ARG Poll: Giuliani 27%; Romney 16%; Thompson 16%

American Research Group ^ | August 13, 2007 | ARG

[My Favorite Headache]

Unfortunately for McCain those numbers are not reflected in the other numbers he needs...and those are the money numbers.

He is broke.

[Rick_Michael]

If no state gives him a great showing, I don’t see McCain staying too long.

[asparagus]

I thought ARG was the worst poll. So as a Romney supporter, to be consistent, I have to discount this one and wait for Rasmussen or some of the others to bear this out.

[EternalVigilance]

600 likely Republican primary voters

Wow! Might as well call off the election!

/s

[Corin Stormhands]

Or, perhaps, on Halloween.

Or maybe definitely by Thanksgiving...or Christmas...or...

[Corin Stormhands]

“Guiliani was been seen in dresses more often than H. Clinton.” [Mark Shields]

Yes, but Giuliani was a man pretending to be a woman and Hillary is...oh wait...

Nevermind.

[Dragonspirit]

Loving it!

I wonder if Rudy is going to keep his strategy or recalibrate now that Romney is taking off with his traditional electoral strategy.

[Plutarch]

I thought ARG was the worst poll. So as a Romney supporter, to be consistent, I have to discount this one and wait for Rasmussen or some of the others to bear this out.

Rasmussen's weekly poll is released on Wednesdays. Rasmussen's Daily Presidential Tracking Poll has Romney at 13%

[longtermmemmory]

I wonder how McCain’s friendship with F.Thompson fits into the equation.

Of course T.Thompsons 1% is up for grabs.

[G8 Diplomat]

ARG Poll: Giuliani 27%; Romney 16%; Thompson 16%

That is something to say "Arg" about

[curiosity]

Great News!

I'd be interested in seeing a Florida and South Carolina poll, though. If Mitt is starting to be competitive in those states, then he's well on his way.

[curiosity]

And as someone else already mentioned, that’s a meager poll sample.

While not huge, 600 is not small sample size, either. It's pretty close to the median for these polls, especially this early in the race.

[Plutarch]

I'd be interested in seeing a Florida and South Carolina poll...

ARG has some state polls of fairly recent vintage including FL and SC at the thread link.

[Verginius Rufus]

Huckabee tripled his support from July to August...and that's before any "bounce" from the Iowa straw poll.

In 2004 approximately 1.5 million Iowans voted in the Presidential election. The straw poll had a bit over 14,000 voting. That's less than 1% of the last general election, or about 2% of the number of those who voted Republican in 2004. It's sure getting a lot of attention for being such a small segment of the population.

[SHEENA26]

Fred never says anything ‘quick’.

[Lancey Howard]

Giuliani 27%, Somebody else 73%.

[curiosity]

Yeah, I just looked at them. The FL and SC results are not encouraging.

I also noticed they have Giuliani surging in Iowa and New Hampshire. Also not a good sign.

But it's early.

[ran20]

Thats a big bump for Mitt if it holds up. It does appear from some polls that hes up into the teens now.. 13-16%. With his organizational strength, the win in Iowa where the other top tier guys cut and ran.. the odds are increasing in his favor.

It will be interesting to see if he gets a bounce from the Iowa win over the next few weeks. If he can get up to 20% and solidify it I think the nomination will be basically wrapped up.

[Plutarch]

...the odds are increasing in [Romney's] favor.

Literally. Romney is doing well right now at Intrade . He is up to 23%, and inching towards Thompson's 24.2% (and Ron Paul is up to 6%, which gets my Ron Paul crazed teenage sons all excited).

[Clemenza]

1. Conservatives are divided between Thompson, Romney, and Brownback.

2. "Moderates", women, and coasties are united in their support for Mayor Fraudioulini.