 57.5-fold lower (95% CI = 29.2–85.8) among vaccinated persons with a previous COVID-19 diagnosis.”

Medical official are noting that coronavirus cases are falling in parts of the United States hardest hit by the fast-spreading omicron variant, according to a Reuters analysis of public health data, offering an early indication the virus might once again be on retreat.
COVID-19 infections have decreased in 15 states plus Washington, D.C. and Puerto Rico, an analysis of the past week through Wednesday compared with the prior week showed.
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Economy - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Maintaining color code pending first Fed rate increase. Increasing threat of deep recession / depression as the Fed tries to control inflation.

Market, bond and metals markets have been in flux as investors look to position themselves for expected Fed interest rate increases as well as potential war in Ukraine. NASDAQ is verging on corrections territory.
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Invasion of Illegals - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Illegals continue to push across the border with record numbers of intercepts
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Biden watch - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Mental facilities continue to degrade

WH and media lackeys have been working overtime walking biden gaffs back from his press conference. Example -
- Biden Questions Legitimacy of Midterm Election If Voting Rights Legislation Not Passed
- Psaki: Biden Was Not Intending to Cast Doubt on the Legitimacy of the Election
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CW2/Domestic violence - YELLOW trending neutral to down *updated 01/21/22*
DISCUSSION - Generally quiet activity on the BLM/Antifa front. Rampant crime continues with revelations of massive theft from UP Trains in LA, causing UP to examaine rerouting around LA.

The annual March For Life in DC may bring out Antifa counterprotestors.

A federal civil rights trial for three US ex-police officers indicted in the murder of George Floyd has begun in Minneapolis. The three men will also face their own state charges - for aiding and abetting Chauvin - in a separate trial later this year.
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CYBER/CANCEL CULTURE FRONT -

GETTR CEO Jason Miller said that they and anyone who his platform arbitrarily deems guilty of wrongthink will be removed from the platform and deprived of their freedom of speech. Speaking in regards to banning of Nick Fuentes and his so-called army of “Groypers” Miller said -
“Our viewpoint is your Free Speech rights really extend up to the point to where they start to infringe on someone else’s rights, whether that be their safety, whether that be keeping them protected from racial or religious epithets, making sure that no one is out there suggesting or trying to get people to act on illegal behavior,” Miller said.
Miller claimed that because he and his team of controllers believe Fuentes and his Groyper army have extremist beliefs that they will be denied their ability to speak freely on the GETTR platform.
___________________________________

POLITICAL FRONT - YELLOW *updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION -

Gallup Poll: Congressional Approval Rating Plunges to 18%

Pelosi/Schumer trying to pick up the pieces following the disastrous fillibuster vote fail. May force ‘smaller’ bills more specifically tailored that can pass both houses.
OBSERVATION - Expect increasingly desperation political maneuvering to get ‘red meat’ bills passed before congress essentially shuts down for mid-term campaigning.
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Domestic Terror - BLUE

FBI continues to get hammered for its recent failures and actions surrounding the hostage taking at a Jewish synagogue.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments - ORANGE (UPDATED 01/21/2022) *status raised*

Watching closely the sudden deployment of USN Amphibious units and supporting ships from Norfolk and San Diego this past week. Those units have been removed from the USNI public affairs website deployment map. Also monitoring closely any evidence of USAF and US Army activations and deployments.
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China - ORANGE trending neutral to upward

A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers is urging the International Olympic Committee to “immediately clarify its policies on athletes’ freedom to speak” during the upcoming Beijing Winter Games, after organizers warned that participants who express themselves in ways that violate Chinese laws will be “subject to certain punishment.”
OBSERVATION - I don’t recall any other olympics where the host country threatened jail and legal proceedings against athletes if they speak out against their policies.

China/Russia/Iran joint naval exercise to start in the Indian ocean.

The United States is looking for ways to potentially accelerate delivery of Taiwan’s next generation of new-build F-16 fighter jets, U.S. officials said, bolstering the Taiwanese air force’s ability to respond to what Washington and Taipei see as increasing intimidation by China’s military.
The officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said they have not yet come up with a solution on how to speed delivery of Block 70 F-16s, manufactured by Lockheed Martin and equipped with new capabilities. The aircraft are currently slated to be delivered by the end of 2026.

China’s economy continues to suffer from self imposed wuhan shutdowns.
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North Korea - YELLOW (UPDATED 01/21/22)

UNSC members have failed to agree on imposing UN sanctions on N.Koreans responsible for weapons development, while the US denounced opponents for giving Pyongyang a “blank check.” “We have to hold them accountable for their aggression,” China blocked US push for UN sanctions on five N.Korea.
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Russia - ORANGE and increasing *last updated 121021*
DISCUSSION -*** INCREASED WARNING *** ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.
Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

WEATHER - Below freezing temperatures will maintain soil conditions conducive to armor operations and maneuvering for the next two weeks.

Current intelligence indicators of impending attack.
- Military units from the Far East Military District are closing in on assembly areas predominantly in Belarus.
- Russia continues to build a narrative to justify an invasion

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, speaking in Geneva, says US Secretary of State Antony Blinken told him that that the U.S. will provide written responses to all of Russia’s security demands/proposals next week. Lavrov says the talks with were “useful” and “constructive”
Blinken says he asked Lavrov to describe how Russian side believes its actions have advanced Russia’s interests. Blinken on a possible Biden-Putin summit: “If it proves useful and productive for the two presidents to meet to talk, to engage to try to carry things forward, I think we’re fully prepared to do that”. Blinken says Lavrov repeated denial of plans to invade Ukraine. “But it is deeds and actions” that US will judge, he says, asks Russia to redeploy forces from near Ukraine’s border (which Lavrov just a little while ago said was none of America’s business since inside Russia)

Russia wants Nato to remove all of its forces from Bulgaria, Romania and other ex-communist states in eastern Europe that joined the alliance after 1997, the foreign ministry said on Friday, underlining Moscow’s hardline position ahead of security talks with the US in Geneva.
Sergei Lavrov, Russia’s foreign minister, said in a written Q&A on the ministry’s website that Russia’s demands included “withdrawing foreign forces, equipment, and armaments and making other steps to return to the condition as of 1997”, when Nato began admitting former Warsaw Pact countries.
“That includes Bulgaria and Romania,” Lavrov said, adding that Russia’s demand was “core” and “deliberately worded as clearly as possible so as not to allow any dual interpretations”.

China/Russia/Iran joint naval exercise to start in the Indian ocean.

Russia announced Thursday it will hold huge naval drills involving more than 140 warships and supporting vessels this month and in February, at a time of heightened tensions with Western nations.
The war games to be held in the Atlantic, Pacific, Arctic, and Mediterranean will involve “more than 140 warships and support vessels, more than 60 aircraft, 1,000 pieces of military equipment, and about 10,000 servicemen,” the defense ministry said in a statement carried by Russian news agencies.

Six large amphibious assault ships still tracking from the Baltic Sea into the Med for a reported naval exercise there.
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Ukraine - ORANGE trending upward *updated 121021*
Increased potential of an attack by Russia.

British transport aircraft are now in their third day of delivering “thousands” of anti-tank weapons to Ukraine in the face of a massive build-up of Russian troops. 30 British Army Rangers arrived in Ukraine to train Ukraine army on these anti tank weapons.

Training of civilian resistance to any Russian invasion continues at an expanded pace.
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Belarus - YELLOW *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION -

Russia is sending two battalions of S-400 surface-to-air missile systems to Belarus to join military drills there next month, the Interfax news agency said on Friday,

33 trains with military equipment and Russian servicemen have arrived in Belarus over the past week. Such data is provided by the telegram channel “Community of Railway workers.” The total number of trains with Russian military equipment that will arrive in Belarus is 200 trains.
Russian Iskander missile systems are spotted in Asipovichy. The first reports that they were brought there for the drills were received last night. The Asipovichy training ground was officially announced as the place for the drills

The US has charged four Belarusian officials with aircraft piracy over the diversion of a passenger plane to Minsk last May.
Prosecutors allege the officials used a false bomb threat to divert a Ryanair flight to the Belarus capital, where opposition journalist Roman Protasevich and his partner were detained.
FBI officials said the incident was a “reckless violation”. Earlier this week a UN report concluded the bomb threat was deliberately false. Mr Protasevich, a 26-year old journalist with the Nexta opposition media, and his partner Sofia Sapega were detained once the flight had landed in Minsk. Mr Protasevich was released from prison in June and has spent the past seven months under house arrest.
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Europe General - YELLOW TRENDING UPWARD *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Increasing potential that NATO will become involved in an Ukraine invasion as Poland, Romania and the Baltic Nations respond.

