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Tsunami Risk Of Asteroid Strikes Revealed
New Scientist ^ | 5-12-2006 | Jeff Hecht

Posted on 05/12/2006 11:49:03 AM PDT by blam

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To: RegulatorCountry

You are right. I was looking for inland effects and it looks like the model didn't show any. I guess it's all the 200 ft. dikes the Army Corps of Engineers are going to build that stopped the waves from swamping the hinterland. ;>)


41 posted on 05/12/2006 2:56:47 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: RegulatorCountry
Late Pleostocene Human Bottlenecks . . . (Toba Volcano)

"The six year long volcanic winter and 1000-year-long instant Ice Age that followed Mount Toba's eruption may have decimated Modern Man's entire population. Genetic evidence suggests that Human population size fell to about 10,000 adults between 50 and 100 thousand years ago. "

42 posted on 05/12/2006 3:00:28 PM PDT by blam
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

This isn't an exact analogy but how much does a lightning rod cost to protect a building vs the damage a lightning bolt can cause? River floods, hurricane storm surges are known threats and they happen more frequently, a buoyant flood road not only would protect against those known threats but tsunamis as well, at least limiting the damage to the over-topping wave-force. But hey, I'm not going to do it for you for FREE. You want to drown? Go ahead, see your whole seacoast wiped away, I only show you HOW to protect yourself from MASSIVE death and destruction from floods. I'm not Santa Claus, the Tooth Fairy, the Easter Bunny; just an architect coming up with a solution as an intelligent alternative to levees, sand bagging. Instead of moaning and groaning about the challenge, what's YOUR solution?


43 posted on 05/12/2006 3:07:24 PM PDT by timer
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To: freedumb2003

I read it too, which makes my 'DUH!' reaction to this article even more funny. Where's the 'master of the obvious' graphic when you need it?


44 posted on 05/12/2006 3:09:36 PM PDT by rintense
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To: blam
It's worse than that. This was a shallow water impact, shallow enough so that the earth's crust was cracked down to the mantle.

Now, instead of the white hot dry land crater radiating most of its' heat out into space over a period of days or weeks, and unlike a deep water impact where the depth of the water absorbs and spreads the blow, and the steam generation is limited to the kinetic energy of the bolide, we have a wall of sea water attempting to flood into a crater that has not just the energy load from the impact, but all the heat of a 100 km wide exposure of magma.

It doesn't take much imagination to envision a scores of fathoms high, hundred mile wide, circular wall of water attempting to fill a white hot crater and being flashed into steam, be blown back, only to surge again in an lethal, eerie inverted waterfall as the leading edge is blown into the stratosphere by a blast furnace of live steam.

As cubic mile after cubic mile after cubic mile of ocean boils, the resulting global hurricane rapidly dumps all that heat over nearly the entire planet. Anything within half a planet from the crater would be steam cleaned. The rest would merely be parboiled.

It's the recipe for pasteurized planet...
45 posted on 05/12/2006 3:31:46 PM PDT by null and void (Islam wasn't hijacked on 9/11. It was exposed.)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

Well, they show a frame grab on the site from one that does have inland effects for at least the Gulf of Mexico, so I assume they exist for the other areas modelled. I'd be interested in seeing the north Atlantic one, as the impact is just off NC, where I'm located.


46 posted on 05/12/2006 4:10:58 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: RegulatorCountry
Gulf graphic, I find myself wondering about all that water, at least halfway up the Mississippi Valley

That reflects the shorelines 65 Myears ago.

47 posted on 05/12/2006 4:28:59 PM PDT by null and void (Islam wasn't hijacked on 9/11. It was exposed.)
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To: null and void
Comet Break-Up Puts On Sky Show
48 posted on 05/12/2006 4:30:47 PM PDT by blam
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To: Heyworth

I've got that one on one of my bookcases somewhere...


49 posted on 05/12/2006 4:43:15 PM PDT by djf (Bedtime story: Once upon a time, they snuck on the boat and threw the tea over. In a land far away..)
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To: Blueflag

One of the best things about "Lucifer's Hammer" was the research Niven and Pournelle must have done. While their comet was quite large and hit at several points around the world, it was plain that any large body crashing into our little ball of clay and water would cause every fault to suddenly and disasterously release any pent-up energy.
Tsunamis along the shores reaching way inland through river channels and super-violent earthquakes knocking down nearly every structure man had made. It wouldn't be pretty but it would be interesting. Your mountain home might indeed become beachfront property- if it survived!


