Posted on 11/03/2018 5:29:02 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Exactly! The demographics are right there at the AZ website. 70 to 80% of the votes are in. Does not compute.
Plus TargetEarly has 18-29 and 30-39 at combined total of 17%.
Not what any of the R internals showing.
BTW, Richard Baris just told me that Enema now has to win 72% of ALL indies to be even.
I’ll see if I can produce a graph that estimates I turnout by I support of Trump for AZ like I did with FL and NV.
But remember, we (Fl) went into ED 2016 way down...waaaay down. And Fl. went red.
I vote on Election Day. Lots of us gop voters do. I voted early once about 10 years ago. Felt like a cheater! But I don’t disagree with the idea particularly, as long as it’s a limited time period.
Where are you getting that 80% of votes are in?
He’s educated guessing. 1.4 million are in. I think AZ turnout will be 2 million so I think 70% is in.
That is probably close. I was just wondering if there was solid info.
It’s actually 1.48 million that are in. I just checked. 2.4 million votes 2016. Going by my 80% of 2016 turnout gives you about 2 million. Let’s see...
I’m sorry. I’ve been looking at AZ...
not Florida...I was responding with AZ in my head.
I’m crunching numbers myself. my brain is mush. I’m just now starting to look at Florida.
Yeah I’m taking AZ. Florida should have around 8 million votes.
Also, after hammering at early votes for a solid hour, my estimate just from analyzing the early vote demographic adjustments is that we are on average going to see a 3% more Republican electorate this year over 2016. That is if people vote similarly to what they did in 2016 given their demographic. This adjustment appears to be fairly consistent across all states with our best given early voting data.
This might be what the TargetEarly people are also seeing. They have detailed demos of all EV.
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