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Trafalgar Pollster: I Predict A Trump Win In The Mid-270s
Hotair ^ | 10/15/2020 | AllahPundit

Posted on 10/15/2020 8:24:34 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: fieldmarshaldj
Yes, Gestapo Gretchen is a huge asset.....to Republicans. :^)
61 posted on 10/16/2020 3:45:35 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: Cathi

“Also, this was interesting....he said Republicans are hard to poll because they are 5 times less likely to participate in polls in general.”

Many of the polls don’t even try to reach out to Republicans nearly as hard as they do Democrats. Up until this Spring, I’ve always been registered GOP. Never, not once, did I have a single pollster reach out to me during that tine: This spring- because I live in a state where you can do so- I switched to Democrat in the primary season to try to keep Sanders out. Sanders scares the crap out of me and I saw Joe as a weaker threat to Trump. So I switched to vote for Joe in the primary. In the months since I’ve been a Dem on the books (I am switching back next election) I have had several pollsters reach out to me. Again, when I was a Republican on the books for many years, I had ZERO.

Coincidence? Possibly. But it just seems too bizarre to be one.


62 posted on 10/16/2020 4:26:18 AM PDT by ReelectTrump2020
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To: SeekAndFind

The way I see it, Trump has 260, needs 269... so still a slight improvement is necessary.


63 posted on 10/16/2020 4:36:18 AM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

He needs 270 to win my friend.


64 posted on 10/16/2020 7:39:26 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: thecodont

I’m expecting well over 300.


65 posted on 10/16/2020 9:37:45 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: SeekAndFind

We need to face reality. Biden drew almost 20% more viewers than Trump last night. The polls this year probably are more accurate as compared to the 2016 polls being wildly off.


66 posted on 10/16/2020 9:42:14 AM PDT by damper99
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To: SeekAndFind

Nope. 269. Ties goes to the states’ delegations, which are 28-22 Republican.


67 posted on 10/16/2020 10:28:14 AM PDT by dangus
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To: edie1960

>>>Still cannot fathom how such an extraordinary leader like PDJT is literally fighting for all our lives against a woefully pathetic opponent such as Biden<<<

The Republicans assume People are Informed, but the DEMONcRATS know People are Ignorant.

OR

The Republicans assume People are Smart, but the DEMONcRATS know People are Stupid.

Take your choice, the results are still the same.


68 posted on 10/16/2020 10:36:59 AM PDT by Kickass Conservative (THEY LIVE, and we're the only ones wearing the Sunglasses.)
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To: nbenyo

I don’t buy it.


69 posted on 10/16/2020 12:05:31 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Want Stalinazism More ? PLUGS-WHORE 2020 !)
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To: damper99

Fake polls are not reality. They’re designed for one thing - to demoralize Republicans.


70 posted on 10/16/2020 12:10:08 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Want Stalinazism More ? PLUGS-WHORE 2020 !)
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To: damper99

1. I would not put too much weight on the Townhall ratings. People can always go to Youtube to watch Trump or Biden should they missed anyone of them.

2. Despite the huge Trump rallies compared to the pathetic number that Joe is getting, it only shows that Trump’s support has not gone down for 2016, however the polls that show Biden consistently leading does not reflect enthusiasm for him. It however, is an indicator of the enthusiasm to VOTE TRUMP OUT OF OFFICE. Even if it takes voting for an old, senile man to do it, these voters will if only to get Trump outta the White House.

It remains to be seen which of these two enthusiastic groups is larger in number.


71 posted on 10/16/2020 12:36:06 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: ReelectTrump2020
Actually, Sanders was a much weaker candidate against Trump than Biden. It wasn’t a secret. The democrat establishment was in complete panic over Sanders winning, knowing polling showing Sanders literally bringing down the entire ticket from top to bottom. Which is why the party orchestrated staged exits of other candidates to prop up Joe so he could win the nomination.

Voters have fond memories of Biden - why, I don’t know but they do - Biden has +7 favorables and Trump is underwater. Biden is considered the moderate (regardless of reality - perception is reality) and is more acceptable to Democrats than Sanders.

Sanders was a weaker candidate - easily.

72 posted on 10/16/2020 5:40:26 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: Dave W

I disagree. Even though Sanders has been in politics for a long time, he has a sort of outsider appeal to a lot of people. There are also a lot of people who are too dumb to know how bad socialism really is and be OK with the fact he is one. It would pull out a lot of people to vote for him who are not enthused about voting for Joe and more likely to stay home now. You are correct about favorability but the real issue would be turn out and the fact the Left (and uninformed) would be much more likely to turn out for Sanders.

In either event, even if you were right, a hypothetical Sanders presidency would be far worse than a hypothetical Biden one though both would be pretty horrible


73 posted on 10/16/2020 9:14:36 PM PDT by ReelectTrump2020
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