50 posted on 05/12/2006 4:46:55 PM PDT by oldfart ("All governments and all civilizations fall... eventually. Our government is not immune.)
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To: timer
I never denied that your proposed solution was innovative, or that it would work -- I just said that it would be very expensive to use for a whole coast. There are all sorts of contingencies that we could prepare for, if we had unlimited resources. As resources are limited, we have to weigh benefits against costs. Tsunamis cost a lot -- but they might not occur for thousands of years, so the benefit of mitigating the effects of one might never accrue. The potential benefits would be greater near population centres; so it might be economically feasible to place buoyant flood roads along the coast near cities.

My solution? Live on high ground.
51 posted on 05/12/2006 4:47:10 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: null and void

I didn't see that in the article; did I miss it, or is that knowledge that you bring to the table? I'm reasonably certain they intended to show the extent of inland flooding. Is the whitish area analogous to some ancient shoreline? I'm only familiar with the "fall line" separating the Piedmont and coastal plain regions in NC, SC and VA, which I understand is believed to have been the shore, long ago. But, from what I can tell, this is going inland well past the fall line in most areas of NC and SC at least. Also, I understand 65M as 65,000 (same as 65K), since I'm in the printing industry. 65,000,000 would be 65MM. You did mean millions and not thousands, correct?


52 posted on 05/12/2006 8:40:53 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: RegulatorCountry

Yes I did mean Mega, not kilo.

As for the shorelines I believe that what I said is correct. Gimme a few to verify?


53 posted on 05/12/2006 8:47:15 PM PDT by null and void (Islam wasn't hijacked on 9/11. It was exposed.)
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To: RegulatorCountry
Here's the ancient coastlines. Cretaceous ended 65 MYO.


54 posted on 05/12/2006 8:57:50 PM PDT by null and void (Islam wasn't hijacked on 9/11. It was exposed.)
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To: SunkenCiv
From the Texas Almanac:

TEXAS HISTORY HIGHLIGHTS

Texas' Ancient Tidal Wave

The meteorite hurtled toward the big, blue planet, reaching speeds of as much as 150,000 miles per hour. Its surface white-hot from the friction caused by its plunge through the atmosphere, the giant crashed into the sea on what is now the northern coast of the Yucatán Peninsula of Mexico. The impact of the six-mile-wide space maverick created an underwater crater more than 25 miles deep and 112 miles in diameter – farther across than the distance between Austin and Waco.

Material was blasted out of the crater at 50 times the speed of sound. About 400 cubic miles of debris were carried upward by the resulting fireball. (The 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens, by comparison, released less than a third of a cubic mile of ash.) After several months of drifting around in the atmosphere, the finer particles began settling back to Earth, covering the entire planet with a thin layer of dust.

Another 5,000 cubic miles of melted and crushed rock was ejected from the crater, then fell back to Earth in a matter of hours within 3,000 miles of the impact in all directions. Called "ejecta," this melt rock was thickest near the point of impact, becoming patchier farther away.

The enormous energy generated by the impact also created huge tidal waves radiating out from the area of collision – giant versions of the ripples that form on the surface of a lake when someone tosses a rock into the water. These "ripples" were 150 to 300 feet high – up to as tall as a football field is long. Churning up the seabed to a depth of 40 feet, one of the monster tsunamis roared across what we now call the Gulf of Mexico. The wave-from-hell tore rocks, sharks' teeth, sand and boulders from the bottom of the sea as it went. The giant wave finally deposited its burden of trash more than 150 miles inland from today's coastline.

The Texas Connection

One of the sites where this antique debris has been found is along the Brazos River in Falls County about 30 miles southeast of Waco, where the rock layer has been exposed by water erosion. This area was under a shallow sea at the time of the probable impact and tidal wave. Paleontologist Thor Hansen began studying the Brazos River site in 1985. He found a layer of mud clumps as much as three feet thick, along with fist-size chunks of sandstone. This layer is in a deep bed of mudstone that had been produced by a million years of otherwise quiet accumulation of water-deposited silt. Similar layers of what is most likely tidal-wave trash dating from the same geological period have been found in Mexico, Arkansas, Cuba, and off the coasts of Haiti and North Carolina.

Some scientists believe that the debris in question can be explained by a large volcanic eruption. But each new report by scientists studying the phenomenon adds weight to the collision theory.

Dinosaur Killer?

The cosmic collision occurred about 65 million years ago at the boundary between two geological periods: the Cretaceous, when dinosaurs flourished on the planet and few mammals existed, and the Tertiary, when the dinosaurs had mostly vanished and mammals began to proliferate. Did the enormous amounts of material thrown into the atmosphere block out the sun and destroy parts of the ozone layer to the extent that the Earth's ecological systems shut down? And did that shutdown cause more than half the planet's species to die off? This is the scenario suggested by a number of scientists who have been exploring the probable Big Crash.

