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A Black Swan In Plain Sight: The 10-Year Treasury Yield To 6%
Seeking Alpha ^ | 04/15/2024 | Logan Kane

Posted on 04/15/2024 5:40:50 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: KC Burke
My investment-driven buddies tell me with ten-year T bills at six, it seems like a good time to take 2/3rds of everything and park it there.

These buddies of yours... They are all millionaires, right?

Because if they're so smart...

Regards,

21 posted on 04/15/2024 10:38:27 PM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: KC Burke
My investment driven buddies tell me with ten year T bills at six, it seems like a good time to take 2/3rds of everything and park it there.

You really, really need to head over to Shadowstats Inflation Charts.

Real inflation rates were running in the 8% to 10% range a few months ago and are now higher.

Putting 2/3 of your money into 10 year T-bills at 6% just guarantees that you will lose to inflation.

22 posted on 04/15/2024 11:37:11 PM PDT by CurlyDave
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To: EnderWiggin1970

If folks followed your advice the irony is that the interest rate paid by federal debt would just get higher and higher—at some point greed would overwhelm even the hardest of hard core libertarians and they would be standing in line to buy government debt.

;-)

P.S. The reason for this is that markets are ultimately cold equations of risk vs reward. If the reward gets way above the risk level investors will want in....


23 posted on 04/15/2024 11:45:09 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: SeekAndFind

On the front end, watch for retail inventory movement back-log, as a consequence of consumers shutting down. (Essentials only)

As retail traffic stagnates, inventory orders cease, and items go either unordered or stay on the shelves unpurchased.

Symptoms, hourly essential employees with big chain retail having their hours cut back to bare minimum.


24 posted on 04/16/2024 12:01:45 AM PDT by Varsity Flight ( "War by 🙏 the prophesies set before you." I Timothy 1:18. Nazarite warriors. 10.5.6.5 These Days)
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To: SeekAndFind

How BlackRock Conquered the World (Sep 19, 2023)

https://www.corbettreport.com/blackrock/

Nobody admits knowing this was coming. Imagine, a investment group running the NY Fed?

Larry Fink? Look at his track record. He started with a huge collapse and has replayed it several times.

Too big to fail?

Global is just TOO BIG!


25 posted on 04/16/2024 5:57:03 AM PDT by Texas Fossil (Texas is not about where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind and Attitude.)
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To: Right_Wing_Madman

Yeah, a slight bump in interest rates is FAR from a Black Swan event.


26 posted on 04/16/2024 7:21:44 AM PDT by dinodino ( Cut it down anyway. )
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To: Repealthe17thAmendment

“Look at the institutions that have abandoned their core values just to defeat Trump; journalism, legal, education, and possibly banking. It’s astonishing, really.”

Dittos.

Instead of Making America Great Again, they’d rather burn it all down.


27 posted on 04/16/2024 8:19:07 AM PDT by simpson96
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To: cgbg
Which would just tell me people are willing to whore themselves for a little extra income. If that's how it is, so be it, but that's sad.

In the meantime, forcing a higher interest rate on government debt would increase the pressure on it to cut "spending" (really, just stealing and redistributing) and get its house in order. I really don't see an upside for non-leftists when it comes to avoiding government debt. Worst case it forces the government into default - in that case we can laugh at all the leftists who are the bagholders.

28 posted on 04/16/2024 9:00:42 AM PDT by EnderWiggin1970
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To: EnderWiggin1970

It is like the old joke.

A man offers a woman one million dollars to have sex with him.

She agrees.

Then he says: “Now that we have established what kind of women you are it is time to negotiate on the price.”

Virtue signaling is silly whether it is leftists or conservatives or libertarians.


29 posted on 04/16/2024 1:59:43 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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