"Let's also hope the last storm includes 2000 pound JDAMS and that the UKR MiGs are carrying Aim-120s and HARMs."
And HIMARS!, let's not forget our old friend. And 155mm howitzers, and drones of all stripes. Everyone join the chorus...
Posted on 03/12/2023 6:17:24 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
“has Chuck posted any confirmation on JDAM drops?”
Only this:
@ChuckPfarrer Mar 7
DELIVERED TO UKRAINE: The JADM-ER has arrived in Ukraine.
Let's also hope the last storm includes 2000 pound JDAMS and that the UKR MiGs are carrying Aim-120s and HARMs.
"Let's also hope the last storm includes 2000 pound JDAMS and that the UKR MiGs are carrying Aim-120s and HARMs."
And HIMARS!, let's not forget our old friend. And 155mm howitzers, and drones of all stripes. Everyone join the chorus...
Precedent for Putin.
The Hill: “On March 10, 2003, the Office of the Prosecutor of the SCSL (the United Nations Special Court for Sierra Leone) launched what may be the most successful international arrest operation in history. On that day, over a period of 55 minutes, investigators — assisted by the Sierra Leonean National Police, the UN Peacekeeping Force, and officers from other nations — arrested most of those who bore the greatest responsibility for war crimes and crimes against humanity in Sierra Leone’s civil war... Most of them remain in prison to this day...
Among those not arrested on March 10, but indicted with the rest of the perpetrators on March 3, 2003, was President Charles Taylor of Liberia... Instead, Taylor would face his indictment in June of that year, for war crimes and crimes against humanity. He was the first sitting head of state in the modern era to be indicted and tried for violations of international law. Ultimately stripped of his titles and humbled before the law, Taylor today sits in a maximum security prison in the United Kingdom, serving a 50-year sentence for aiding and abetting war crimes and crimes against humanity.”
The rich kids can simply pay the fine if they receive a notice. Central and Eastern kids can’t.
While eyes are on Bakhmut:
ISW: “Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces advanced towards Svatove (one of two major Russian Logistics hubs in the North). A Ukrainian media source reported on March 11 that Ukrainian forces entered Kuzemivka (14km northwest of Svatove) on an unspecified date and now hold positions 11km away from Svatove.”
Russian forces had advanced toward Kupyansk (the other main Russian logistics hub in the North, which was liberated by Ukrainian forces last September) earlier in their Winter offensive.
Russia still has a small reserve force (like an American Brigade’s worth) that it could commit somewhere in the North - Kupyansk, Kreminna or Bakhmut.
ISW RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, MARCH 11, 2023
“Key Takeaways
Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances within Bakhmut on March 11.
Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova confirmed that there is infighting in the Kremlin inner circle, that the Kremlin has ceded centralized control over the Russian information space, and implicitly that Russian President Vladimir Putin cannot fix it.
Wagner financier Yevgeny Prigozhin said that he would transform the Wagner Group into a hardline ideological elite parallel military organization after the Battle of Bakhmut.
Ukrainian sources report that Ukrainian forces advanced toward Svatove.
Russian forces continue to establish fortifications in Zaporizhia Oblast.
Russian mobilized soldiers continue to publicize complaints that commanders treat them poorly and used them as expendable manpower to patch holes in existent formations.
Russian occupation officials use children’s healthcare to generate dependency on the Russian healthcare system.”
@NOELreports 8h
French General Michel Yakovleff (former Vice Chief of Staff at Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe) said that NATO needs to be prepared for the collapse of the Russian Federation.
In his opinion, such a scenario is practically guaranteed and will be more bloody than the collapse of the USSR.
I can hardly wait until Siberia applies for membership in NATO!
Sadly I think the biggest territorial gainer from this war will be China. Doubt anyone will bat an eye when China annexes Siberia and most of eastern Russian federation
So nice to see this big collection of interesting and promising pro Ukraine news and information with so far only one Pooty Pal interupting the flow of info. I also get feeds from my email to Ukraine info, but there was still a lot I have not seen there or on TV, both MSM or public news.