Romania foreign ministry says Russian demand for NATO troop removal ‘unacceptable’

Spain has sent warships to join NATO naval forces in the Mediterranean and the Black Sea as tension in the region rises over the Russian military build-up on the Ukrainian border, Defense Minister Margarita Robles said on Thursday.
A mine-sweeper is already en route and a frigate will sail within three or four days, Robles told reporters. The Madrid government is also considering sending fighter jets to Bulgaria, she said.
“Russia cannot tell any country what to do, so NATO will protect and defend the sovereignty of any country that can or wants to join NATO,” she said.
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Israel - ORANGE trending neutral to upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Ongoing threat from Hezbollah and Iran continues.

The Biden White House has withdrawn U.S. support from a pipeline project designed to deliver Israeli natural gas to Europe, reversing a decision taken by President Donald Trump’s administration.
The 1,180-mile undersea pipeline project from Israel to southern Europe, set to be completed by 2025, will ease Europe’s dependence on Russia and Turkey. These two countries have a stranglehold on the continent’s energy supply.
“The United States is no longer supporting the construction of EastMed gas pipeline project as Washington’s interest is now switching to renewable energy sources, according to a State Department statement,” the Euractiv, a Brussels based news website, reported recently.
By rescinding the U.S. backing for the Israel-Europe pipeline, the Biden administration is bowing down to the pressure from Turkey’s Erdogan regime, which has been angered for being left out of the lucrative energy project. “Several Greek media reported that Joe Biden’s move politically winks at Turkey, who since the beginning has opposed the EastMed deal as it was bypassing it,” the European news outlet noted.
OBSERVATION - biden is very disjointed on this, approving a Russian gas pipeline while rejecting an alternative. I suspect Israel will continue forward with the project because it is in their best interest, realizing that the democrats in power in DC are anti-Israel.
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Iran - ORANGE *unchanged*

China, Russia and Iran will hold joint naval drills on Friday, a public relations official from Iran’s armed forces told semi-official ISNA news agency on Thursday.
The “2022 Marine Security Belt” exercise will take place in the north of the Indian Ocean and is the third joint naval drill between the three countries, Mostafa Tajoldin added.
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Saudi Arabia - YELLOW (Updated 01/21/22)

Increased counter attacks against the Iranian backed Houthis rebels after they launched ballistic rockets and drones against the UAE.
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Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan - YELLOW

The Taliban have announced an official suicide bomber “brigade” to their semi-official military structure.
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Sorry for delay, this is one of those ‘one step back’ days.
________________________________

Globalism / Great Reset -

The Federal Reserve released a long-awaited review of the potential for creating a central bank digital currency Thursday, after months of delays. Ahead of making a decision, the Fed has asked the public to submit answers on 22 questions posed in the report.
“The introduction of a CBDC would represent a highly significant innovation in American money,” the authors said in the report. “This paper is the first step in a public discussion between the Federal Reserve and stakeholders about CBDC.”
Many in the industry have called for the creation of a U.S. CBDC, saying it could take the place of dollar-linked stablecoins and help connect fiat and crypto transactions. China has created its own CBDC, the digital yuan or e-CNY, and some observers suggest the U.S. needs its own to stay competitive and maintain the dollar’s dominant role in the world financial system.
While the Fed has previously said that creating a CBDC was top priority, the development of FedNow, an instant payments service through banks for individuals and businesses, may impact its progress. FedNow is expected to be available next year.
The report also made it clear that the Fed would not proceed with a CBDC “without clear support from the executive branch and from Congress, ideally in the form of a specific authorizing law.”

OBSERVATION - A step towards a global digital currency tied to social credit ratings no doubt. Further, elimination of cash (US Dollar) will permit the govt to monitor just what is being spent and where. Of course there is the next step of how citizens will access those digital funds . . .
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Wuhan virus -

Biden’s CDC Director says the definition of fully vaccinated is being changed to include the booster, and “fully vaccinated” will now be called “up to date.”
OBSERVATION - One goal of this semantics game is pressuring people who are eligible for the booster but haven’t received one yet to get jabbed. Second is to hid the goal post moving that is going on.
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Economy -

Just like the inflation is “transitory” mantra from last fall, empty grocery shelves are becoming more and more undeniable. Several contributing causes
- shortages caused by low production / distribution issues
- spot buying - If you see it on the shelf you by it because you dont know when you’ll see it again
- General high demand stacking on top of high demand from the stores to get caught up.
Contrary to biden, these shortages are not going to end any time soon. Stores have been struggling to keep stocked since the wuhan hit in 2019/2020 and industry leaders don’t see any signs of it letting up soon.
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Invasion of Illegals -

During a speech this week to the U.S. Conference of Mayors, Department of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas boasted about the administration’s policy that does not consider illegal entry into the country a crime.
“Unlawful presence in the United States will alone not be a basis for an immigration enforcement action.”

In a statement to Fox News, TSA confirms they are allowing illegal immigrants to use arrest warrants as ID at airport security checkpoints. They receive additional screening, and their DHS documents are validated by cross checking CBP databases.

OBSERVATION - The chaos at the border is not due to stupid policy wonks - but due to deliberate measures to keep the population destabilized and looking to govt for help/relief. Aggressive actions in Blue states to permit the illegals to vote is the next step which is being observed. Global removal of boundaries is also a component of the Great Reset - no more sovereign nations.
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Biden watch -

The new German Chancellor turned down an invitation from Joe Biden to discuss the Ukraine situation, German magazine Der Spiegel reported.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

BLM/Antifa activity remains low. Some Antifa actions supporting radical environmentalist as well as opposing anti-vac protests are scattered across the country.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

https://news.usni.org/2022/01/18/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-jan-18-2022#jp-carousel-91311

Pentagon Pres Sec announces new NATO exercise starting on Monday - Neptune Strike 22 by Strike Force NATO “The planning for this exercise actually goes back to 2020”. “USS Harry S Truman carrier strike group will be placed under NATO operational control and serve as the centerpiece for this long planned activity that fosters NATO allies ability to cooperate and integrate effectively. Neptune Strike 22 “ not designed in respect to some of the scenarios” that might happen re Russia-Ukraine.
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Cyber Warfare -

The recent cyber attack against Ukrainian govt websites has gotten the US into frantic self defense mode as many analysts believe that the US will be targeted if / when Russia attacks the Ukraine. One area of great concern is potential to attack the US grid. Some estimate that the grid is 80% vulnerable to a cyber attack. Cybersecurity Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), the Federal Bureau of Investigations (FBI), and the National Security Agency (NSA) to put out multiple advisories for potential cyber attacks if Russia were to invade Ukraine.
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China -

The economic interdependence between the U.S. and China is now materializing as a critical vulnerability for the U.S. and its economy. China’s ever-expanding zero-COVID policy is driving lockdowns, creating slowdowns in manufacturing goods destined for the U.S. The greater the lockdowns in China the more disrupted the supply chains are in the U.S. and other western nations. Coincidentally, or not, those western nations are the same ones opposed to China’s forced repatriation of Taiwan and expansion in the Pacific.

OBSERVATION - China is watching the US response to Russian aggression towards Ukraine and is factoring those features into a future attack to regain Taiwan. Some worse case scenarios have China timing its efforts at the same time as Russia’s attack - forcing the US to address a two front war in a matter of speaking.
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Russia -

INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.
Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

Six Russian amphibious ships that caused the Swedish scare last week entered the Mediterranean Sea yesterday, escorted by the French Navy. Likely to be participating in announced naval exercises there with other Russian naval elements.

Lack of U.S. leadership on this NATO’s response to a Russian invasion of Ukraine is likely to delay a unified response or its members. This could embolden Russia to move swiftly in the region, potentially dragging U.S. allies like Poland into the fray. Russian military deployments to Belarus appear aimed at opening a northern front in Ukraine, but could easily shift focus toward the West if further disunity is factored in. However, such a shift westward would guarantee NATO/European military response and greatly enlarge the conflict to something that Putin could not essentially control given his current force deployment.
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Ukraine -

Germany will send a field hospital to Ukraine, Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht announced on Saturday.

The US embassy in Kyiv requested today that State Dept authorize departure of nonessential staff & families from the embassy.
The US has informed Ukraine that they are “likely to start evacuations as early as next week” of families of diplomats.
The first shipment of assistance recently directed by President Biden to Ukraine arrived in Ukraine. This shipment includes close to 200,000 pounds of lethal aid, including ammunition for the front line defenders of Ukraine.
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Belarus -

Observers report that Su-35S fighter jets from Russian Eastern Military District have arrived in Belarus.
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Europe / NATO General -

The President of France, Emmanuel Macron, announced on Wednesday, January 19, that France would send troops to Romania as part of NATO operations to ensure the security of the eastern alliance states, G4media.ro reported. “We have sent troops to ensure the security of our European partners in NATO missions, to our friends in the Baltic area, and we will continue to do so. We have shown our readiness to move forward, within NATO, to engage in new missions and to take responsibility for “enhanced advanced presence” missions, especially in Romania. Solidarity with our European friends in NATO,” said the French president.

