Epidemiologist Behind Highly-Cited Coronavirus Model Admits He Was Wrong, Drastically Revises Model

DailyWire.com ^ | March 26th, 2020 | Amanda Prestigiacomo

[BwanaNdege]

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H. L. Mencken

[dfwgator]

Were models purposely inaccurate for leftist political purposes?

Is the Pope Communist?

[SoCal Pubbie]

Where’s Gomer when you need him?

Surprise surprise surprise!!!

[Buckeye McFrog]

I knew something was amiss when the flu line on his graph was flatlined.

ALL viruses rise and decline in a curve. Corona, flu, etc.

[dowcaet]

I guess we won’t be seeing the FEARPERS posting too much on this!

[calljack]

So, all the good news starts to come out as soon as the bill passes?

[rightwingintelligentsia]

He must have the same math skills as Brian Williams and Mara Gay.

[M Kehoe]

Bttt.

5.56mm

[MayflowerMadam]

I’m shocked, I tell you. Shocked!

[G Larry]

Revised model from over 2,000,000 to now 20,000?

What's a couple of zeros in scientific modeling?

Oh, wait, from my stats class, I think those are...."ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE"!!!

[Manly Warrior]

The sky had to be falling iot sink the Trump economy, at least here in the US.

Several, many, of us stayed this would attenuate to approximately how influenza stands. Do we get a double portion of the bankrupt stimulus package? Maybe only half?

Evil walks anmong us and it isn’t a virus....

[rightwingcrazy]

Regardless of the damage done, it’s only the last thing he says that counts.

[Boogieman]

Imma wait and see if he revises it again in a couple days before commenting :)

[Buckeye McFrog]

Interesting bit to me is the part about “old and sick who would have died anyway”. It is possible that this thing took Italy’s entire elderly death total for 2020 and just compressed it into the space of a few weeks.

[polymuser]

[1066AD]

At least he admitted it.

[eclectic]

Just like the flu.

[deweyfrank]

Models are only as good as the data used to produce them. Garbage in equals garbage out. This is the same result as the man-made global warming models. Except this guy had the integrity to change his.

[SmokingJoe]

Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve.

How could anyone with half a brain even believe that sh*t?
If China, where it all started as far back as December last year, and which has a population of a massive 1.4 billion, only has 82,000 infected IN TOTAL(infected mind, not dead), how the heck do you come up with a staggering 2.2 million dead in the US with a population of only 330 million?
Yet the so called “concern trolls” right here on Freerepublic, kept posting these garbage figures, 24/7 week after week for months.