The asteroid/comet collision idea is not a recent one. French scientist Pierre de Maupertuis proposed as early as 1750 that comets striking the Earth had caused mass extinctions by altering the atmosphere and the oceans.

But the first solid evidence linking a cosmic catastrophe with the wholesale eradication of species was suggested in the late 1970s by Walter Alvarez, a geologist at the University of California at Berkeley, and his father, physicist Luis Alvarez. The layer of fine debris from the impact shows up today as a stratum of grayish clay at the Cretaceous/Tertiary boundary (K/T boundary). The clay layer appears to be world-wide: It has been found at more than 100 sites scattered over the globe. This clay contains an unusually high amount of the element iridium – up to 30 times more than could normally be expected. Iridium, a heavy, brittle, metallic chemical element, is found in the Earth's core. It is rare on the Earth's surface, but comets and asteroids are relatively rich in it. The high concentration of iridium in the K/T boundary clay stratum could be explained by the collision theory.

The Brazos River site reveals not only the jumbled anomalous sandstone rocks and sharks' teeth from the tidal wave, but also this overlying, iridium-rich layer of clay.

The discovery of a thick layer of glassy particles at the K/T boundary in Haiti in the early 1990s provided what many geologists feel is the last piece of evidence needed to support the collision theory. Chemical analysis of the glass drops, called tektites, confirms their impact origin and indicates that they are probably part of the ejecta layer.

The most likely candidate for ground zero is the Chicxulub crater, just north of Mérida, Mexico, on the coast of the Yucatán Peninsula. The huge crater, which was underwater at the time of the probable impact, contains deposits of rocks, such as highly shocked quartz, which can be produced only by such an impact or by a nuclear explosion. Analysis of rocks from drill cores taken from the Chicxulub crater indicate an age of 65 million years, identical to the age of the tektites in Haiti.

The consensus appears at this time to be that an asteroid did splash down in the Yucatán and that it did produce the ejecta layer with its glassy particles, the global layer of clay, and the tsunami trash in Texas and elsewhere – and that the dinosaurs died off after the collision.

But the jury is still out on whether the first caused the second.

— Written by Mary G. Ramos and first published in the 1994-1995 Texas Almanac.

55 posted on 05/12/2006 9:04:08 PM PDT by ForGod'sSake (ABCNNBCBS: An enemy at the gates is less formidable, for he is known and carries his banner openly.)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

High ground? Yes, but roughly 3/4 of all populations live within 30 miles of an ocean shore; as lung fish we emerged from the ocean long ago, still have an ocean current inside : our pulsating blood system. Thus the vast majority will remain close to our original marine "home". The tsunami of 12/26/5 was a clear warning : be prepared(boy scout)or DIE. Katrina taught 2 lessons : 300 years of geological siltation and the self-reliant lived, those who waited for government "help" suffered and died. How would you feel as governor of a coastal state if your whole coastline was wiped CLEAN and yet you COULD have built a protective barrier like I suggest? For every dollar spent on it you'd save a $1000 worth of real estate and millions of lives. Oh well, I guess it's evolution's way....


56 posted on 05/12/2006 9:11:23 PM PDT by timer
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To: null and void

That really is pretty close to the extent of the white area. I'm still hoping to get at the meaning of the white and green areas. What's really impressive (or scary, depending upon your perspective) is the distance in four hours' time. The extent of the green, up the Mississippi Valley, appears to be at least 600 miles. A wall of water, even a relatively shallow one, moving at 150 mph average, would produce damage more akin to a nuclear blast than any sort of flood. Of course, speed would be much greater, the closer you get to the site of impact, as well as the closer you get to the Gulf or the Atlantic. I'm guessing that the green areas would definitely get wet, but the effects would be more along the lines of widespread flooding, since the forward momentum would be greatly reduced by that point. Reasonable assumption?


57 posted on 05/12/2006 9:12:59 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: blam

Time is not on our side here....it will eventually happen.


58 posted on 05/12/2006 9:22:23 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: Heyworth; freedumb2003; Robe; djf; rintense

I havent read the book in a while and cant find my copy, does anyone rememer why the US and the Soviets nuked China in that book after the asteroids hit?


59 posted on 05/12/2006 9:33:30 PM PDT by stuck_in_new_orleans
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To: timer
what's YOUR solution?

Nudge at-risk asteroids away from Earth's path. Japan recently sent a robotic spacecraft named Hayabusa to an asteroid, landed on it, and plan a return to Earth. If they can do all that we should be able to plant a thermonuclear blast into a trouble maker.


60 posted on 05/12/2006 10:13:04 PM PDT by Reeses
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