Russia and NATO to both hold exercises in Mediterranean. NATO to begin on Monday. Russia has not specified but are moving ships to the area.

Some European nations worried that punishing Russia with deep sanctions over Ukraine could cause Putin to cut off gas supplies in middle of winter. Biden officials seeking help from Qatar, leading LNG exporter in world.
OBSERVATION - I made this point a while back. Europe has less than 50’% of its normal natural gas supplies stockpiled.

Germany is blocking NATO ally Estonia from giving military support to Ukraine by refusing to issue permits for German-origin weapons to be exported to Kyiv as it braces for a potential Russian invasion

The Netherlands to deploy F-35s & make forces available for NATO defense. 2 Dutch F-35s will deploy in April & May to protect Bulgaria’s airspace. An amphibious transport ship & 2 land-based units are also on standby.
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Iraq -

Since the US announced the cessation of military operations last December, ISIS has increased its guerrilla attacks on Iraqi targets. ISIS has also increased operations in Syrian and Afghanistan as well as other arab states. Some observers are going as far to say ISIS is resurgent in the region.
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Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan -

A Taliban delegation will travel to Norway for talks with the Norwegian government, meeting with representatives of the Norwegian authorities and several allied countries but also with civil society activists and human rights defenders from Afghanistan. It would be the first time since the Taliban took over the country last August, that they have met in Europe.
Norwegian Foreign Minister Anniken Huitfeldt stressed that the meeting was “not a legitimation or recognition of the Taliban. But we must talk to those who in practice govern the country today.”
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________________________________

Wuhan virus -

Thousands of people gathered in European capitals Saturday to protest vaccine passports and other requirements governments have imposed in hopes of ending the coronavirus pandemic. Demonstrations took place in Athens, Brussels, Helsinki, London, Paris and Stockholm. In Brussels, police water cannon trucks fired powerful jets at protestors in the Belgian capital.

Wuhan reporting out of Israel has been eyeopening. Despite having one of the highest percentages for citizens “fully vaccinated” (two injections plus a ‘booster’ and a second booster in progress) it currently leading the world in new daily COVID-19 cases per capita,
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Economy -

Observers noting that 80% of all dollars that have existed were printed in the last 2 years. When you print more money it means there are more dollars chasing the same amount of goods and services, which causes prices to rise. If we want to put this into perspective, we can take a look at the monetary supply at the beginning of 2020, which showed just $4.0192 trillion in circulation. By January 2021, that number had jumped up to $6.7 trillion — but this was only the beginning.
By November of last year, that number climbed to $20.354 trillion dollars in circulation — meaning that since January 2020, the United States has printed nearly 80% of all US dollars in existence.

Washington DC Mayor asking citizens to ‘voluntarily’ limit purchases in grocery stores.

The U.S. closed its borders to unvaccinated and partially vaccinated Canadian and Mexican truck drivers on Saturday, the Department of Homeland Security said on Thursday.
“These updated travel requirements reflect the Biden-Harris Administration’s commitment to protecting public health while safely facilitating the cross-border trade and travel that is critical to our economy,” Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas said in a statement. The impact will be felt most acutely for the U.S.-Canada freight market, where around 160,000 truckers regularly cross the border — 75% of whom are Canadian.
OBSERVATION - Similar restriction by Canada will only make the current supply / transport crisis worse.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

https://news.usni.org/2022/01/18/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-jan-18-2022#jp-carousel-91311

The U.S. Department of Defense said the two U.S. Navy Carrier Strike Groups, led by their flagships USS Carl Vinson and USS Abraham Lincoln, had begun operations in the South China Sea on Sunday. Last week these CSGs were conducting operations in the Japan Sea and with Japanese naval elements that included Japan’s first Aircraft carrier in decades.

Biden is considering deploying several thousand U.S. troops, as well as warships and aircraft, to NATO allies in the Baltics and Eastern Europe, an expansion of American military involvement amid mounting fears of a Russian incursion into Ukraine, according to administration officials. Among strategies being considered, between 1,000 to 5,000 troops could be relocated to countries in Eastern Europe. There would also be a potential to increase to 50,000 should the need arise.
OBSERVATION - The numerous Amphibious Assault ships that departed Norfolk naval base if fully loaded with troops and equipment could meet this requirement in a few days. Also, US forces in Western Europe could be repositioned eastward.

Neptune Strike 22 by Strike Force NATO being conducted in the Mediterrian sea starts today with the USS Truman CSG
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China -

China sent thirty-nine (39) military aircraft into the Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) of Taiwan Sunday, the largest single incursion since October
Aircraft Type:
Yun-9 communication countermeasure aircraft 2 sorties (Two Y-9 EW)
J-10 10 sorties (Ten J-10)
J-16 24 sorties (Twenty-four J-16)
Y-8 reconnaissance aircraft 2 sorties (Two Y-8 ELINT)
H-6 aircraft 1 sortie (One H-6)
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Russia -

Russia has deployed elements of 10 army groups and an army corps near Ukraine (probably 70+ BTGs). Of those, only 3 are permanently stationed to cover Russia’s south-western borders. The increase is therefore substantial in terms of size and capabilities, but also broad in terms of the territory covered.

Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

********

State Dept advises US citizens against travel to Russia.

Russia’s purported military exercises in Belarus, which many see as dress rehearsal for invasion of Ukraine from north, end Feb 20, same day Beijing Olympics end. Putin invaded Crimea just after Sochi Olympics in 2014.

The Russian Foreign Minister’s office has warned Japan to stay out of the Ukraine crisis after Japan warned that it was ready to take ‘strong actions’ regarding Russia’s actions regarding Ukraine and U.S. officials stated the U.S. has a ‘close alignment’ with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

Russia has notified Ireland of Russian naval exercises in international waters in the Irish Sea, Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney said on Monday, adding that they were unwelcome.
Russia said late last week its navy would stage a sweeping set of exercises involving all its fleets from the Pacific to the Atlantic, the latest show of strength in a surge of military activity during a standoff with the West.

Russian financial markets down’t seem too thrilled about war. Russian markets appear to be approaching something like free-fall territory. Stock market down 9% already today - value lost in last few weeks something like $150bn now. Ruble also fallen another 1.5%, getting close to point where Central Bank could consider intervening.

OVERALL OBSERVATION - It is currently unlikely that Russia will initiate an invasion until they have received and provided written responses to NATO membership/deployments in Eastern Europe. Russia cannot postpone an invasion indefinitely as combat readiness declines the longer things drag out. Russia has been attempting to maintain sharpness through various exercises, but given the numbers deployed they can only do so much. Cold weather continues through the short range, keeping ground frozen, permitting extensive armored operations. There are some rumors that Russia will strike in conjunction with the China olympics but that places forces static for an even longer period. ( Feb 20) Clearly they have forces to strike now.
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Ukraine -

U.K. has begun to withdraw staff from Embassy in Ukraine- BBC News
Australian federal government begins evacuating family members of Australian diplomats in Kyiv
State Dept official says U.S. ordered departure of all family members of U.S. embassy employees in Ukraine, gave option for non-essential employees to leave, said U.S. won’t be able to evacuate Americans if Russia invades, and adds U.S. doesn’t know if Putin has made up his mind.
The US State Dept has reissued its Level 4 Travel advisory for #Ukraine to include new information about increased risk of #Russian military action:
“Do not travel to Ukraine due to the increased threats of Russian military action and COVID-19.”

The British government is claiming that the Russian government of Vladimir Putin is planning on executing a coup d’etat against the Ukrainian government headed by President Volodymyr Zelensky. The report was unusually specific, naming five former Ukrainian ministers, of whom four served under former President Viktor Yanukovych — the Russian-backed leader driven from office in 2014.
The fifth plotter is a former member of the Ukrainian Parliament named Yevgeniy Murayev. He would be installed as leader of a pro-Russian government in Kyiv. Russia has denied the report.

OVERALL OBSERVATION - NATO is very limited in response, sending munitions/weapons to Ukraine but no serious ground forces. NATO appears to be setting up to discourage Putin from continuing the attack into Eastern Europe. Ukraine will have to fight this on their own. Home turf advantage and fighting a smart defensive war has the capability of inflicting serious losses to Russian forces, which probably accounts for the size of the potential Russian invasion force.
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Belarus -

Belarusian and Russian Air Forces are conducting joint patrols over Belarus
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Poland -

Poland does not intend to send troops to Ukraine - head of the National Security Bureau of Poland Pavel Solokh
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Europe / NATO General -

NATO allies have put forces on standby and sent ships and fighter jets to bolster Europe’s eastern defences as tensions soar over Russia’s military buildup around Ukraine, the alliance said on Monday
-Denmark sending frigate to Baltic Sea, four F-16s to Lithuania
-Spain sending ships, ‘considering’ jets to Bulgaria
-France ready to send forces to Romania
-Netherlands sending two F-35s to Bulgaria
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Middle East / N. Africa General -

Houthi launched another attack against UAE, firing at least two ballistic missile. THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) intercepted the Ballistic Missile near Al-Dhafra Air Base launched by the Houthi’s from Yemen.

