Posted on 05/27/2019 8:39:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Good gosh and golly! We should all be so terribly worried! I mean, look at how accurate they were back in 2016!
Are post 2016 Americans supposed to still be stupid enough to take hinked polls seriously?
We get bombarded 24/7 with shrill screeching about how desperate the dems are and how they will stop at nothing to get DJT out of the WH.
But, take a look at their 100% trustworthy, independent, and reliable polling data.
Quinnipiac.
SNORT.
How to analyze polling data.
Step One: find out who paid for it. This often relieves you of the burden of proceeding to Step Two.
Step Two: determine the sample size. If it’s 478 registered voters in midtown Manhattan, throw it out.
Step Three: watch for factor weighting. This is the hinky pollsters stock in trade.
They play statistical games to be able to assert that the *only* way to be *fair* is to oversample democrats. Thus, you get 37% dems, with the balance split between Republicans and Independents. The actual percentages TBD by how well they think dem candidate is doing among Independents, the holy grail of dem strategerists.
They could be sampling the reddest block in the most scarlet town in the brightest red hue county in all of Alabama and they will still oversample the dems.
They claim they do *must* this because there are more actual dem voters across the country. This is only partially true.
There are technically more dems; but, only if you count the discarnate, illegals, felons, and multi voters. This becomes especially noticeable in counties which can boast 112% voter turnout in every major election.
You often also get into major hinks based on the ways questions are worded. They are typically designed to capitalize on various forms of bias and/or Bradley type effects.
This will be strong with Trump. People feel strong peer pressure to pretend they don’t support the President.
We have a very simple poll that will be wildly accurate. It’s called The Economy. If it looks similar to what it does now, President Trump has a greased slide. He needn’t bother to open a campaign office.
This is how Americans vote. We presently have one *million* more jobs than employees to fill them.
Staggering.
Paychecks are bigger. Americans are quite well aware of that. They know it didn’t come from “green shoots”.
Pollsters have taken a very long, very hard fall. Give them props for having the chutzpah to continue to even post their silly nonsense in “public*.
Forbes = Free Traitor™ globalist anti Trump losers.
Forbes may be a respected tradition in print.
For their internet site, I’m sorry, they have veered left in some things I have seen. I’m not aware of the total picture. So, expect anything from them.
QU the Dem party pollster that repeatedly
cooked up Polls showing Gov Desantis would lose by 10 pts or more to the very end.
A lefty university in Conn founded by former CBS TV / NY Slimes execs .
Pure garbage .
.
This Media lefties founded this pollster dept at the lefty wing university .
>>Trump also is in the poll, which was released last week. His positive/negative came in at 38%-57%
Not buying it.
Oversample Dems much?
Who are they polling and how? Nobody ever calls or drops by to poll our family. Of course I ignore the call if the number is not one stored in contacts.
Right on! good one.
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