In Alchevsk (35 minute drive from Lughask) the Russians took over a Kindom Hall of Truth from the local Jehovah’s Witnesses, The Russians were housing personnel and equipment there. The Ukrainians hit it with some type of accurate long range system. The hit was precise and the destruction was complete.
Speedy is traveling today so I will post this bit here, until the regular thread resumes tomorrow.
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
-—> The True State of Russian Army <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
-—> Combined Arms Breach, what UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
———————————————————————————————————————
Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
••Day 382.
Today there are a lot of developments in the east.
Here, Russian forces concentrated their efforts on expanding the buffer zone to the north of Bakhmut to protect their flanks in the face of the imminent Ukrainian counteroffensive.
They started pushing along the highway and even got notable results, but because they got too far from their air defense and were operating on a very narrow front, Russian losses have doubled and continue to stay at more than 1000 killed per day.
Last time I told you that one of the main axes of the Ukrainian counterattack was recently revealed by Russians because the concentration of Ukrainian forces in Minkivka and neighboring settlements has substantially increased.
I also told you that, in response to this development, Wagners focused more than a third of their forces on this 5 km front line in order to create a buffer zone as fast as possible.
The freshest reports provided by the Ukrainian Spokesman of the Eastern Group of Forces noted that the intensity of fights around Bakhmut increased even more.
After establishing control over Dubovo-Vasykivka, Russian forces struggled to move directly to Orihkovo-Vasylivka because of a natural barrier in the form of another hill.
Russian forces shifted their fire on the Ukrainian strongpoint near the highway, and after they breached it, they could approach Ukrainian positions on this hill along the tree lines.
Such a development exposed Ukrainian positions in Orikhovo-Vasylivka, and, according to Russian sources, Ukrainians had to retreat from 2 checkpoints inside the village out of 4 due to the overwhelming crossfire.
The main goal of the Russians is to get to Minkivka, exactly where Ukrainians have their forces concentrations.
The idea here is to start attacking them before they launch a counterattack - this way, Ukrainians will get entangled in positional fights, which will complicate offensive actions significantly.
The second thing that Wagners are doing is trying to breach the most fortified area inside Bakhmut - the AZOM industrial area.
Some sources reported that Wagners have already entered the northern part of the industrial area, however, reports with recently made geolocated footage only confirmed that Russians maintain positions no closer than 800 meters from this complex.
The main idea of attacking the most formidable defenses is that, if Wagners somehow manage to breach it, then Bakhmut will fall very rapidly, and there would be no point in making this massive counterattack. But such a risky and aggressive approach comes at a great cost.
Since Wagner forces launched this highly attritional westward expansion, Russian losses have spiked once again, and if last week Russians were losing approximately 600 soldiers, then over the last 3 days Russians are losing almost twice as many soldiers.
[UA reports that the total Russian forces killed, wounded is 641,720: with 160,180 dead, 477,270 wounded, 1,000 POW. On pace to reach 1,000,000 by the end of the year, using UA numbers.]
Russian sources report that Wagner’s advances are constrained by artillery and mortar strikes as well as airstrikes.
Because Wagners are advancing along the very narrow line to the north of Bakhmut, Ukrainians are engaging their artillery units not only from Kostiantynivka but also Siversk.
Ukrainian mortar units are shelling Russians from safe positions behind the canal in Novomarkove.
Advancement along such a narrow line also means that Russians are getting too far from their air defense, which makes them vulnerable to airstrikes.
Yesterday it was confirmed that Ukrainians are freely engaging up to 6 fighter jets to bomb Russian strong points.
Today it was also reported that 3 helicopter gunships are operating at low altitudes for the long-running battle for Bakhmut. With that in mind, the spike in Russian losses is not surprising.
In order to compensate for such levels of losses, the Head of the Wagner Group, Prigozhin, doubled down on expanding recruitment efforts in Russia.
At first, they were opening recruitment centers at sports clubs, but lately, Wagner Group has also started focusing on youth.