OBSERVATION - Iranian backed Houthis seeking to spread the conflict into UAE.
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Iraq -

Iraq’s security forces deployed around Abou Ghraib and Taji prisons near Baghdad to prevent a suspected attack from IS to release detainees such as what happened in Hasakah, Syria. The Iraqi government has ordered tightening the security measures on the border strip with neighboring Syria after dozens of Islamic State (IS) militants said to have escaped a prison in Hasakah.

OBSERVATION - ISIS is ascendant across the region, from Syria to Afghanistan.
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Syria -

Significant attempted jail break by ISIS at the al-Sina’a prison in Syria’s Hasakah.
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Black Swans -

A truck and trailer carrying about 100 monkeys collided with a dump truck Friday afternoon along Route 54 just off Interstate 80 near Danville, Pennsylvania. Three monkeys escaped the crash. The monkeys were later reportedly “humanely euthanized.” According to a CDC spokesperson, the monkeys were en route to a CDC-approved quarantine facility after landing Friday morning in New York. They are originally from Mauritius, a country in eastern Africa. The CDC is now monitoring local residents for cold-like symptoms.

Buckle up, another turbulent week enroute. I’m preparing a separate Russian options report for later, either today or tomorrow.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) closed Florida’s monoclonal antibody treatment sites on Monday after the federal government abruptly removed the treatments from Emergency Use Authorizations.
The Florida Department of Health released a statement on Monday evening condemning the “abrupt” decision to take away treatments that can prevent severe illness, hospitalization, and death in high-risk patients who have contracted or been exposed to COVID-19.
As a result of the US_FDA’s abrupt decision to remove the EUAs for two monoclonal antibodies, monoclonal antibody treatment sites will be closed until further notice.
“This evening, without any advanced notice, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) revised the Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)...The revised EUAs do not allow providers to administer these treatments within the United States,” the statement reads.
“Unfortunately, as a result of this abrupt decision made by the federal government, all monoclonal antibody state sites will be closed until further notice...Florida disagrees with the decision that blocks access to any available treatments in the absence of clinical evidence.”
OBSERVATION - The excuse given by the FDA is that this treatment is not effective against Omicron. However, it is just evidence of biden weaponizing treatments against Florida and likely as a warning against other Red states to toe the line. Its about power, not the disease. GGR will utilize similar punitive measures when finally unleashed.
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Wuhan virus -

Victoria Premier Dan Andrews of Australia has decided that in order to remain “fully vaccinated” for the Wuhan coronavirus (Covid-19), Aussies will now need to get a third “booster” dose.
Speaking outside at a park in his usual smug tone, Andrews explained that getting “boosted” is no longer an option. In order to continue living, Victorians will need to roll up their sleeves when their turn comes, or else be ostracized from society.
“This is not an option,” Andrews told his constituents condescendingly. “It’s not an add-on. It’s not (just) a good thing to have.”
“I think we’re very close to a change in policy that will simply reflect the fact that in order to be ‘fully vaccinated,’ you need to have three doses – not two plus an optional extra, but in fact to be fully protected, to be fully vaccinated, to have fully played your card, you need not two plus an optional third, but three doses.”

Preliminary, unpublished study by Israeli researchers show that a fourth injection does not prevent Omicron variant infections.
In related, Pfizer announced they will soon have a retooled injection to combat Omicron.
OBSERVATION - The ‘vaccine’ narrative continues to crumble as more and more proof these mRNA concoctions not only fail to prevent infection, but may even increase the probability of infections.
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Economy -

War fears and impending Fed rate adjustments caused the Dow Monday to drop more than a thousand points( and this morning the DOW is dropping like a rock again). Yet, with virtually no solid news basis the market rallied strongly. The rally brought out talk about the Fed activation of the ‘crash prevention’ team. Real economic pressures indicate further sell off and growing instability.

Lack of and increased in prices for fertilizer in the US have farmers looking at reducing corn planting. Fertilizer and liquid nitrogen have tripled and quadrupled in price over the past year. Corn typically takes about 600 pounds of fertilizer per acre, plus 50 gallons of liquid nitrogen. Farmers instead are looking to plant soybeans instead.
OBSERVATION - Fertilizer shortages are affecting the rest fo the world as well, cutting crop production by some estimates by as much as 30%. This will further stress global food markets, driving prices even higher.

Economic growth in the United States slowed sharply in the first weeks of the year due to supply chain disruptions, high prices, and labor shortages linked to the surge in Covid-19 infections, according to data from a purchasing managers survey released Monday.
The U.S. IHS Markit flash composite purchasing managers index, one of the first comprehensive looks at economic growth this year, fell to 50.8 in January from 57.0 in December, severely undershooting expectations and signaling almost no growth in the economy. Economists had forecast a reading of 56.7.
“Soaring virus cases have brought the U.S. economy to a near standstill at the start of the year, with businesses disrupted by worsening supply-chain delays and staff shortages, with new restrictions to control the spread of Omicron adding to firms’ headwinds,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit. The flash composite measures economic activity in both the services and manufacturing sides of the economy. Readings above 50 indicate growth.
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Invasion of Illegals -

The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) on Friday acknowledged it was allowing illegal immigrants to present arrest warrants as identification to get on airplanes but said it was ending the practice.
“For non-citizens and non-U.S. nationals who do not otherwise have acceptable forms of ID for presentation at security checkpoints, TSA may also accept certain DHS-issued forms, including ICE Form I-200 (Warrant for Arrest of an Alien),” a spokesman for the agency told The Epoch Times in an email.
OBSERVATION - It is unspeakable that TSA would grant CRIMINALS access to our airlines in this manner.
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Biden watch -

Biden caught on hot mic calling Fox News’ Peter Doocy a ‘stupid son of a ...’ after he asked him about current high inflation.
Doocy called out, “Do you think inflation is a political liabiity ahead of the midterms?”
Biden replied “It’s a great asset - more inflation.” Then he shook his head and added, “What a stupid son of a bitch.”
White House has been on damage control since. Reports that biden called Doocy to say it was nothing personal but strictly business.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Biden’s job performance. Fifty-nine (59%) disapprove. The latest figures include 18% who Strongly Approve of the job Biden is doing and 50% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -32.
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POLITICAL FRONT -

More fallout among democrats following Schumer’s disastrous (in democrat views) handling of HR1 and BBB. Some democrats in DC are upset that Schumer’s actions have exposed fractures in the party and have made matters worse.

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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

******** WARNING - SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS *********

Warning orders for about 8,500 troops to make ready for deployment to Europe to counter Russian build ups. Exact units not specifically identified yet. There are also reports of discussions of readying up to 50,000 troops for deployment. Current discussions are that these forces will not be deployed directly to Ukraine, but other Eastern European nations like the Baltics, Poland, Romania, etc.
OBSERVATION - The US has long deactivate the old REFORGER concept but the last I heard has retained some stored equipment for smaller scale deployments that these troops can fall in on. Armor units are necessary to counter the armor heavy units Russia has. Airborne (82d, 101st) are ‘crunchies’, not sufficient to counter armor attacks.

Apart from today’s Kearsarge announcement, still no statement regarding the deployment of other naval vessels from the US. USNI News still shows nothing in US. Only units depicted are those in the vicinity of the Japan Sea. Those include four carrier CSG, all other carriers have dropped off the map as well.
See link below to USNI map as of Jan 24, 2022

https://news.usni.org/2022/01/24/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-jan-24-2022

The Kearsarge Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) is underway in the Virginia Capes Operating Areas. The ARG and the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit are in the middle of a Composite Training Unit Exercise (COMPTUEX).
OBSERVATION - The Kearsarge ARG was observed departing Norfolk on the 14th of Jan. No word on the other groups that departed a few days later. No word on the reason for their deployment yet.

