Posted on 04/04/2024 12:09:38 PM PDT by libh8er
If Trump can get 20% of the minority vote and 31% of the white folks’ vote
_________
You’ve been smoking some of that woke math.
Maybe young voters finally realize they will be stuck with Democrat debt and illegal immigrants?
Anything over 6% defection of Black voters and the Democrats are toast.
The rats only win states because they win the cities by such a wide margin. If Trump can get 25% of that vote the rats won’t be able to cheat their way to victory. It’s probably much less than 25% but I rather be safe than sorry.
“ For decades, nonpartisan groups allied with the Democratic Party…”
Let’s deconstruct this sentence.
L
If you add a million new voters and 70 percent vote Democrat that doesn’t help the Republicans.
If 51 percent vote D it doesn’t help the Republicans. It’s still a net loss.
The Republicans have to recruit new voters who vote more R than D,
AND flip existing voters from D to R
AND make sure that Republican voters turn out to vote R instead of sitting it out or voting third party
AND hope that more oldsters dying off voted D than R.
The good thing about 30% or so new voters of color voting R means that is becoming more acceptable among them and that the numbers could grow.
If the 70% D new voters were replacing an equal number of oldsters who voted 90% D that would be a gain for the Republicans. But is it an equal replacement? And do dead or incapacitated D voters stop voting?
My oxymoron meter just moved.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.