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Tsunami Could Hit Here, Geologists Say
The New York Sun ^ | 12/29/04 | JEREMY SMERD

Posted on 12/30/2004 9:02:59 AM PST by M 91 u2 K

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To: Paul Ross

This is what a seismologist in our local paper said:

There could not be a tsunami on the US east coast similar to Asia's. There are no plate boundaries in the Atlantic. The Mid-Atlantic ridge is an accretion ridge as opposed to where plates meet in the Pacific ocean.

It is where oceanic crust is being produced as opposed to being eaten up. That is why the east coast doesn't have a warning system. It has been studied by teh USGS and it was determined there was no need for it.

Historically there have been no records of anything like that happening in the Atlantic, but there have been some big tidal waves in Alaska, Hawaii and Japan.


61 posted on 12/30/2004 9:36:53 AM PST by Peach
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To: Dog Gone
True.

The same wouldn't be true in the Gulf where the depth of the water decreases rapidly as it comes up on the Continental Shelf.

62 posted on 12/30/2004 9:39:05 AM PST by TexasCowboy (Texan by birth, citizen of Jesusland by the Grace of God)
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To: Strategerist

Nope, just don't like 'academics' taking advantage of current events. I work in academia and see that kind of opportunism all of the time....


63 posted on 12/30/2004 9:39:39 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: M 91 u2 K

Duh.


64 posted on 12/30/2004 9:40:08 AM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: TexasCowboy

So what you are saying is, sooner or later, we're all DOOMED! OK I can handle that. ;9)


65 posted on 12/30/2004 9:40:30 AM PST by Ditter
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To: Strategerist
"And things that are not only likely, but PROBABLE in the next few decades...a magnitude 7-7.5 earthquake on the Hayward Fault in Oakland and Berkeley, or in Salt Lake City...or in any of a number of other places...that would kill 5,000+, cost hundreds of billions of dollars, and make 9/11 look like a joke...are basically ignored."


I think humans tend to think of things in a way they can comprehend.
For instance lets take TIME.

To humans 100 years is a long time.

In geological standards 100 year is nothing, it is like a fraction of a second.

So we humans who have been around for several thousands of years, think that all geological events will occur, what would be simultaneously in geological terms (100 years apart)

When in fact it just does not happen like that.
It could be another 3000 years before the next Tidal wave or what ever.
66 posted on 12/30/2004 9:40:49 AM PST by t-1000 (Hecho...Lava Sus Manos?)
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To: M 91 u2 K

very true and we should just wire the worlds oceans. (why cant we just recycle the military's system which had the whole oceans wired for sound?)

HOWEVER all this panic reminds me of the old SCTV skit with John Candy playing a scientist for the national enquirer say "uh, yeah sure, its uh possible. Yes I am a scientist".


67 posted on 12/30/2004 9:41:44 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE!)
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To: Peach
Historically there have been no records of anything like that happening in the Atlantic, but there have been some big tidal waves in Alaska, Hawaii and Japan.

60,000+ people were killed in Portugal and Spain by the 1755 Lisbon Earthquake and Tsunami.

In 1929 a tsunami killed 27 people in Newfoundland that was caused by an earthquake causing an underwater landslide.

I believe I've seen the person interviewed you're referring to and it's a case of the media not really going to find the right people to interview, right after the disaster; sort of generic geologists rather than tsunami experts.

The Atlantic has PLENTY of plate boundaries. There are no subduction zones other than the Carribean one, though. That's why there are a lot fewer large tsunami in the Atlantic. (There's speculation of a subduction zone beginning to form between the Eurasian and African plates which may have caused the Lisbon tsunami.)

68 posted on 12/30/2004 9:42:54 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: Gaffer
Nope, just don't like 'academics' taking advantage of current events. I work in academia and see that kind of opportunism all of the time....

Who specifically do you think is taking "advantage" of current events in academia?

Most of the tsunami community is debunking the Canary collapse claims. It seems to me Simon Day became sort of a publicity hound (perhaps not intentionally, it's quite a narcotic to become such a celebrity for speculating about that Canary scenario) but that was long before this tsunami.

69 posted on 12/30/2004 9:44:53 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: longtermmemmory

"HOWEVER all this panic reminds me of the old SCTV skit with John Candy playing a scientist for the national enquirer say "uh, yeah sure, its uh possible. Yes I am a scientist"."