Wagner Group has recently opened six recruitment centers in schools.
Russian Ministry of Education in Apatity included Wagner personnel at a career guidance lesson to tell “heroic stories” and promote the service in the Wagner Group.
The Wagner Group likely aims to recruit more impressionable recruits through these youth-focused campaigns and instill in them Prigozhin’s extreme ideology.
Some Russian officials are even advertising contract service in unusual places, for example, it was recently revealed that a Moscow-based psychiatrist is calling on suicidal men to join army and die for a good cause.
Overall, Wagner forces are trying to cancel the Ukrainian counteroffensive at any cost.
Prigozhin understands that right now, the success of his 7-month-long campaign is at stake, and no matter the losses, he must somehow prevent it.
Many analysts are saying that Ukrainians will likely launch their counteroffensive on Monday or Tuesday.
However, Ukrainians are still controlling the positions on the biggest hill in the area, which does allow Wagners to even clear the village, so Ukrainians should still have a little time to wait for the ground to dry up in order to increase the chances of their success.
==
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZPpYQuLW8T0
Denys says:
••Bakhmut:
Leopard 2 tanks all being send to Cahsiv Yar areas for the coming counter attack this week, according to Russian social media & “independent” journalist accounts, plus Russian soldier reports. All of these counterattack & force buildup reports {from Chasiv Yar, Sloviansk, Silversk} are not confirmed.
UA forces in the areas far out number Wagner troops.
==
Last year when social mends wads reporting UA counterattack in Kharkiv region, Russian command did not listen. This same scenario is happening again, seemingly. All of this information exists in Russian media but clearly they are panicking - a good sign.
==
Footage of Russian soldiers being transported to the front in cattle cars. [This train footage was preceded by that looked like several T-14s on the same train.]
==
Rumor that SU-34 pilots are willing to fight for PMC just to get away from their command.
==
Russia protestors in Moldova:
Wagner troops were flown to Chisinau, Moldova to take part in the protests. Several of the PMC troops captured.
Jason Jay Smart@officejjsmart
Wagner Arrested In Molodova
The arrest was reported on March 12 by the Molodova border police. The man was detained at the airport in Chisinau immediately after arrival. During a search, cops found a military ID and that he is a member of the Wagner Group. He was deported.
https://twitter.com/officejjsmart/status/1634893059942158336?cxt=HHwWgMDUue6kp7AtAAAA
https://news.yahoo.com/wagner-mercenary-company-representative-detained-111100158.html
==
Russians using their limited supply of gliding bombs in Donetsk region - on of them fell on their captured territory.
==
B-52 flew close to Iran.
==
Lukashenko, fresh from trip to China, went to Iran - he’s negotiating some thing for Russia.
==
PLA’s new defense minister is Lee Shan Fu who is under Western sanctions.
==
Russia uses the Kh-23 Grom for the first time. [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kh-23_Grom]
==
Original Tweet:
French ex-deputy Commander of NATO forces in Europe, Michael Yakovleff.
NATO needs to prepare for the collapse of Russia. Yakovleff says the collapse of Russia is inevitable and will be much bloodier than the collapse of the USSR.
https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1634839490744430593?cxt=HHwWgsDR6dz2jrAtAAAA
Putin reappears in Moscow after a week in Sochi. Not looking well.
There are several posts that imply that the counteroffensive will start near Bakhmut.
These are probably false flags and the real starting point will be Vuhledar.
IMHO, the counteroffensive should march all the way to Mariupol.
Then JDAM the Kerch bridge, including the railway bridge.
Leader of Men @_leader_of_men_
10h
Tbh if you support Russia and you live in America you are not a patriot. In the slightest. Rather, you’re a dumbass that has forgotten how much of a realistic threat the USSR once posed when Americans had to do duck and cover drills every single day at school. F k Russia.
https://twitter.com/_leader_of_men_/status/1635133153772961792?cxt=HHwWgIDQ8ZS8lLEtAAAA
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