An F-35C Joint Strike Fighter crashed while landing aboard the aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson, which is currently operating in the South China Sea. The pilot ejected from the aircraft and is in a stable condition, while seven other sailors aboard the ship were injured as a result of the accident. The fate of the aircraft is uncertain. A spokesman for the 7th Naval Fleet in Japan called the impact on the flight deck “superficial”. The warship and its air squadron have resumed normal operations.
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Cyber Warfare -

A DHS memo released Sunday warned that Russia could launch a cyberattack against U.S. targets on American soil if it believes Washington’s response to its potential invasion of Ukraine threatens its long-term national security. Putin doesn’t play. It takes no stretch of the imagination to picture him ordering a full cyberattack crippling American infrastructure, commerce, and national security. The situation’s seriousness cannot be overstated. Russia, despite its denials, is plainly preparing for war.
OBSERVATION - This well could be recognized as an act of war by the US and escalate the situation greatly. Putin would see any significant military response to a Ukrainian invasion as an act of war, justifying his cyber attacks.
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China -

Epoch times reminds us that China has built extensive cities - cities that are completely empty. They report that they have the capacity to house New York City 27 times over. These cities were reported years ago, and with China’s current economic woes are looming like monster.
Corporations like Everclear are stuck paying back loans for these buildings, with no tenants. This is a snapshot as to the depth of the real estate bubble that is ready to burst. Some estimate that the real cost of these constructions are multiple times China’s GDP.
OBSERVATION - When the dam breaks, it will affect global investors as well as China.
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North Korea -

North Korea fired two cruise missiles on the morning of Jan. 25, a South Korean military official confirmed to NK News, adding that ROK-US intelligence is still analyzing the test.
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Russia -

Russia has deployed elements of 10 army groups and an army corps near Ukraine (probably 70+ BTGs). Of those, only 3 CAAs are permanently stationed to cover Russia’s south-western borders. The increase is therefore substantial in terms of size and capabilities, but also broad in terms of the territory covered.

********

Russian troops of Southern Military District and Western Military District launched combat readiness check, to last until 29th January. Southern Military district, which borders Ukraine, has more than 6,000 troops.

Increasing numbers of Russian river crossing units moving into the theater. Many designed for major river crossings, which means the Dnepier River may not be a stopping point for Russia - as in a partial invasion.

3 Russian assault ships of the Baltic Fleet (Minsk, Kaliningrad and Korolev) expected to transit Strait of Gibraltar today - most likely heading for Black Sea. The group is being shadowed by destroyer from USS Roosevelt group

US still expects to send its written response to Russia re NATO/Ukraine this week, will include response to Russia’s proposals and also other issues the US is hoping can be grounds for agreement w/ Russia.
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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Temperatures forecast to be around freezing and snow for most of the next two weeks. This will thaw out some of soils and inhibit some armored movement. But at this stage, thawing will be limited and not a show stopper.

Security Service of Ukraine neutralized a criminal group that was preparing a series of attacks. A large-scale operation took place in Zhytomyr and Kharkiv. The criminals were coordinated by representatives of the Russian special services.

The UK is “becoming aware of a significant number of individuals that are assessed to be associated with Russian military advance-force operations and currently located in Ukraine” - update from deputy defence minister Heappey

Briefing after meeting of National Security Council of Ukraine. Members of NSDC speaking on their topics, in short: no imminent threat of attack, in case of attack everything is ready. No issues with energy sector: enough coal, gas.
OBSERVATION - This is at odds with NATO assessments of an imminent invasion . This is likely to try to calm the fears of the country while NATO’s assessment is meant to rally the troops.

Canada follows US, Britain, Germany and Australia and orders families of diplomatic staff to leave Ukraine
Marine Corps official says that the service has deployed additional forces from its Marine Security Guard Security Augmentation Unit to the U.S. Embassy in Ukraine.

The 3rd weapons shipment from United States to Ukraine is on the way to Boryspil International Airport in Kyiv from Dover AFB, Delaware

Pentagon Pres Sec Kirby announcing steps to ready multi-national NATO response force (NRF) of 40,000 troops “if it is activated...to defeat aggression, if necessary” against Russia.
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Belarus -

Belarusian Railway infrastructure has been hit by ransomware. It’s been reported servers, databases, and workstations have been impacted to delay deployment of Russian troops. The individual(s) is demanding the release of 50 political prisoners
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Syria -

British Special Forces are involved in the operation to retake Gweiran prison in NE Syria according to unconfirmed reports. US forces are reported to be involved as well. ISIS is still in control of pockets of the prison and using local civilians as hostages / human shields. The death toll from the Al-Sina’a prison incidents in Hasaka has risen to 166, including 114 from ISIS
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Sorry for the delay, life happens (and naps).
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Globalism / Great Reset -

Republicans are weighing whether to force a government shutdown if the next federal spending plan includes funding for COVID-19 vaccine mandates. The continuing resolution expires Feb. 18, and Republicans are circulating a letter vowing to pull support for funding the government, forcing a shutdown, Fox News reported Tuesday.
OBSERVATION - The CR is already in danger from general democrat disarray and Republican refusing further support of spending without budget controls. This will be fought by the globalist swamp.
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Wuhan virus -

Following the USSC decision, Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) on Tuesday withdrew its vaccine mandate on business larger than 100 employees. Expect OSHA to try to weasel another mandate via the standard regulatory methods and not “emergency” regulations.

Just 40% of fully vaccinated Americans have received a booster dose, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And the average number of booster shots dispensed per day in the U.S. has plummeted from a peak of 1 million in early December to about 490,000 as of last week. “It’s clear that the booster effort is falling short,” said Jason Schwartz, a vaccine policy expert at Yale University.

The former vice president of the World Health Organization’s European Advisory Group of experts in immunization; Professor Christian Perronne, yesterday said that all vaccinated people must quarantine over the winter months or risk serious illness. Perronne specializes in tropical pathologies and emerging infectious diseases. He was Chairman of the Specialized Committee on Communicable Diseases of the High Council of Public Health.
“Unvaccinated people are not dangerous; vaccinated people are dangerous for others. It’s proven in Israel now – I’m in contact with many physicians in Israel – they’re having big problems, severe cases in the hospitals are among vaccinated people, and in UK also, you have the larger vaccination program and also there are problems.”
Israeli doctor Kobi Haviv told Channel 13 News:
“95 percent of seriously ill patients are vaccinated. Fully vaccinated people account for 85-90 percent of hospitalizations. We are opening more and more COVID branches. The effectiveness of vaccines is declining or disappearing.”
OBSERVATION - Israel is the canary in the mine. With the highest level of injections in the world, wuhan continues unabated and worsening.
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Economy -

Fed announced no immediate rate changes, but looks to March for the first increase. Rate remains 0.25%

Brazil, Argentina and Paraguay, the three major agricultural producers in South America, are currently experiencing a prolonged period of drought and low water levels in their main rivers. This is severely impacting harvests, as well as river transport of important summer crops, with maize (corn) and soybeans the main casualties.
OBSERVATION - This will rebound back to the US in the form of higher produce prices.
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Invasion of Illegals -

Numerous accounts of illegals being dumped all over he country with no accountability or ability to corral them to send back.
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Biden watch -

Biden said on Tuesday he would consider personal sanctions on President Vladimir Putin if Russia invades Ukraine. Direct U.S. sanctions on foreign leaders are rare but not unprecedented.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

The U.S. Postal Service (USPS) has announced plans to provide its law enforcement branch with expanded access to its vast trove of customer data, raising concerns among privacy activists about the organization’s expanding surveillance powers.
The USPS came under scrutiny in 2021 when it was revealed that its law enforcement arm, the U.S. Postal Inspection Service (USPIS), was monitoring both left- and right-wing protest groups on social media. Multiple nonprofit organizations sued the USPS, seeking internal records about its surveillance program and questioning the legality of such activities.
Those lawsuits haven’t stopped the Postal Service from seeking additional surveillance powers. On Dec. 17, 2021, the USPS announced that it intended to provide customer data to USPIS investigators.
OBSERVATION - As noted when this first came out that this was a biden end around of constitutional surveillance laws. Now these obscure govt agencies are weaponizing against citizens.

Pelosi’s Capitol Police is secretly gathering “intelligence” on Hill staffers and American citizens who meet with lawmakers according to Politico. Pelosi’s police are scrutinizing social media accounts of innocent people. “Whatever they think that sounds like for security, it sounds dangerously close — if not already over the line — to spying on members of Congress, their staff, their constituents and their supporters,” Rep. Kelly Armstrong, a former criminal defense attorney told Politico.
“Anybody involved with implementing this without making it known to the actual members of Congress should resign or be fired immediately,” he added. “And I’m not big on calling for resignations.”
OBSERVATIONS - USPS and now the Cap Police are just the tip of the iceberg of govt monitoring of citizens at a level unthinkable just a few years ago (when it was considered conspiracy theory).

