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Tropical Storm Gamma forms in Caribbean (Florida threatened)
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov ^ | 11/18/05 | NHC

Posted on 11/18/2005 8:52:20 AM PST by laz

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To: laz

Sorry, folks, but this is just too funny.

What a way to end a season.


61 posted on 11/18/2005 3:49:30 PM PST by VeniVidiVici (What? Me worry?)
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To: laz

Yikes!


62 posted on 11/18/2005 4:02:16 PM PST by sheikdetailfeather (If you still vote Democrat you are still Stuck on Stupid!)
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To: NautiNurse

63 posted on 11/18/2005 4:26:15 PM PST by SheLion (Trying to make a life in the BLUE state of Maine!)
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To: All

000
WTNT32 KNHC 190001
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2005

...GAMMA STILL DISORGANIZED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
ALLEN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 6 PM CST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GAMMA WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE  85.7 WEST OR ABOUT  
35 MILES...  55 KM... NORTH OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 180
MILES... 290 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BELIZE CITY BELIZE.

GAMMA IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH...
6 KM/HR.  THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS... ALTHOUGH SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE.

EARLIER REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 70
KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES... 140 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

TROPICAL STORM GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER BELIZE...WESTERN CUBA...AND
THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
NORTHWESTERN HONDURAS.

REPEATING THE 6 PM CST POSITION...16.2 N... 85.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
9 PM CST.

FORECASTER KNABB


$$


64 posted on 11/18/2005 5:38:25 PM PST by laz (France, la chaussure est sur l'autre pied, non?)
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To: laz

65 posted on 11/18/2005 6:08:51 PM PST by laz (France, la chaussure est sur l'autre pied, non?)
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To: twin2
Oh geez! They finally picked up the Wilma debree this morning from in front of my house.

LOL! We still have trees leaning on houses in my community....and tree debris on the side of the road waiting to get picked up.....

66 posted on 11/18/2005 6:12:47 PM PST by Fawn (Try not---do or do not. ~~ Yoda)
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To: laz
Gamma, obama momma slammajama!

Go away!

67 posted on 11/18/2005 6:15:42 PM PST by stboz
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To: twin2

Yeah, well before the end of January, we are out of Florida for good. And good riddance.

Anyone wanna buy a house in Lakeland with a brand new roof?

Truthfully, hurricanes are not really why we are leaving. Too many people and unbelievable traffic are more than enough to drive us out.


68 posted on 11/18/2005 6:20:33 PM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s......you weren't really there.)
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To: NautiNurse

Hope you had a nice rest----bet it t'wernt long enough.


69 posted on 11/18/2005 7:27:17 PM PST by smug (Tanstaafl)
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To: smug
Tropical Storm Gamma Advisory Number 13

Statement as of 9:00 PM CST on November 18, 2005

 
...Gamma moving slowly away from the coast of Honduras...

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the entire coast of Belize
and for the Bay Islands of Honduras.  A Tropical Storm Warning
means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours.

 

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the eastern coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula from the Belize-Mexico border northward to Punta
Allen.  A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions
are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor
the progress of Gamma.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 9 PM CST...0300z...the center of Tropical Storm Gamma was
estimated near latitude 16.4 north... longitude 85.8 west or about
45 miles... 70 km... north-northwest of Limon Honduras and about
175 miles... 285 km... east-southeast of Belize City.

 
Gamma is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph... 7 km/hr... and
this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24
hours... although some erratic motion is possible.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near  45 mph... 75 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  A slight increase in strength is possible during the next 24
hours.

 
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles... 165 km
mainly to the north from the center.

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.

Tropical Storm Gamma is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 10 inches over Belize...western Cuba...and
the eastern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches.  Additional rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches
with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible over
northwestern Honduras. 

 
Repeating the 9 PM CST position...16.4 N... 85.8 W.  Movement
toward...northwest near  5 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 45 mph.  Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 12 am CST followed by the next complete advisory at 3 am
CST.

 
Forecaster Knabb

70 posted on 11/18/2005 7:30:46 PM PST by NautiNurse
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To: ChildOfThe60s
Too many people and unbelievable traffic are more than enough to drive us out.

