Posted on 10/21/2016 4:49:13 AM PDT by tatown
Very true. The polls run by or closely associated with the MSM all still have her way ahead.
And every day as I listen to Rush, every 1/2 hour on the news, on the so called conservative radio station here, they use the MSM related polls pn the local news and repeat over and over again how it’s a blowout with her up 7, 11, 12 points, whatever the flavor of the day is.
Never a mention of the other, closer polling data.
As I keep saying, November 9 we will forever have a sense as to which polls (daily tracking vs MSM) are the ones to believe. The diametrically opposite results of these 2 camps are striking and clearly one group is “lying”.
Trump should continue to trend up, but the question is, if you believe the polling... Can he trend up enough in the time left.
A big improvement for Trump, having been down 50%.
Yup. Until videogate happened - the tracking polls and the MSM polls were much closer but the media polls still 2-4 pts better for Clinton- since then the MSM polls have all gone towards Clinton while the tracking polls have continued to show a tight race.
I would like to see that needle move 5+ more points before the election, at a minimum. Way too close for comfort right now.
Why are you convinced Cankles will win?
When have I even suggested that I was convinced that Hillary would win?
Not the same, but a similar thing went on during the BREXIT polling. Despite the fact that older people were thought to be more for BREXIT than younger (IT-savvy) voters, the on-line polls showed an advantage for BREXIT wheras the classical phone polls always showed a large advantage for REMAIN.
Eventually YouGov started to do two simultaneous polls - one phone poll and one on-line poll. The results were almost diamtrically opposite - REMAIN leading in the phone poll and BREXIT leading in the on-line poll. On election day it was revealed that the on-line polls had been the correct ones.
I estimate that the margin of fraud in this election is 6 points.
You just seem concerned a lot. COURAGE!
The media keep on citing a single outlier poll from a few days ago - Bloomberg, that has Clinton ahead by nearly 10 points, and have declared this election over. All other polls listed on RealClearPolitics show a near statistical tie between Trump and Clinton nationally, especially when Johnson and Stein are included.
Only fixed polls are allowed in the mainstream propagandist media.
They will call FL for Clinton before the Panhandle polls close.
I will admit being concerned about the ramifications of her being elected. I don’t believe the MSM polls but the end result of her actually being elected is so dire that only a fool wouldn’t have at least some concern.
The bottom is that the tracking polls are good to see!
Past accuracy of the poll notwithstanding, that really seems absurdly high. That woman can't fill a high school auditorium with supporters, yet she has more enthusiasm for her than The Won did? I don't think so.
So was I....
On a related note, I’ve been enjoying your Twitter feed analysis of the various early voting/absentee returns. Interesting stuff!
LA times is not very accurate.
Rasmussen had a 3 point GOP bias in 2012, so you need to knock 3 off Trump’s results.
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