San Jose voted Tuesday night to require gun owners to carry liability insurance in what’s believed to be the first measure of its kind in the United States. The council also voted to require thousands of gun owners in the city to pay a small fee, which would be used for firearm safety education and services such as domestic violence prevention and mental health services.
OBSERVATION - Can you believe criminals will follow this . . . . .
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POLITICAL FRONT -

The 29th House democrat has announced retirement. This outflow indicates that the democrats are expecting a drubbing in the midterms and to preserve their pensions, endangered reps are retiring rather than being voted out, like rats escaping a sinking ship.
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Domestic Terror -

Domestic violent extremists and racially motivated extremists have been developing plans to attack the U.S. electric sector, according to an intelligence bulletin from the Department of Homeland Security that was issued this week and obtained by The Daily Beast.
“DVEs have developed credible, specific plans to attack electricity infrastructure since at least 2020, identifying the electric grid as a particularly attractive target given its interdependency with other infrastructure sectors,” the alert said.
DHS’ Office of Intelligence and Analysis issued the alert to the electric sector Monday, following requests from power companies to take stock of increased threats from domestic violent extremists in 2020 and 2021.
OBSERVATION - Focus on the right, ignoring the left who have attacked infrastructure in the pasts - particularl ecoterrorists. Could also serve as a false flag to aggressively go after the right.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

******** WARNING - SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS *********

Warning orders for about 8,500 troops to make ready for deployment to Europe to counter Russian build ups. Exact units not specifically identified yet however are not believed to be elements of 82d and 101st according to U.S. defense officials.
OBSERVATION - These are light units with no heavy armor. In some ways symbolic, but capable of some defensive operators when backed by air support.

https://news.usni.org/2022/01/24/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-jan-24-2022

US F-15s have landed at Amari Air Base, Estonia and Danish F-16s will arrive at Siauliai Air Base, Lithuania tomorrow to bolster the forces already deployed under the long established NATO Air Policing mission.
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China -

The U.S. is weighing whether to authorize departures for American diplomats and their families in #China who wish to leave due to the U.S. government’s inability to prevent Chinese authorities from subjecting them to intrusive COVID19 control measures (ie anal swabs are back).
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Russia -

********

Russian Black Sea fleet launched exercise with more than 20 vessels.

S-300V-series air defense/ballistic missile defense systems are reportedly in Bryansk near the border with Ukraine. These would be used to defend against Ukrainian Tochka-U tactical ballistic missiles.
OBSERVATION - This is an example of the extent of russian’s military build up, indicating that they are setting up the capabability for a large scale invasion of Ukraine.

The Western and Southern Military Districts announced combat readiness inspections, which will include raising units to an alert status and moving them to training ranges, and will end this week. This includes the Black Sea Fleet and Caspian Flotilla. The Southern Military District is deploying 20 field command posts as part of the check, and Su-27SM, Su-30SM2, and Su-34 squadrons will rehearsed flying to different airfields.
Observers noting that this activity activity from all of Russia’s major regional commands are a significant precursor to war and Russia’s preparations are entering a new stage. “Russia also appears to be activating some troops and may be beginning to move aircraft and ground-support crews to operational air bases.”
OBSERVATION - I’ve noted that extended periods of deployment tend to reduce operational readiness \. Exercises like this work to sharpen the sword again and suggest that military action is soon to follow.

The Biden admin delivered to Russia a written response to concerns Moscow has publicly released & US proposals on a path forward , but the response is unlikely to characterize the likelihood of Ukraine joining NATO in the short term.
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Ukraine -

India now recommends that its citizens In Ukraine register on the resource of the diplomatic mission in order to receive timely information about a possible evacuation.
New security alert from US Embassy in Ukraine, effectively urging Americans to leave while there’s still time. “The U.S. Embassy urges U.S. citizens in Ukraine to consider departing now using commercial or other privately available transportation options”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, in a televised address, urged his compatriots to stay calm, as Western leaders stepped up preparations for any Russian military action in Ukraine. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said earlier today that depending on the content of this response, which he said is “expected this week,” Russian officials will prepare “proposals for the president [Putin] regarding our next steps.

US Dep Sec of State Sherman “we certainly see every indication that he [Putin] is going to use military force sometime [in Ukraine], perhaps between between now and middle of February”

The official website of Ukraine “Ukraine.ua” was targeted in cyberattack last night - Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
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Belarus -

Russia deploys Su-35 fighter jets to Belarus.

US warns Belarus of ‘decisive’ response if assists Russian invasion of Ukraine
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Europe / NATO General -

Finland has enhanced its military readiness as international tensions rise over Russia’s military build-up near Ukraine.

Italy’s defence minister said the country stands by the NATO side in its support of Ukraine. Several Italian MPs and the committee of intelligence criticized the meeting of Italian enterprises with Putin, said foreign ministry was not notified about it
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Iran -

With talks to restore the 2015 nuclear agreement with Iran reaching a critical phase, differences have emerged in the U.S. negotiating team over how tough to be with Tehran and when to walk away, according to people familiar with the negotiations. U.S. officials confirmed over the weekend that Richard Nephew, the deputy special envoy for Iran, has left the team. Mr. Nephew, an architect of previous economic sanctions on Iran, had advocated a tougher posture in the current negotiations. Two other members of the team, which is led by State Department veteran Robert Malley, have stepped back from the talks, the people familiar said, because they also wanted a harder negotiating stance.

OBSERVATION - biden administration trending to give Iran what ever it wants with no sanctions or punishment for violations. Iran knew biden was weak, this is reinforcing it, making it even more dangerous in the region.

The Shia rebel ground offensive in central Yemen (Marib Province) is over with the rebels retreating when attacked, and the government forces are doing a lot of attacking supported, by airstrikes and artillery fire. These airborne surveillance and attack operations were much heavier in central Yemen, where the Shia offensive continued for so long. The heavy Shia casualties became an issue, but Iran insisted the offensive continue to make the most of continued use of missiles and armed UAVs on targets in Saudi Arabia and now the UAE (United Arab Emirates). The missile and AUV attacks on Saudi Arabia were supposed to help but didn’t. Iran smuggled in more ballistic missile and UAV components, at great expense, carried on some attacks against the UAE itself, and demanded that the UAE stop fighting the Shia rebels in Yemen. That did not work. Although the UAE will take losses from a decline in tourism activity because of the Iranian attacks, they know that once you obey one Iranian demand, there will be more. Iran wants to control all of the Arabia Peninsula and especially the pilgrim city of Mecca in Saudi Arabia. (Strategy Page)
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Syria -

Kurdish forces have recaptured the prison following the mass surrender of ISIS militants and prisoners of Ghweran prison in Hasaka, northern Syria
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Amazing how quickly things move on a daily basis. Can’t stand down for a day.

Threat Trending Code Color Key -

BLACK - An area worth noting, but not immediately impacting on US safety
BLUE - Incidents increasing and needing further monitoring, low threat to the US
YELLOW - This is the moderate concern level. Definitely becoming a threat but in the longer term.
ORANGE - A definite threat in both short term and long term. Some active events occurring
RED - Active and ongoing. Examples of this would be 2020 rioting, etc.

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Globalism / Great Reset - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Increasing push back on wuhan tyrannical mandates threatening GGR suspected timelines. Still, GGR puppets (PM’s, governors etc) are doubling and tripling down - see Kalifornia for one instance.

Massive protest brewing in Ottawa Canada this weekend as tens of thousands (50,000+) of truckers and upwards of a million or more protestors pour into the city to oppose the current national mandates. 50,000 truckers alone (convoy stretches over 40 miles) Trudeau reportedly has gone into hiding. Canada has turned uber oppressive, even denying the unjabbed the ability to go into a Walmart with out a special escort to make sure they only buy food and/or medicine. There are reports of other convoys being put together to go into the US. It is estimated that about 20% of Canadian truckers are unjabbed.
The anti-vaccine mandate trucker convoy launched last week in response to Trudeau ordering American and Canadian drivers to be fully vaccinated to cross Canada’s border by January 22. The Canadian Trucking Alliance and the American Trucking Associations said Trudeau’s order would sideline up to 26,000 of the 160,000 drivers on the road in the middle of winter and amid unprecedented supply chain breakdowns.
OBSERVATION - Protests are also ongoing world wide, but are generally suppressed by the MSM.
________________________________

Wuhan virus - YELLOW *last updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - OMICRON fear porn continues to dominate the MSM. Now there is a Son of Omicron to fear.

The Son of Omicron has appeared just as the fear porn factor of its ‘father’ has wore out. This new Omicron is labeled BA.2. Public health officials say it’s too early to predict what BA.2 might mean for the course of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Like Omicron, BA.2 contains numerous mutations, according to researchers at the Massachusetts Consortium on Pathogen Readiness, a collaboration of academic researchers from different institutes in the Boston area who monitor genetic changes in SARS-CoV-2. About 20 mutations have been located in the antibody-binding regions that vaccines target. BA.2 also contains some mutations not found in BA.1, but scientists aren’t sure yet what those changes mean.

A new study released on Tuesday by the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) revealed the development of myocarditis and pericarditis after mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccination. It is highest in adolescent males and young men.
The study was based on the data from VAERS on reported cases of myocarditis that occurred after receiving the Pfizer and Moderna vaccine between December 2020 and August 2021 in 192, 405 ,448 individuals older than 12 years of age in the US. These data were processed by VAERS as of September 30, 2021.
The primary outcome after vaccination was myocarditis and the secondary outcome was pericarditis.
OBSERVATION - Under normal conditions, this would shut these “vaccines” down immediately, but then it isn’t about the disease but power.