Where you moving too? Plenty of still desolate places in FL.

But I may get a place in WV. Weird part about it is that most of the folks up there act like Republicans and vote Democrat. Haven't figured that out yet.

71 posted on 11/18/2005 9:44:52 PM PST by VeniVidiVici (What? Me worry?)
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To: VeniVidiVici

TN. Possibly KY. We've got 4 months rent free at a house my brother owns, so we have time to look around.

Doesn't matter where you live in FL. If you want to get somewhere you have to get on I-4 or the other interstates. And the stretch between Tampa / Orlando bites the big one.

Besides, I've been here since 1965. In those days it was paradise. Which is why it really looks bad by comparison now. If we don't leave now, we'll never leave.


72 posted on 11/19/2005 4:42:11 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s......you weren't really there.)
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To: NautiNurse

My son called about 5:00 am yesterday and said he would be out the whole weekend on a charter. I hope that when they heard about Gamma they turned back. I haven't heard from him yet though.


73 posted on 11/19/2005 7:24:51 AM PST by dixie sass
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To: NautiNurse; All

000
WTNT32 KNHC 191431
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
9 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2005

...GAMMA RE-LOCATED SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHEAST...MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...

AT 9 AM CST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF BELIZE SOUTH
OF BELIZE CITY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE MEXICO
BORDER...AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO
PUNTA GRUESA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA NORTHWARD TO
TULUM.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA.

AT 9 AM CST...1500Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GAMMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 
160 MILES... 255 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BELIZE CITY AND ABOUT
255 MILES... 415 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TULUM MEXICO.

GAMMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH... 7 KM/HR. 
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

TROPICAL STORM GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN BELIZE
AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAIN BANDS TRAILING GAMMA
COULD CAUSE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS
OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA.

REPEATING THE 9 AM CST POSITION...16.8 N... 85.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT NOON CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 3 PM CST.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$


74 posted on 11/19/2005 9:18:00 AM PST by laz (France, la chaussure est sur l'autre pied, non?)
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To: NautiNurse; All
Latest NHC track has Gamma staying south of Florida and passing through the Straits:


75 posted on 11/19/2005 9:19:48 AM PST by laz (France, la chaussure est sur l'autre pied, non?)
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To: laz

The last three track maps have shown it going further and further to the south. Looks now like it may miss Florida altogether. If it doesn't wobble to the north.


76 posted on 11/19/2005 1:38:50 PM PST by PatrickHenry (Expect no response if you're a troll, lunatic, retard, or incurable ignoramus.)
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To: NautiNurse; All
Unbelievable!

Having to think about tropical storms/hurricanes while planning my Thanksgiving menu -- that's just NOT right!

Maybe we could manufacture Surf's Up ornaments for our Christmas trees or come up with a new carol. Forget Let it Snow! We have Let it Blow!

77 posted on 11/19/2005 2:29:08 PM PST by Chanticleer (A free society is a place where it's safe to be unpopular. -- Adlai Stevenson)
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To: Fighting Irish

I finally took the blue tarps from around the lanai down & just starting to put my outdoor items back out in the flower beds. At least we haven't had much in the way of damage (knock on wood) these past 2 years. We had some 70/80 mph winds last year & loads of trees/limbs down but no home damages. I'm located about 70 miles north of St. Pete's but the storms are going south of us or further west & north in the gulf.


78 posted on 11/19/2005 2:45:36 PM PST by jrcats
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To: laz

Actually even passing well south of the Straits in that projection, crossing instead the Old Bahama Channel.


79 posted on 11/19/2005 3:23:35 PM PST by Sam Cree (absolute reality)
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To: Sam Cree
Earlier today, they had it passing through the Straits, directly between Florida and Cuba. Now they have it missing the Straits completely and passing through the middle of Cuba.

Which model was it that had Wilma's track consistently wrong, always well north of all the other models? It would probably show Gamma going into Tampa at this point. ;)

80 posted on 11/19/2005 3:42:33 PM PST by laz (France, la chaussure est sur l'autre pied, non?)
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