2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/10/2008

InTrade ^ | Monday, March 10, 2008 | Momaw Nadon

[Alter Kaker]

Actually Obama’s stronger in Nevada than Clinton (whose fav. rating there is high 30s).

I stand corrected.

[Momaw Nadon]

This week's "battleground" states (30% - 69.9%):

6 Arkansas 63.0%

27 Florida 56.8%

5 Nevada 54.0%

11 Missouri 50.5%

9 Colorado 48.5%

13 Virginia 43.0%

20 Ohio 39.0%

5 New Mexico 36.5%

7 Iowa 36.0%

4 New Hampshire 30.0%

[freespirited]

Survey USA is a quality pollster. However, their Presidential maps are odd. Obama takes ND and is competitive in ND. Plus Texas a battleground state?

That sure is weird so I decided to look further. They report Obama bested McCain by 2 in their 600 person poll of North Dakotans. But the sample was registered voters which I believe biases the outcome to the left by about 2 pct points.

They have the sample as 31% R, 34% D, and the rest I. Does that sound like the voting population of North Dakota to you?

Survey USA ND>

[Norman Bates]

That national poll was mostly bull with a few interesting insights (i.e., Hillary toast in the Pacific N.W., Obama fading FAST in N.H.).

[Norman Bates]

Obama is not Wilder. Obama is VERY liberal - he’s taken up both sides on human CLONING, straddled infanticide. McCain will have a strong base of military support, and the evangelicals will rally behind McCain when Obama is exposed.

[Norman Bates]

I agree in general but not with the numerical designations. Our chances of carrying N.H. are much higher than 30%, Virginia is definitely higher than 50%, Florida higher than 57%.

[Norman Bates]

Some of the SUSA sample percentages as you pointed out are suspect. They have Ohio as 49% Democrat. I mean for crying out loud that’s more Democrat than Massachusetts. They have California as 47% when according to their secretary of state it’s 43%.

[MSF BU]

We’ll give it four or eight more years. Keep up that immigration and the state will end up being the New Jersey of the South.

[MSF BU]

The southern counties of Texas are now provinces of Latin America and the trend is moving north. In a generation or two it will follow California and Arizona.

[Norman Bates]

I heard a lot of them were fleeing to Maryland (unfortunately for me). Virginia’s getting ‘tougher’.