Posted on 11/05/2012 12:39:13 PM PST by Seizethecarp
I think she does.
I think those hard-hit coal areas are typically Republican anyway though, and I don’t think they’re heavily populated, so there’s not much to gain there. If Romney wins PA, it’ll be because he’s a moderate Republican in the mold of Bush, Sr. He might not scare off the socially liberal, pro-choice, anti-war, anti-gun, environmentalist soccer moms of the Philly burbs who nevertheless are wealthy enough that they would enjoy tax cuts and have no need for Obama’s handouts.
I don’t see a depressed turnout in Philly, among minorities or among Obama’s far-left base in the state. And the hardcore union-type Dems in northeastern PA that always vote Dem are not going to even consider going Republican and will turn out like clockwork. Romney’s got one card to play, the socially liberal soccer moms, and I don’t believe he’ll be successful enough with them to carry the day.
His best shot at making up for a loss in Ohio is taking Wisconsin, Colorado and New Hampshire. But I think he has a better chance in Ohio than in Pennsylvania due to the evangelicals.
In a way, I hope that Bass loses so that he finally gets pushed to the curb in the NH Republican party. Two primaries ago Jennifer Horn would have won in a two way race against Bass. She lost because of the other conservative that split the tea party vote.
If Bass loses, Horn would crush Kuster the next time around. Then we would have three tea party people in Washington. She would be ready to run against Shaheen potentially in the next Senate race after serving as a congress critter for one or two terms.
Correctamundo. Horn was a great candidate.
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