By the time the midterms get here the Demoncrat party as we knew it will not exist!
Huge red wave coming!
Posted on 09/18/2018 7:00:59 AM PDT by centurion316
I have noticed the same thing. One reason is that the polls are shifting from convincing voters to support their point of view, to correctly predict the outcome. This is essential for their bottom line among those who write them checks. I also see a move among undecideds, and they are not breaking for Democrats.
President Trump declassified some of the documents yesterday. When they are looked at with a microscope, the RATs will be scurrying big time. And, there should be much more to come.
LS, the polling isn’t capturing the on the ground properly, especially here in the upper midwest, just like it wasn’t in 16, just the other way. 2016 they completely missed the non traditional and disenfranchised MAGA voter... 2018... those voters are largely disengaged, and the Dems are going to crawl over broken glass to vote.
This combined with court forced redistricting in PA is going to cost 4-6 seats in PA alone IMHO.
And I fully expect easily another 4-6 across the rest of the upper midwest... possibly more.
PA-18 and OH-12 were not flukes... the GOP is blowing it historically, in the upper midwest especially. They are NOT remotely talking to anyone outside the traditional base, and the Dem’s are turning out at near Presidential year levels... Those Million or so voters that Trump got to show up that hadn’t before in PA aren’t going to show up for the midterms... The GOP isn’t giving them a reason to... they aren’t even trying to talk to the non traditional MAGA voter.
Look at nearly ALL the special elections, one consistent story is in nearly all of them... Near Presidential level turn outs for Dems, with midterm or lower turnout for R’s.... The only reason R’s haven’t lost more special elections is that because they have generally been held in districts where the GOP has such a large advantage that even with Presidential year level turnout for D’s, Mid Term Level turnout for R’s has been enough to hold them at bay.
That’s not going to be the case for the midterms. A lot of purple and even some pink districts are likely to flip. There is no doubt in my mind if the election were held today, Dem’s take the house.
The saving grace for the GOP, is the Dems themselves... the more ape poop crazy they act between now and the election the more likely those non traditional MAGA voters engage. However the GOP messaging being offered is not going to engage them... The Kavanaugh delay by the dems transparent games, certainly will help the GOP this fall.. and if the crazier side of their party openly runs on impeachment that will engage them as well....
But the GOP themselves have been engaging in electoral malpractice this cycle, particularly in the upper midwest. Trump showed them how to win, and they completely ignored the lesson.
Sadly, PA will re-elect WOLF by a wide margin, and send Casey back to the Senate comfortably.... Motivated D’s will turn out and flip a lot of districts in this part of the country... THe GOP thinks the same message that for 20+ years never got those non traditional MAGA voters to show up, is suddenly now going to make them show up... and it didn’t work for 20 years, and it sure won’t work now.
The only thing that is likely to save the GOP in this part of the country, is the D’s going absolutely insane between now and election day.. Kavanaugh fiasco is a likely good start, the longer it drags and crazier and dirtier the D’s act, the better it will be for the GOP... The GOP can hold the house, and if the Dems completely overplay the GOP could even wind up gaining seats, but the dynamic on the ground at this minute.... GOP lose the house... with a very large portion of their losses coming from the place that Trump targeted right out fo the gate in 16.
You can’t campaign in PA/MI/MN/OH/IA the same way you can in the deep south and expect a win.... I honestly don’t think the GOP want to win this fall... nothing I see, out of any of the entire GOP ecosphere, seems like they have any clue how to win in areas that aren’t heavily red to begin with...
I pray that you are correct. My take is that, aside from being obstructionists, the dems truly think that they will take the senate, and that is largely why they are using all the delaying tactics on Judge Kavanaugh's nomination.
they are so uncomfortable with the style that they can’t even think about the issues
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Too emotional to be trusted with the vote.
There are millions of Deplorables who are invested in getting the truth out. Many are doing research 24/7. I don’t choose to be negative when we are fighting for our freedom and our nation. I choose to believe we have brilliant minds working to support President Trump and who have his back 24/7. Go out to Arlington and any of the national cemeteries all over this country and witness how many have sacrificed all to protect and defend this Nation to throw our hands up and roll over.
Veritas today!
Caller ID killed polling... Trump voters don’t get polled as we don’t answer numbers we don’t recognize. They can leave a message… I get dozens a day on my landline, and a number also on my cell. Most don’t leave messages… those that do want to cut my credit card rate, or give me a “free” vacation.
I for one, do not see this “Blue Wave”. IMHO.
Correcting prior post as it posted before I edited it:
There are millions of Deplorables who are invested in getting the truth out. Many are doing research 24/7. I don’t choose to be negative when we are fighting for our freedom and our nation. I choose to believe we have brilliant minds working to support President Trump and who have his back 24/7. Go out to Arlington and any of the national cemeteries all over this country and witness how many have sacrificed all to protect and defend this Nation. We will not throw our hands up and roll over.
Veritas today!
do you have a ping list?? if so put me on it...
or 2014
Done.
The Dems thought Cankles would win.
The Dems thought Ron Johnson would lose.
You are right that polling isn’t capturing the true result, just as it didn’t in 2016. It’s UNDERPOLLING Rs. This is now being consistently reported by a number of places.
1) My guys in OH say not only is Chabot safe but Balderson is safe. Take those two off.
2) King is safe. Take him off.
3) There will only be 3 GOP races flip in PA.
4) We will very likely get two D flips in MN.
5) Andy Barr is safe.
6) Roskan and Bost are now considered safe.
7) Yost is safe.
You’re going to see contested senate and governor’s races turn out GOP like they did not turn out in midterms. In OH, my analysts tell me that the NET GOP lead, including indies, is 300,000 with only about 1000 indies unaccounted for. (This is based on previous 12-year voting patterns for “unaffiliated” voters). They are convinced we win the statewide turnout a lot.
Baris tells me he can’t find these “vulnerable” seats either.
And, in the last resort, Baris has found that Trump is good for FIVE TO SIX POINTS in any given race (Saccone, Balderson, etc). Remember Lambie Pie only won by 500 votes!!
All those who won specials are safe: Handel, Lesko (all polling way above what they won by).
I think you’re in for a surprise.
Yes, but also in most of these states heated governor and senate races, which always draw more, will pull out far more GOP than either primaries or specials.
By the time the midterms get here the Demoncrat party as we knew it will not exist!
Huge red wave coming!
We’ve got to do more than “hope.”
We need to walk the streets and get out the vote.
p
What is happening in the district now represented by the soon to be retired Congressman Issa?
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