Posted on 08/26/2020 1:08:17 PM PDT by 11th_VA
Thanks, Larry!
Keep up the good work!
FReegards!
Last update was Jul 1 and he was at 82,700,648 then for a growth of 2,589,669 followers since.
By contrast, Biden is sitting at 8,908,956 as of this morning. Just over 10% of Trump's total.
Do you ever let up? You need a gig at the DNC.
Prove me wrong. I’m by far not the only person who believes at least 30% of the EVs are unobtainable for Trump.
I think it’s possible that Trump might actually carry his home state - New York.
Why do I say this ?
1. A certain percentage of non-Trump voters were just plain skeptical of him and were used to voting for professional pols. (Years of practice doing so !) Trump has “made his bones” in NYC talk!
2. He has had Cuomo & De Blasio working for him ! They haven’t indented to, but they’ve done a great job !
Upper NY is pretty conservative all that has to happen is either leftists stay home, switch or vote third party in NYC & Albany enough numbers to lower the Biden vote.
3. Native son! That has to mean something even in NYS & NYC.
My thoughts as well.
....does anyone seriously think Joe Biden is the Democrat’s secret weapon....
No. Biden will be dead before Nov 3. (prophecy). The D party has already chosen their candidate and it ain’t Joe. Harris or some other surprise.
Great stuff, Larry, happy for you and our nation!
Thanks so much for the ping, FRiend!
Not this Christian female who happens to be Black.
post #104
From your mouth to God’s ears!
Don't know ... was listening to CSPAN call-ins three nights after the convention. Vast majority of callers on the Democrat line said "They used to be Dems, but are voting for Trump this time."
"Other" and Independents - same thing.
Of course, this was after the REP convention - I would expect those who watched to be more open-minded.
I think Trump is right that NM is gettable, and it's a good thing - because I think Michigan's 16 electoral votes will be cheated away, thanks to Gretchen the Witch with a Capital B. Trump instead gets NM and MN (yes, MN) for 15 EV. Basically, a wash.
I DO NOT exaggerate when I say that nearly 90% of ALL CALLERS, Democrat, Republican, and Independents say they support Trump and ALL that he advocates..
What the Democrats are SELLING the American public is NOT BUYING and is turning their nose up at it!
Not according to Debbie Dingleberry, who thinks Trump will win MI.
RCP just put up the Trafalgar Michigan poll.
Comparing the prior Trafalgar MI poll to the current one, President Trump gained the lead, moving from 45-46 Biden to 47-45 Trump.
With a MOE of 3% in both polls, President Trump's probability of winning according to the Trafalgar poll went from 34.7% to 77.8%.
However, there are three other MI polls (of varying credibility) in the last 30 days that are pulling down Trump's overall MI probability of winning.
These polls average to a 37.5% chance of winning, but I will be aging out the UofW and EPIC polls next week when I move to a 30-day poll window.
Because I age-weight the polls, if the two oldest polls drop out and no new ones come in to replace them, President Trump's probability will fall to 20.7% because of the CNBC poll. I don't expect that to happen, as Michigan will be a heavily polled state.
-PJ
Hope that’s right.
The Dirty Democrat Machine is huge in the state whenever there is a Democrat governor. Whenever there’s a Republican governor, elections are (relatively) clean, except for Detroit.
In 2016, there was a Republican (RINO though he was) governor and it was a squeaker. With Grtetch the Wretch it will be dirty. (I have lots of family in Mich and lived there myself for five years.)
That said, I hope Dingle is right.
After this take your time and do it right.
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Trump up in latest Trafalgar MI poll. They got MI right in 2016.
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