In a Thursday press release, Sweden’s Public Health Agency said that the medical benefit of the vaccine for those aged 5-11 years-old is “currently small,” and that while the benefits are “constantly” under assessment, they will have decided against a general recommendation for children under the age of 1ans 2 for spring 2022, according to Reuters.
The Swedish government currently recommends vaccination for children over the age of 12, as well as for high-risk children between the ages of 5-11.

RUMINT - There are some saying that the F35 pilot that crashed on the USS Vinson had received is booster jab the previous day and was complaining of chest pain on landing approach.
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A report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis states that -
“Personal income increased $70.7 billion (0.3 percent) in December according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $39.9 billion (0.2 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $95.2 billion (0.6 percent).
Real DPI decreased 0.2 percent in December and Real PCE decreased 1.0 percent; goods decreased 3.1 percent and services increased 0.1 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.4 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.5 percent.
OBSERVATION - We already knew this, inflation has outstripped any increased wages. This just serves to quantify it.

Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg.told the Associated Press Thursday that the Biden administration is preparing to roll out a new “safe system” plan designed to decrease traffic fatalities nationwide. Components of the “safe system plan” include increased use of traffic cameras, regulations mandating automatic emergency braking in all new passenger vehicles, lower speed limits, creation of many more dedicated bike and bus lanes, and requiring automakers to install anti-drunk driving technology in all motor vehicles.
OBSERVATION - Shadows of Carter’s 55 mph requirements as well as efforts to get cars off the road.

Pending home sales defied predictions of a rebound at year-end, falling by 3.9 percent compared with a downwardly revised November estimate, data from the National Association of Realtors showed Thursday. The downturn largely reflects an extremely low supply of homes for sale according to experts.
OBSERVATION - Some are speculating that the housing bubble is beginning to deflate.
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Invasion of Illegals - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Illegals continue to push across the border with record numbers of intercepts

More revelations on the covert operations to transport illegals by contracted aircraft throughout the country. Some estimates of nearly 300,000 have been relocated. Reports of secret, late-night drop-offs at small airports around the country have been bouncing around, but the latest is a video obtained Tucker Carlson Tonight, contractors and law enforcement in Westchester, NY, discussed the situation and why it’s all being kept on “the down low.”

Figures disclosed by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) show that the Biden administration dispersed 273,396 illegal immigrants throughout the United States during a five-month period last year and issued north of 100,000 Notices to Report (NTR) to an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) field office within 60 days. The stats reveal that over 50,000 illegal aliens failed to show up for their hearing with federal authorities by ignoring the government issued NTR.
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Biden watch - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Mental facilities continue to degrade

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CW2/Domestic violence - YELLOW trending neutral to down *updated 01/21/22*
DISCUSSION - Generally quiet activity on the BLM/Antifa front. Rampant crime continues

Impacts by illegals on domestic violence has yet to be quantified because of the administration’s efforts to keep it undercover. Examples are still present. Oscar Rosales, 51, was arrested by Mexican authorities Wednesday in the border town of Ciudad Acuña and turned over to American officials. Rosales is charged with capital murder for allegedly shooting Harris County Constable Charles Galloway through the windshield of his squad car during a Houston traffic stop early Sunday morning.
Immigration and Customs Enforcement confirmed to Fox News Thursday that Rosales was not a US citizen and had not been in the country legally.
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CANCEL CULTURE FRONT - YELLOW *updated 01-28-22*

U.S. Surgeon General Vivek Murthy said Tuesday on MSNBC that not only the government, but Big Tech companies have a role to play when it comes to censoring so-called “misinformation” and curating “accurate” information to the public.
OBSERVATION - Increasing screeches from the left to aggressively censor anyone who challenges their various narratives. The biggest target currently is Joe Rogan who iirc really isn’t conservative, but willing to have all view points on his podcast which pulls more listeners than many MSM talking heads. Government censorship is just what communism and other authorities govts revert to a la 1984.
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POLITICAL FRONT - YELLOW and increasing *updated 01-28-22*
DISCUSSION - Between democrats trying to regroup after failing to pass HR1, BBB, economic crash and plunging poll numbers, now a supreme court nominee to process.

After the circus surrounding the announcement that Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer retirement at the end of the current court term, leaked by the WH and confirmed the following day by Breyer, democrats are in a frenzy. The marxist / progressive branch is wanting a very radical nominee. More moderate elements something left of center. Crazy speculation about Harris, Hillary, Stacy Abrahams and even Michelle being nominated. One thing is for certain - it will be a female of color - no qualifications necessary. Question is - what is the republican red line on a nominee. Are they willing to roll over or force a more moderate nominee.
Schumer is looking to rush the process so it is done before campaign season and the midterms, even though Breyer won’t be stepping down until this fall.
A liberal nominee will not change the current 5-4 (can’t count on Roberts) balance of the court.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments - ORANGE (UPDATED 01/21/2022) *status raised*

1000 troops are currently slated to be deployed to Eastern Europe. This is down from 8,500 announced earlier. Change based on confusion on the extent that NATO wants US forces in theatre.
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North Korea - YELLOW (UPDATED 01/21/22)

North Korea’s internet appears to have been hit by a second wave of outages in as many weeks, possibly caused by a distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attack, researchers said on Wednesday.
OBSERVATION - Speculation that these attacks are in response to recent missile launchings.
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Russia - ORANGE and increasing *last updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.
Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

NOTE - Recent comments by Russia/Putin may indicate a softening of their positions and an opening for more dialogue/diplomacy.

A good map that I found depiction the disposition of Russian forces is at the following link -

https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1486456836249292806/photo/1

WEATHER - Below freezing temperatures will maintain soil conditions conducive to armor operations and maneuvering for the next two weeks.

Current intelligence indicators of impending attack.
- Western defense officials reported on Thursday that Moscow is sending medical units to the Ukrainian front.

ADDITIONAL COMMENTS - I’m still working to pull together a situation and scenario(s) post, but may have found a document created by another group that does it better that I’ll add my observations to.

President Vladimir Putin has told his French counterpart that the West has ignored Russia’s security concerns, amid fears Russia could invade Ukraine.
The US rejected a key Moscow demand that Nato rule out Ukraine joining the defense alliance - but insisted it was offering Russia a “diplomatic path”.

Russia on Friday sent its strongest signal so far that it is willing to engage with U.S. security proposals and reiterated that it does not want war over Ukraine. “If it depends on Russia, then there will be no war. We don’t want wars. But we also won’t allow our interests to be rudely trampled, to be ignored,” Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told Russian radio stations in an interview.

The report that three Russian landing craft (presumably loaded with Russian marines) transited the Strait of Gibraltar this week. Which is 2,000 statute miles, 1,740 nautical or 4-days steaming which will put them on site perhaps Sunday. There is no reports of the other three ships location, some speculate that they may be headed to Cuba or Central America. Remember, it is these ships that triggered the Swedish alert a couple weeks ago.

The U.S. State Department is vowing to block the Nord Stream 2 pipeline between Russia and Germany from moving forward if Russia invades Ukraine. “I want to be very clear: if Russia invades Ukraine one way or another, Nord Stream 2 will not move forward,” spokesperson Ned Price said Wednesday. “I’m not going to get into the specifics,” he told NPR. “We will work with Germany to ensure it does not move forward.”

The United States has asked that the United Nations Security Council meet publicly on Monday to discuss Russia’s “threatening behavior” against Ukraine and its troop buildup on Ukraine’s borders and in Belarus, the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations said on Thursday.
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Ukraine - ORANGE trending upward *updated 121021*
Increased potential of an attack by Russia.

Joe Biden is planning to deploy 1,000 troops to Eastern Europe to defend it against Russian aggression alongside several Nato allies
It comes a day after he put 8,500 U.S. soldiers on alert to go to the region.
OBSERVATION - Wobbling around on a critical issue like this will only embolden Putin.

A conscript soldier in Ukraine’s National Guard was arrested Thursday after he opened fire in a machine factory in the east of the country, killing five people and wounding five more, authorities said.
Ukraine’s Interior Ministry said in a statement that the guardsman, identified as 21-year-old Artemiy Ryabchuk, shot at a group of his colleagues at the facility in the city of Dnipro at around 3:40 a.m. local time while weapons were being distributed.
Four servicemen and one civilian woman were killed. The suspect reportedly fled with a weapon, but was later apprehended.
OBSERVATION - Strong possibility that this individual had affiliations with the Russian supported separatists. This follows the arrest of a spetznatz cell and other disruptions of attempts to internally attack the Ukrainian govt.
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Belarus - YELLOW *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION -

Continued build up of Russian forces.
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Europe General - YELLOW TRENDING UPWARD *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Increasing potential that NATO will become involved in an Ukraine invasion as Poland, Romania and the Baltic Nations respond.