This panic is being competely driven by the 24-hour news cycle and the body-count.
It is insane. They news networks can wait to increase the count.

The threat of a Tidal wave hitting today was no greater than it was last month.
It reminds me of all those nut how were asking their Dr's to give them Cipro, when the anthrax stuff was going down.


70 posted on 12/30/2004 9:45:08 AM PST by t-1000 (Hecho...Lava Sus Manos?)
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To: Northern Yankee
How do you evacuate New York City in a few hours?

I don't think New York City would be too seriously affected due to its geographical position. Manhattan island sits north of the ocean in the middle of the Hudson, and the Long Island part of it would be buffered by the barrier islands.

71 posted on 12/30/2004 9:45:29 AM PST by A Ruckus of Dogs
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To: Strategerist

In fairness to the seismologist, the exact question posed to him was:

Could there be a similar tsunami on the US east coast?

I typed his verbatim answer from there but mistakenly left out he "US" part of the question.


72 posted on 12/30/2004 9:47:40 AM PST by Peach
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To: hershey

I read an article some time ago that mentioned a large landslide off the continental shelf could also generate a tsunami. If a tsunami doesn't get you within a thosusand years, a hurricane probably will.


73 posted on 12/30/2004 9:56:42 AM PST by meatloaf
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To: t-1000

The media can't wait to blame america. Can't wait to blame bush for not signing Kyoto. Can't wait to praise Kyoto. Can't wait to blame the SUV's for directly causing the tsunami. Can't wait to fly in and get face time in front of the camera and show the tragedy. (with fake tears on the face) Can't wait to show Gorbachov with his communism is now environmentalism anti-private property schtick. Can't wait to show its the UN not the USA which is sending help, food, and money.

The only surprise is that the MSM is not having spontaneous on air orgasms.


74 posted on 12/30/2004 9:59:14 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE!)
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To: A Ruckus of Dogs
I don't think New York City would be too seriously affected due to its geographical position. Manhattan island sits north of the ocean in the middle of the Hudson, and the Long Island part of it would be buffered by the barrier islands.

Good to hear. Having never been out there, I have no idea about the landscape.

75 posted on 12/30/2004 10:01:41 AM PST by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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To: jriemer; All

Some people believe that it was a rogue wave that sank the Edmund Fitzgerald back in 1976. This rogue wave is referred to as the "Three Sisters".

The ship was damaged already by the time the wave hit and it finished off the ship.

Here's a cut and paste from an article on the sinking of the Edmund Fitzgerald...

Theory 4: Three Sisters

Perhaps the most romantic theory about the wreck of the Fitzgerald is that the ship succumbed to the forces of the Three Sisters, a Lake Superior phenomenon described as a combination of two large waves inundating the decks of a boat and a third, slightly later monster wave that boards the vessel as it struggles to shrug off the effects of the first two.

Again, Captain Cooper of the Anderson provides fuel for this theory, as he relates in Marshall’s Shipwrecks of Lake Superior that slightly before 7 p.m. “we took two of the largest seas of the trip. The first one flooded our boat deck. It had enough force to come down on the starboard lifeboat, pushing it into the saddles with a force strong enough to damage the bottom of the lifeboat.… The second large sea put green water (the powerful center of a wave) on our bridge deck! This is 35 feet above the waterline.”
Since these two large waves struck the trailing Anderson mere minutes before its final radar contact with the Fitzgerald, might they have joined a third rogue wave, overtaken the struggling Fitz 10 or 15 minutes later and overwhelmed the already listing and troubled ship?
As with all of the other theories, it may well be that we will never know the total story of this wreck - leaving each theory, for now, as good as any other.



76 posted on 12/30/2004 10:01:55 AM PST by MplsSteve
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To: ArrogantBustard
Likewise Boston

Boston is easy to save. Just divert all the water into a series of semipermeable tunnels underneath the city. Too bad for those in the tunnels at the time though.

77 posted on 12/30/2004 10:04:00 AM PST by KarlInOhio (In a just world, Arafat would have died at the end of a rope.)
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To: gov_bean_ counter
Hillary Clinton striptease?

Dang... I was just about to have lunch.

78 posted on 12/30/2004 10:04:40 AM PST by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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To: Ol' Sox

bump!


79 posted on 12/30/2004 10:05:05 AM PST by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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To: Carpe Cerevisi
A biggie sized enema?

Think I'll just stay put here in the midwest.

80 posted on 12/30/2004 10:06:27 AM PST by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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