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The Real Blue Wave Could Come in the States
The Cook Political Report ^ | October 9, 2018 | Charles E. Cook

Posted on 10/11/2018 9:28:58 AM PDT by The Pack Knight

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I'm skeptical of Cook's conclusion, but not a lot of people are talking about state and local races, and those are at least as important as federal elections.

What Cook calls a "vacuum" resulting from "the inability or unwillingness of Washington to deal with so many problems," I call "federalism," but most policy, and certainly most conservative victories, occur at the state level. It is absolutely critical to anyone who cares about liberty that we hold onto as many state governments as possible.

1 posted on 10/11/2018 9:28:58 AM PDT by The Pack Knight
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To: The Pack Knight

they’re backtracking to CYA...the national blue wave is now just going to be a blue wave in the states...


2 posted on 10/11/2018 9:32:43 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: The Pack Knight

This guy made POLITICO’s list of “worst political predictions of 2016” with multiple entries.

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/12/the-worst-political-predictions-of-2016-214555

They know it too, which is why they pulled the record of their abysmal predictions off the web: http://cookpolitical.com/story/10113

But the Wayback Machine did not forget: https://web.archive.org/web/20161113073336/www.cookpolitical.com/story/10113


3 posted on 10/11/2018 9:38:05 AM PDT by thoughtomator (Number of arrested coup conspirators to date: 1)
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To: The Pack Knight

I don’t see us losing that many seats. REally don’t.


4 posted on 10/11/2018 9:38:27 AM PDT by nikos1121 (With Trump, we have our own Age of Pericles)
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To: The Pack Knight

Cook’s final 2016 election prediction:

Hillary Clinton: 278 electoral votes
Donald Trump: 214 electoral votes

Democrats will pick up five to seven Senate seats.

Just sayin’.


5 posted on 10/11/2018 9:41:13 AM PDT by Leaning Right (I have already previewed or do not wish to preview this composition.)
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To: The Pack Knight

Charlie Cook & Larry Sabato & many other pollsters and pundits have nary a clue as to the reality of the American voters. Oh...they know what’s about to happen, but....they will try their utmost to make things look bad for Republicans. Of course Cook covers his butt, by yapping about the states, rather then the Federal government Elections.

Bottom line: The Republicans will win & hold both the House & the Senate. Cook chooses to remain mum on the Feds, so he won’t have egg all over his face on the evening of Election Day, Tuesday, November 6, 2018!!!


6 posted on 10/11/2018 9:41:58 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: The Pack Knight

Not going to happen. The Democrats aren’t liked or trusted.


7 posted on 10/11/2018 9:42:24 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: The Pack Knight
Why does Cook still have any credibility with anyone? Got 2014 and 2016 completely wrong. Was not even close to accurate.

Really tired of supposed conservative worshiping this guy as some kind of “genius” instead of the Leftist political propaganda bot he actually his.

See his 2016 prediction? Did equally badly in 2014.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard

8 posted on 10/11/2018 9:44:01 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (They would have to abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: The Pack Knight

The blue wave will be laughed about for years as they seem to win one single extra House seat, and lose six Senate seats.


9 posted on 10/11/2018 9:44:03 AM PDT by pepsionice
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To: The Pack Knight

Another guy wrong more than he’s right.


10 posted on 10/11/2018 9:44:42 AM PDT by John W (Trump/Pence 2020)
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To: The Pack Knight

It appears Cook is using gathered data that was pertinent prior to the Kavanaugh episode. The dynamic has changed, and voting fervor is massively increased on the GOP side.


11 posted on 10/11/2018 9:46:32 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Liberals, piss off. That is all.)
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To: The Pack Knight

Tennessee RAT Senate Candidate Veritas video:

http://redstatewatcher.com/article.asp?id=139263


12 posted on 10/11/2018 9:47:19 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: The Pack Knight

The fact that he uses Pew as a source......


13 posted on 10/11/2018 9:47:27 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: The Pack Knight

“Republicans have 11 governorships that The Cook Political Report rates as Toss-Up or worse for the GOP, Democrats have one”

“I expect net gains for Democrats in governorships of between six and a dozen”

Do the arithmetic. Based on the first assertion, the second is overly optimistic, to say the least. He may as well have said “between six and 100”. Six seems more plausible, and a dozen doesn’t seem at all plausible.


14 posted on 10/11/2018 9:49:06 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy
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To: fortheDeclaration

Well if l am going by what it looks like here in Michigan the Rats are a lock for Governor and Senator. Trump carried Michigan just barely but he did and the state is doing pretty well under GOP control but according to every poll the Rats have a lock , not even close.


15 posted on 10/11/2018 9:49:22 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: Nifster

Guy’s a joke. He will say whatever his fiscal masters tell him to say. He is a democratic mob slave.


16 posted on 10/11/2018 9:51:51 AM PDT by Kozy (new age haruspex; "Everyone has a plan 'till they get punched in the mouth.")
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To: The Pack Knight

People keep banking on Trump’s win as being the paradigm for all elections now. It isn’t.

There’s going to be shock amongst the kneejerk “Dems can’t win” group.


17 posted on 10/11/2018 9:52:50 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Stop The Madness. Do Not Respond To Vanity Posts.)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Sabato’s career should have been over after he made himself part of the George All “macaca” story.


18 posted on 10/11/2018 9:55:22 AM PDT by 3RIVRS
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To: The Pack Knight
IOW, Muh blue wave is dead. Now they’re moving the goalposts because the blue wave narrative is too good to let go.

Charlie Cook is a fraud. His 2014 and 2016 predictions were as useless as used tissue paper.

19 posted on 10/11/2018 9:59:44 AM PDT by Sidebar Moderator
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To: The Pack Knight
Cook has been a Dem hack his entire life .

He is a hard core Lib .

The guy is a Dem joke .

20 posted on 10/11/2018 10:02:00 AM PDT by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves)
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