Multiple reports of some degree of split in some of the NATO allies on the Ukraine situation. Germany is the most reluctant to confront Russia.
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Israel - ORANGE trending neutral to upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Ongoing threat from Hezbollah and Iran continues. ____________________________________

Iran - ORANGE *unchanged*

Iranian Foreign Minister: We call on the United Nations to play a greater role to stop the war in Yemen and launch political dialogue.
OBSERVATION - Iranian proxy forces not faring well in Yemen and Iran trying to give them breathing space.
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Iraq - YELLOW trending upward *updated 01/28/22*

At least six rockets have been launched at Baghdad’s International Airport which targeted the U.S. Army’s Victory Base according to several news outlets who reported it Friday morning. Two rockets were reportedly intercepted. The rockets that were not intercepted by the anti-rocket C-RAM system are reported to have hit the runway and areas close to the civilian side of the airport.

OBSERVATION - This was another of the ‘shoot and scoot’ attacks where a vehicle with a rocket launcher is positioned, fuses lit and the militia runs away to avoid detection/capture. With the weakness of the biden foreign policy towards Iran, Iranian-supported militias will undoubtedly increase their attacks on US bases and facilities. Iraq is hard pressed to stop them at this time.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

The “Freedom Convoy” converges on Ottawa with 50,000+ trucks and a million plus supporters in one of the largest protests against wuhan tyranny seen to date. Canada has been one of the leading countries following the GGR leadership in clamping down on the unjabbed. You will likely have to rely on the alternative media for news on the protest.
OBSERVATION - This may encourage greater protests round the world.

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director-general of the World Health Organization praised Neil Young for his Spotify stand.
“Public and private sector, in particular socialmedia platforms, media, individuals - we all have a role to play to end this pandemic and infodemic.”
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Wuhan virus -

The “stealth” omicron variant that has recently surfaced does not look like anything that is “dramatically different” from other versions, but it does bear watching, Dr. Ashish Jha, the dean of the Brown University School of Public Health, told Newsmax on Friday.
“[It has] the same symptoms, same severity, as far as we know,” Jha told “Wake Up America.” “We have got to get more data on this, but so far, it’s not looking like anything dramatically different.”
OBSERVATION - MSM promulgating that Omicron is very deadly (false information) and this Son to Omicron will be hyped to keep the fear levels high.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) today released new data showing a total of 1,071,856 reports of adverse events following COVID vaccines were submitted between Dec. 14, 2020, and Jan. 21, 2022, to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS). VAERS is the primary government-funded system for reporting adverse vaccine reactions in the U.S.
The data included a total of 22,607 reports of deaths — an increase of 414 over the previous week — and 178,994 reports of serious injuries, including deaths, during the same time period — up 4,130 compared with the previous week.
Of the 10,316 U.S. deaths reported as of Jan. 21, 19% occurred within 24 hours of vaccination, 24% occurred within 48 hours of vaccination and 61% occurred in people who experienced an onset of symptoms within 48 hours of being vaccinated.
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Economy -

The U.S. economy grew last year at its fastest pace since 1984, rebounding from a sharp but brief coronavirus-induced recession in March 2020.
The nation’s gross domestic product, a measure of all goods and services produced, expanded by 5.7 percent in 2021, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Growth accelerated even faster during the period from October to December, rising to 6.9 percent on annualized basis. Economists expect the economy to grow at a slower rate in 2022. Economists have already slashed their forecasts for the first quarter, due to the impact of omicron and uncontrolled inflation.
OBSERVATION - GDP has been bouncing around a lot last year. These numbers seem high considering all the other drags on the economy such as inflation, declining consumer confidence, etc.

Kraft-Heinz announced more price increases on its products. Increases range from 6.6% on 12oz packs of Velveeta to a whopping 30% hike on a package of Oscar-Mayer turkey bacon. Most cold cuts and beef hot dogs will go up around 10% and coffee around 5%. Some Kool-Aid and Capri Sun drink packs will increase by about 20%.
OBSERVATION - Buy now and stock up your pantry while prices are relatively ‘low’. Things will only get worse.

The Federal Reserve is prepared to let the stock market drop another 15% to 20% before it acts in any way to stem the decline, says Greg Jensen, co-chief investment officer at Bridgewater Associates, the world’s biggest hedge fund.
With inflation soaring and unemployment dropping, the Fed has little reason to act, he told Bloomberg. Consumer prices soared 7% last year, and the unemployment rate dipped to 3.9% in December from 4.2% in November.
OBSERVATION - Fed would be playing a dangerous game, if the legs are kicked out from under the market it could go into an uncontrollable crash.
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Invasion of Illegals -

Homeland Security has announced that more than 66,000 Afghan evacuees have been resettled in communities across the country,
OBSERVATION - Some local communities are upset that these “evacuees” were moved to the front of the line to get scarce low income housing over wuhan stressed citizens. Still other issues of cultural assimilation, with crime problems, and concerns of imbedded terrorists in these poorly/unvetted numbers.
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Biden watch -
biden got unexplainably mad during a speech Pennsylvania in a video clip that that gone viral.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Massive police attendance in NYC for an office killed last week. Murders of police have skyrocketed in recent weeks combined with increasingly wide spread shoplifting/plundering of stores. Such domestic imbalance serves to keep the population in fear.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

Biden said on Friday he will be moving U.S. troops to Eastern European and NATO countries “in the near term.”
OBSERVATION - A lot of wavering on this issue. Expected deployment is still reduced to about 1,000 into Eastern European countries - not Ukraine. biden having negotiation problems with the rest of NATO on deployment needs and it seems NATO is reluctant to support biden’s plans. 8500 total are still on a short leash.

Pentagon spokesman John Kirby said units that had been put on alert include parts of the 82nd Airborne Division and the XVIII Airborne Corps at Fort Bragg, North Carolina. Other units put on alert include parts of the 4th Infantry Division and other units at Fort Carson, Colorado; parts of the 101st Airborne Division and the XVIII Airborne Corps at Fort Campbell, Kentucky; and units at Davis-Monthan Air Force Base, Arizona; Fort Hood, Texas; Joint Base Lewis-McChord, Washington state; Fort Polk, Louisiana; Robins Air Force Base, Georgia; Fort Stewart, Georgia; Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio; as well as several other unnamed U.S. locations.
The units include logistics, medical, aviation, transportation, and intelligence and surveillance support elements.
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China -

Some observers are thinking that China may exploit any conflict in Ukraine to make a move on Taiwan. However, US force projection is in far better shape in the Taiwan area than Europe with two active carrier CSG deployed, with a third that can deploy from Japan on short notice as well as two amphibious assault groups. The thought behind China’s timing would be that the US would be incapable of responding to two wars at one time
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Russia -

Current intelligence indicators of impending attack.
- Russia’s military buildup near Ukraine has expanded to include supplies of blood along with other medical materials that would allow it to treat casualties, a key indicator of Moscow’s military readiness, three U.S. officials tell Reuters. NOTE Blood products are highly perishable with short shelf life.

********

Russia keeps saying it doesn’t want war, but is building up forces to a level not seen in Europe since WW2.
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Ukraine -

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and biden have been in a spat concerning difference in messaging. Zelensky has been trying to calm the country while accusing biden of trying to increase the fear and panic levels. He also accused biden stating that the panic caused by these statements cost Ukraine 12.5 billion hryvnia (about $437 million) in foreign investment.

New State Dept warning issued for Ukraine: “The security situation continues to be unpredictable due to the increased threats of Russian military action. U.S. citizens should consider departing now”
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Europe / NATO General -

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said last week that Germany may consider halting the Nord Stream 2 pipeline if Russia attacks Ukraine, reflecting growing political pressure on the Gazprom-led project. Nord Stream 2 is designed to double the amount of gas flowing from Russia straight to Germany, bypassing traditional transit nation Ukraine.
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Lebanon -

Friction has been growing between Lebanon and Arab Gulf states over the dominance of Hezbollah in the Lebanese government. Saudi Arabia and its allies suspended diplomatic ties with Lebanon after the airing of comments by the then Information Minister George Kordahi (an ally of Hezbollah) who criticized the Riyadh-led military intervention in Yemen.
“I am not going (to Kuwait) to hand over Hezbollah’s weapons. I am not going to end Hezbollah’s existence, it is out of the question in Lebanon. We are going for dialogue,” Lebanese Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib told Al Jazeera, referring to a meeting aimed at mending ties between Beirut and Gulf Arab states.
OBSERVATION - Lebanon’s economy is lower than low and they are in an incredible cash crunch. The cash rich gulf states have pulled back support due to Iranian backed Hezbollah and Irans role in supporting rebels in Yemen - destabilizing the region. The Gulf state don’t want any aid being syphoned off to support Hezbollah - a task nearly impossible given that they essentially control the country.
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